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DLF Diversified 28 Oct 2024

DLF Limited — Q2 FY26

DLF reported a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 2,262 crore, EBITDA of INR 902 crore, and PAT of INR 1,171 crore (including a one-time INR 600 crore gain from the Tulsiwadi settlement).

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Revenue ₹1,643 Cr
EBITDA ₹902 Cr
EBITDA Margin 17%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

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DLF reported a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 2,262 crore, EBITDA of INR 902 crore, and PAT of INR 1,171 crore (including a one-time INR 600 crore gain from the Tulsiwadi settlement). New sales bookings reached over INR 4,300 crore, driven by the successful Mumbai launch of Privana West, bringing H1 FY25 sales to over INR 15,750 crore. The company maintains a robust balance sheet with gross cash of INR 9,200 crore and net debt of only INR 1,487 crore. Management reiterated its FY26 pre-sales guidance of INR 20,000-21,000 crore and highlighted a strong launch pipeline including Goa, Arbour II, and next phases of Privana and Dahlias. Key risks include potential delays in Goa due to a court case and the cyclical nature of real estate demand.

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Quarter Snapshot

New Sales Bookings (Q2) INR 4,300 Cr
+?% YoY

Driven by maiden Mumbai launch Privana West; H1 cumulative sales over INR 15,750 Cr.

Collections (Q2) INR 2,672 Cr
+?% YoY

Excludes JV collections of INR 240 Cr from Privana West; high collection efficiency.

Gross Margin Potential INR 40,000 Cr
N/A

Reflects future profitability from ongoing and upcoming projects.

Dahlias Cumulative Units Sold 221 units
+18 units QoQ

Pricing over INR 1 lakh/sq ft; 50%+ sold; main launch post-April with experience center.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY26 vs Q2 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
FY26 pre-sales guidance of INR 20,000-21,000 Cr

Management confirmed the existing guidance despite strong H1 performance, preferring not to overcommit.

NEW
Collections expected to increase in H2 FY26

Due to construction milestones, collections are expected to rise from the current run rate of INR 2,700-3,000 Cr per quarter.

NEW
Goa project launch in Q3 or Q4 FY26

All approvals received; launch readiness expected this quarter or next, subject to a court case not related to DLF.

NEW
Atrium Place rental income to start from December 2024

Full rental income from all towers expected by April 2025; gross rental income estimated at INR 600-650 Cr.

DROPPED
Full-year pre-sales guidance of ₹17,000 crore reaffirmed

Management confirmed the ₹17,000 crore pre-sales target for FY25, driven by Dahlias and Privana launches in H2.

DROPPED
Rental EBITDA exit FY25 at ₹5,300 crore, FY26 at ₹6,800 crore

DCCDL rental EBITDA guided at ₹5,000 crore for FY25 and ₹5,800 crore for FY26; DLF rental EBITDA at ₹300 crore for FY25 and ₹1,000 crore for FY26.

DROPPED
Dahlias launch in Q3 with phased price increases

Dahlias will be launched in batches of 50 units with step-up pricing; initial response has been strong with 9% money-down EOIs.

DROPPED
Mumbai launch expected in Q4 FY25

Approvals for the Mumbai project are in advanced stages; launch is targeted for Q4, subject to no unforeseen delays.

NEW RISK
Goa launch delay due to court case

A court case in Goa, though not related to DLF, could delay the launch beyond the current timeline.

NEW RISK
Potential slowdown in real estate demand

Analyst questioned whether strong demand velocity seen in past launches may moderate; management expressed confidence but acknowledged no launch can be taken for granted.

NEW RISK
Cancellations/upgrades impacting reported sales

Some cancellations occurred due to customers upgrading to larger units; while minor, this could distort reported sales trends.

NEW RISK
Kolkata IT SEZ monetization delay

Approval process slower than expected; monetization still about 3-3.5 months away, though delay benefits accrue.

RISK GONE
Approval delays for Mumbai and Goa projects

Management acknowledged that non-Gurgaon approvals are difficult to predict; state elections could cause delays.

RISK GONE
Rising competition in NCR from peers raising equity

Analyst raised concern about peers aggressively buying land in NCR; management downplayed but acknowledged competition.

RISK GONE
Margin mismatch in reported financials vs embedded margins

Management noted that reported margins are depressed due to old project revenue recognition with current cost structures, which may take 18-24 months to align.

RISK GONE
Concentration risk in NCR market

Despite management's confidence, the business remains heavily reliant on NCR, with limited diversification outside the region.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Approval delays for Mumbai and Goa projects

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q2 FY25

Delays in approvals for Goa and Delhi projects could push back launch timelines, impacting future sales growth.

Cash trapped in RERA accounts limits flexibility

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q3 FY25

Of INR 10,500 crore cash, INR 8,000 crore is locked in RERA accounts, restricting free cash flow for dividends or acquisitions until project completion.

DCCDL capex of INR 5,000 crore in FY26 and FY27 each

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q4 FY25

Rental business to invest about INR 5,000 crore per year in FY26 and FY27 for new assets and developments.

DCCDL rental income to reach INR 5,800-6,000 crore in FY26

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY25

DCCDL rental income ~INR 6,300-6,350 crore; DLF rental income ~INR 800 crore (corrected from earlier 1,000-1,200).

Execution delays in new project launches

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY25

Mumbai, Goa, and Privana Phase 3 approvals are pending; delays could push launches beyond current guidance.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY26 pre-sales guidance of INR 20,000-21,000 Cr

Management confirmed the existing guidance despite strong H1 performance, preferring not to overcommit.

Top risk Goa launch delay due to court case

A court case in Goa, though not related to DLF, could delay the launch beyond the current timeline.

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