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DLF Diversified 26 Oct 2024

DLF Limited — Q2 FY25

DLF reported a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT of ₹781 crore from operations, plus a one-time deferred tax reversal of ~₹600 crore.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹1,975 Cr
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin 25%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

DLF reported a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT of ₹781 crore from operations, plus a one-time deferred tax reversal of ~₹600 crore. New sales pre-sales for H1 stood at ₹7,000 crore, recovering from a weak Q1, and management reaffirmed the full-year guidance of ₹17,000 crore. The Dahlias super-luxury project (RERA revenue ₹26,000 crore, 70%+ margin) has seen overwhelming initial response with 9% money-down EOIs, and formal launches are underway. The rental business is on track to achieve ₹5,300 crore total rental EBITDA by FY25 exit, driven by Downtown Gurgaon/Chennai and Atrium Place. Key risks include potential delays in Mumbai/Goa approvals due to state elections and the impact of rising competition in NCR on pricing power.

Promises0 met · 2 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Promises 2 promises

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0 delivered, 0 close, 2 missed.

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Approval delays for Mumbai and Goa projects

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Quarter Snapshot

New Sales Pre-sales H1 FY25 ₹7,000 crore
+0% vs guidance run-rate

First half pre-sales of ₹7,000 crore, recovering from a weak Q1 of ₹690 crore, keeping full-year guidance of ₹17,000 crore on track.

Dahlias RERA Revenue ₹26,000 crore
N/A (new launch)

RERA filing for Dahlias shows total revenue of ₹26,000 crore at pre-launch prices, with 70%+ margins, and management expects prices to rise.

Rental EBITDA Exit FY25 ₹5,300 crore
+6% vs prior guidance

Total rental EBITDA (DCCDL + DLF) guided at ₹5,300 crore for FY25 exit, with FY26 target of ₹6,800 crore.

NRI Sales Share 28%
+20pp vs 3% earlier

NRI contribution to sales has grown from 3% to 28% this year, reflecting strong global demand for DLF's luxury products.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Rental EBITDA exit FY25 at ₹5,300 crore, FY26 at ₹6,800 crore

DCCDL rental EBITDA guided at ₹5,000 crore for FY25 and ₹5,800 crore for FY26; DLF rental EBITDA at ₹300 crore for FY25 and ₹1,000 crore for FY26.

NEW
Dahlias launch in Q3 with phased price increases

Dahlias will be launched in batches of 50 units with step-up pricing; initial response has been strong with 9% money-down EOIs.

NEW
Mumbai launch expected in Q4 FY25

Approvals for the Mumbai project are in advanced stages; launch is targeted for Q4, subject to no unforeseen delays.

UPDATED
Full-year pre-sales guidance of ₹17,000 crore reaffirmed

Management confirmed the ₹17,000 crore pre-sales target for FY25, driven by Dahlias and Privana launches in H2.

DROPPED
Office vacancy target of 6-7% by end of FY25

Current vacancy at 8.8%; SEZ de-notification and strong leasing demand expected to drive reduction.

DROPPED
DCCDL rental income to reach INR 5,800-6,000 crore in FY26

Driven by completion of Downtown 4 (Gurgaon) and Downtown 3 (Chennai), plus full-year contribution from Downtown 1 & 2.

DROPPED
Construction outflow on DevCo to exceed INR 800 crore per quarter from Q3 FY25

Full throttle construction for Arbour, Privana South, and Privana West will drive higher spend.

NEW RISK
Approval delays for Mumbai and Goa projects

Management acknowledged that non-Gurgaon approvals are difficult to predict; state elections could cause delays.

NEW RISK
Rising competition in NCR from peers raising equity

Analyst raised concern about peers aggressively buying land in NCR; management downplayed but acknowledged competition.

NEW RISK
Margin mismatch in reported financials vs embedded margins

Management noted that reported margins are depressed due to old project revenue recognition with current cost structures, which may take 18-24 months to align.

NEW RISK
Concentration risk in NCR market

Despite management's confidence, the business remains heavily reliant on NCR, with limited diversification outside the region.

RISK GONE
Potential slowdown in high-ticket demand in Gurgaon

Analyst raised concern about slower sales in INR 7 crore+ category; management denied seeing any slowdown but acknowledged market noise.

RISK GONE
Execution delays in new project launches

Mumbai project launch pushed to December; Lux 5 and Goa launches dependent on approvals; any delay could impact FY25 pre-sales.

RISK GONE
Margin volatility due to product mix in reported numbers

Reported margins impacted by mix of older projects (e.g., Camellias); embedded margins on new launches remain healthy but reported margins may fluctuate.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Legal hurdles in Tulsiwadi project

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Intensive litigation with lenders and ARC delays monetization of prime Mumbai land; no near-term resolution expected.

Cash trapped in RERA accounts

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q4 FY24

INR 4,000 crore of cash is locked in RERA escrow accounts, limiting flexibility for land acquisitions or debt reduction.

DCCDL rental income exit run-rate of INR 5,100-5,200 crore by FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Rental income for DCCDL expected to stabilize at that level, excluding Atrium Place.

Potential slowdown in high-ticket demand in Gurgaon

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Analyst raised concern about slower sales in INR 7 crore+ category; management denied seeing any slowdown but acknowledged market noise.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Full-year pre-sales guidance of ₹17,000 crore reaffirmed

Management confirmed the ₹17,000 crore pre-sales target for FY25, driven by Dahlias and Privana launches in H2.

Top risk Approval delays for Mumbai and Goa projects

Management acknowledged that non-Gurgaon approvals are difficult to predict; state elections could cause delays.

View Risks →