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Dixon Technologies (India) FY25 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹38,870 Cr revenue · ₹1,234 Cr PAT · 3.8% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹38,870 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹1,234 Cr
Average margin: 3.8%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY25₹6,588 Cr₹140 Cr3.9%bullish
Q2 FY25₹11,528 Cr₹412 Cr3.6%bullish
Q3 FY25₹10,461 Cr₹217 Cr3.8%bullish
Q4 FY25₹10,293 Cr₹465 Cr4.0%bullish

Management promises made during the year

EBITDA margin guidance of 3.9-4%

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
CapEx of INR 550-580 Cr for FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
Display module production to start by Q1 end/Q2 FY26

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY25 · high

The mobile PLI scheme ends in March 2026. Uncertainty over replacement scheme could impact margins if component ecosystem doesn't develop.

Q3 FY25 · high

The $3 billion display fab project is complex and dependent on government subsidy guidelines. Any delay or change in policy could impact timelines and returns.

Q4 FY25 · high

TV revenues have fallen sharply for four consecutive quarters due to market shift and market share loss; recovery depends on new product launches and partnerships.

Q1 FY25 · medium

The LED TV market declined 17% in Q1, impacting consumer electronics revenue. Recovery depends on festive season demand.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Delays in Lenovo production (now Q3) and new customer onboarding could affect revenue targets. Management acknowledged minor delays.

Q2 FY25 · medium

LED TV volumes fell 10% YoY to 9.7 million units, reflecting broader industry weakness. Management noted the industry is declining, not just Dixon.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Gross margins declined ~200 bps due to higher contribution from lower-margin mobile business. Management expects sub-4% EBITDA margins until component ecosystem ramps up.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Analyst questioned whether IT hardware business is self-sustaining without PLI. Management acknowledged government support is critical for global competitiveness, though domestic demand may sustain.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Brands may seek to diversify vendors beyond Dixon, as raised by an analyst. Management acknowledged the need to remain efficient and customer-obsessed to retain share.

Q3 FY25 · medium

As mobile contributes ~70% of revenue with lower margins, overall EBITDA margin has declined. Management expects backward integration to offset, but near-term pressure persists.

Q4 FY25 · medium

PLI scheme ends in FY26; management estimates 0.6% margin contribution from PLI, which may be lost if not offset by efficiencies and backward integration.

Q4 FY25 · medium

Vivo JV definitive agreements and PN3 waiver approvals are pending; any delay could push back expected volumes from FY27.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY25 · IT hardware revenue target of INR 3,500-4,000 crore annualized

Management expects IT hardware revenue to reach INR 3,500-4,000 crore on an annualized basis, driven by contracts with Lenovo, Acer, and two additional global brands.

G

Q1 FY25 · CapEx of INR 500-600 crore for FY25

The company plans to invest INR 500-600 crore in capital expenditure this fiscal, similar to last year's INR 550 crore, for capacity expansion and new facilities.

G

Q1 FY25 · EBITDA margin guidance of 3.9-4%

Management indicated that consolidated EBITDA margins will remain in the range of 3.9-4%, similar to current levels.

G

Q1 FY25 · Display module production to start by Q1 FY26

The display module JV with HKC is expected to commence production by end of this fiscal or Q1 next fiscal, with initial capacity of 2 million units per month.

G

Q2 FY25 · IT hardware revenue target of INR 4,500-5,000 Cr by year 3

Management expects IT hardware (laptops/tablets) to generate INR 4,500-5,000 Cr annual revenue within 2-3 years, driven by partnerships with HP, ASUS, Acer, and Lenovo.

G

Q2 FY25 · Telecom revenue of ~INR 2,400 Cr in FY25

Telecom segment is targeting ~INR 2,400 Cr revenue this fiscal, up from ~INR 700 Cr last year, with next year's order book at INR 6,000-7,000 Cr.

G

Q2 FY25 · Component backward integration to improve margins in 15-18 months

Management expects margin expansion to start reflecting in 15-18 months as the component ecosystem (HKC display, camera modules, mechanicals) stabilizes, targeting 27% BOM capture.

G

Q2 FY25 · CapEx of INR 550-580 Cr for FY25

Total CapEx for FY25 is expected to be INR 550-580 Cr, with INR 360 Cr already spent in H1. HKC display JV alone will require ~INR 375 Cr.

G

Q3 FY25 · Mobile segment margin expansion of 100-120 bps over 24-36 months

Backward integration into components like display modules, mechanicals, and camera modules will expand mobile EBITDA margins by 100-120 bps starting H2 FY26.

G

Q3 FY25 · Display module production to start by Q1 end/Q2 FY26

Manufacturing of display modules in partnership with HKC will commence by Q1 end or Q2 beginning of next financial year.

G

Q3 FY25 · IT hardware revenue target of INR 2,500-3,000 crore in FY26

IT hardware segment (laptops, tablets) expected to generate INR 2,500-3,000 crore revenue in FY26, supported by a potential JV with a global ODM.

G

Q3 FY25 · Telecom revenue to double in next fiscal

Telecom segment revenue expected to double from ~INR 3,000 crore in FY25 to ~INR 6,000 crore in FY26, driven by new capacities and order book.

G

Q4 FY25 · Smartphone volume target FY26: 43-44 million units

Management guided for smartphone volumes of 43-44 million units in FY26, up from 28.3 million in FY25.

G

Q4 FY25 · Smartphone volume target FY27: 60-65 million units

Targeting 60-65 million smartphone units in FY27, including 18-20 million from Vivo JV.

G

Q4 FY25 · Refrigerator capacity expansion to 2 million units per annum

Expanding direct cool refrigerator capacity from 1.2 million to 2 million units per annum, with 50% revenue growth expected in FY26.

G

Q4 FY25 · CapEx guidance FY26: INR 900-1,000 crore

Capital expenditure for FY26 expected to be in the range of INR 900-1,000 crore, similar to FY25.