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Where this quarter sits.
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What the record says.
Canara Bank reported a strong Q2 FY24 with net profit surging 42.81% YoY to INR 3,606 crore, driven by 19.76% YoY NII growth and improved asset quality. Gross NPA fell 161 bps YoY to 4.76%, while PCR improved to 88.73%. The bank maintained NIM at 3.02% despite deposit cost pressure, with management guiding NIM in the 2.9%-3.05% range. RAM credit grew 13.63%, and the bank expects 12% loan growth for FY24. Key risks include margin compression from high deposit rates and potential slippage from a large LRD account (INR 650 crore provisioned). Overall, the bank is on track to meet its guidance of sub-45% cost-to-income and 1% credit cost.
Colored figures show movement against the previous available record.
Guidance to track
- Management guided NIM between 2.9% and 3.05% for coming quarters, depending on liquidity conditions.
- Management expects advances to grow around 12% for the full year, driven by RAM segment.
- Management aims to increase provision coverage ratio to 90% by March 2024.
- Management expects credit cost to remain around 1% until PCR reaches 95%.
Risks flagged
- Elevated term deposit rates (7.25% special scheme) may pressure NIM, potentially falling to 2.9% if liquidity remains tight.
- A single large LRD account (mall) under SMA-2 has been provisioned INR 650 crore; if it slips to NPA, recovery may be slow despite collateral.
- Recovery from NCLT-referred accounts remains slow, with most resolutions via liquidation, limiting recoveries.
- Bipartite settlement arrears from Nov 2022 could create a one-time expense shock; bank has provisioned INR 1,150 crore so far.
Key quotes
- Our provisioning will be always in aggressive side.
- We are the first banker who made it interoperable so that the other person need not have a wallet of CBDC.
- If the current scenario continues with a high interest rate and the same liquidity issue is there in the next two quarters, we may land up at 2.9.
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