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BPCL Diversified 01 Nov 2023

Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited — Q2 FY24

BPCL reported a stellar Q2 FY24 with PAT of ₹8,501 crore, driven by robust refining margins (GRM of $18.49/bbl) and strong marketing performance.

bullish high
Revenue ₹1,65,995 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹8,501 Cr
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

BPCL reported a stellar Q2 FY24 with PAT of ₹8,501 crore, driven by robust refining margins (GRM of $18.49/bbl) and strong marketing performance. The Bina refinery operated at 105% capacity despite a planned shutdown, benefiting from high Russian crude processing and favorable diesel cracks. Marketing volumes grew 6.5% YoY, with market share gains in MS and HSD. The company outlined a ₹1,50,000 crore five-year capex plan, including a ₹49,000 crore petrochemical complex at Bina and significant investments in renewables and CGD. Net debt is nearly zero, with a debt-equity ratio of 0.032. However, management refrained from providing near-term guidance, citing volatile crude prices and geopolitical uncertainties. Key risks include potential moderation in refining cracks and delays in Mozambique LNG project.

Key Numbers

GRM (Gross Refining Margin) $18.49/bbl
+$5.85/bbl QoQ

Q2 GRM of $18.49/bbl vs $12.64/bbl in Q1, driven by higher cracks and Russian crude processing.

Refinery Throughput 9.35 MMT
105% of nameplate capacity

Throughput maintained at 105% despite Bina refinery shutdown in July.

Market Share Gain (MS) 0.36%
+0.36pp among PSUs

BPCL gained 0.36% market share in MS among PSUs during Q2.

Market Share Gain (HSD) 1.82%
+1.82pp among PSUs

BPCL gained 1.82% market share in HSD among PSUs during Q2.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
1 new guidance1 dropped2 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Five-year capex plan of ₹1,50,000 crore

BPCL outlined a ₹1,50,000 crore capex plan over five years, including ₹49,000 crore for Bina petrochemical complex and ₹26,000 crore for CGD.

UPDATED
Capex target of ₹10,000 crore for FY24

BPCL aims to spend ₹10,000 crore in capex for FY24, with ₹5,191 crore already achieved in H1.

UPDATED
Add 1,000 new retail outlets in FY24

BPCL plans to add 1,000 new retail outlets during FY24, with 300 added in H1.

UPDATED
Add 500 CNG facilities by FY24 end

BPCL aims to add 500 CNG facilities at existing retail outlets by the end of FY24.

DROPPED
Petchem complex at Bina by 2028

A large petrochemical complex with 2.2 MTPA capacity and refinery expansion to 11 MMTPA is planned, with commissioning by 2028.

NEW RISK
Moderation in refining cracks

Management noted gasoline cracks have moderated in Q3, and diesel cracks may weaken post-winter, potentially impacting GRM.

NEW RISK
PDPP profitability still negative

The PDPP plant at Kochi contributed only $0.55/bbl to GRM, insufficient to cover operating expenses, indicating ongoing losses.

RISK GONE
Payment issues for Russian crude above price cap

Management acknowledged that if Russian crude prices cross $60/bbl, payment issues may arise, though more banks are now willing to settle.

RISK GONE
Dividend payout sustainability amid large capex

Analyst questioned whether elevated capex plans (INR 1.5 lakh crore over 5 years) could impact dividend payouts; management reaffirmed 30% payout policy.

Management Guidance

G

Capex target of ₹10,000 crore for FY24

BPCL aims to spend ₹10,000 crore in capex for FY24, with ₹5,191 crore already achieved in H1.

Management guidance capex
G

Add 1,000 new retail outlets in FY24

BPCL plans to add 1,000 new retail outlets during FY24, with 300 added in H1.

Management guidance expansion
G

Add 500 CNG facilities by FY24 end

BPCL aims to add 500 CNG facilities at existing retail outlets by the end of FY24.

Management guidance expansion
G

Five-year capex plan of ₹1,50,000 crore

BPCL outlined a ₹1,50,000 crore capex plan over five years, including ₹49,000 crore for Bina petrochemical complex and ₹26,000 crore for CGD.

Management guidance capex

Key Risks

R

Moderation in refining cracks

Management noted gasoline cracks have moderated in Q3, and diesel cracks may weaken post-winter, potentially impacting GRM.

medium · management_commentary
R

Mozambique LNG project delays and cost escalation

The project remains under force majeure; cost escalation and timeline delays are likely, with potential impact on BPCL's E&P capex.

medium · analyst_question
R

PDPP profitability still negative

The PDPP plant at Kochi contributed only $0.55/bbl to GRM, insufficient to cover operating expenses, indicating ongoing losses.

medium · data_observation
R

Russian crude discount compression

Management acknowledged that discounts on Russian crude have directionally reduced, which could pressure refining margins.

low · analyst_question

Notable Quotes

We have achieved highest ever profit after tax for half year at INR 19,052 crore.
V.R.K. Gupta · Director of Finance, Bharat Petroleum
Our refineries have continued their stellar performance on both physical and financial parameters during this quarter.
V.R.K. Gupta · Director of Finance, Bharat Petroleum
We generally don't give any guidance, but otherwise, based on the current crude prices, little bit worry is there.
V.R.K. Gupta · Director of Finance, Bharat Petroleum

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Bharat Petroleum Corporation's revenue in Q2 FY24?

Bharat Petroleum Corporation reported revenue of ₹1,65,995 Cr in Q2 FY24, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Bharat Petroleum Corporation management give for FY25?

Capex target of ₹10,000 crore for FY24: BPCL aims to spend ₹10,000 crore in capex for FY24, with ₹5,191 crore already achieved in H1. Add 1,000 new retail outlets in FY24: BPCL plans to add 1,000 new retail outlets during FY24, with 300 added in H1. Add 500 CNG facilities by FY24 end: BPCL aims to add 500 CNG facilities at existing retail outlets by the end of FY24. Five-year capex plan of ₹1,50,000 crore: BPCL outlined a ₹1,50,000 crore capex plan over five years, including ₹49,000 crore for Bina petrochemical complex and ₹26,000 crore for CGD.

What are the key risks for Bharat Petroleum Corporation in FY25?

Key risks include Moderation in refining cracks — Management noted gasoline cracks have moderated in Q3, and diesel cracks may weaken post-winter, potentially impacting GRM.; Mozambique LNG project delays and cost escalation — The project remains under force majeure; cost escalation and timeline delays are likely, with potential impact on BPCL's E&P capex.; PDPP profitability still negative — The PDPP plant at Kochi contributed only $0.55/bbl to GRM, insufficient to cover operating expenses, indicating ongoing losses.; Russian crude discount compression — Management acknowledged that discounts on Russian crude have directionally reduced, which could pressure refining margins..

Did Bharat Petroleum Corporation meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Of 3 tracked promises, management 0 met, 0 close, 3 missed.

Where can I read the full Bharat Petroleum Corporation Q2 FY24 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.