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Blue Star FY26 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹9,419 Cr revenue · ₹407 Cr PAT · 7.7% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹9,419 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹407 Cr
Average margin: 7.7%
Promise delivery: Building

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q2 FY26₹2,422 Cr₹99 Cr7.6%bearish
Q3 FY26₹2,925 Cr₹81 Cr7.5%neutral
Q4 FY26₹4,072 Cr₹227 Cr8.0%neutral

Management promises made during the year

Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.

Risks flagged during the year

Q2 FY26 · high

With 65 days of inventory in the channel, manufacturers may resort to discounts to clear stock before the energy label change on Jan 1, 2026, pressuring margins.

Q3 FY26 · high

A second consecutive weak summer would hurt RAC demand and inventory liquidation, pressuring margins.

Q4 FY26 · high

Only 8% of the required 13% price increase has been realized; failure to pass the remaining 5% could compress margins.

Q4 FY26 · high

Ongoing Middle East conflict may increase plastic and electronic component costs, adding further margin pressure.

Q4 FY26 · high

If the summer season underperforms, primary sales may lag, making price hikes difficult and inventory levels elevated.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Despite a 35% spike in secondary sales post-GST reduction, demand turned dull after Diwali, raising concerns about H2 recovery.

Q2 FY26 · medium

Order inflows were flat in Q2 and the carried forward order book declined 3.9% YoY, with infra projects execution slow.

Q2 FY26 · medium

The med solutions business faces uncertainty pending finalization of refurbished medical diagnostic equipment policy, impacting segment 3 growth.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Low-margin infra projects nearing completion are pulling down segment 1 margins; trend may persist for 2-3 quarters.

Q3 FY26 · medium

US tariff uncertainties and slow European heat pump market limit export scale-up despite product readiness.

Q3 FY26 · medium

The planned 10% price hike, despite GST reduction, may dampen demand in price-sensitive entry-level segments.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Higher prices may push consumers to lower-tier brands or lower-star ratings, impacting Blue Star's market share.

What changed through the year

G

Q2 FY26 · FY26 room AC industry volumes flat to -5% YoY

Management expects the room AC industry to end FY26 flat or down 5% vs last year, with Blue Star likely matching the industry.

G

Q2 FY26 · Segment 2 (UCP) margin guidance lowered to 7-7.5% for FY26

Management now expects unitary cooling products margin to be 7-7.5% for FY26, down from earlier 8.5-9% and initial 9-9.5%.

G

Q2 FY26 · Segment 1 margin guidance maintained at 7-7.5%

For electromechanical projects and commercial AC, management expects margins to remain in the 7-7.5% range for the rest of FY26.

G

Q2 FY26 · Target 15% market share in room AC by FY27

Management reiterated its goal to reach 15% market share in room air conditioners by FY27, up from current ~13%.

G

Q3 FY26 · Q4 FY26 strong quarter for RAC, CAC, and refrigeration

Management expects a strong Q4 driven by summer demand and pent-up demand after energy label change.

G

Q3 FY26 · Unitary products margin target of 8.5% for FY27

Management targets 8.5% EBITDA margin for unitary products in FY27, with potential upside to 9% in a strong summer.

G

Q3 FY26 · Price hike of ~10% in Q4 FY26

Management plans to increase prices by ~10% to offset input cost inflation from commodities and forex.

G

Q3 FY26 · Segment 1 growth of 8-10% in FY27

Electromechanical projects and commercial AC business expected to grow at 8-10% CAGR in FY27.

G

Q4 FY26 · FY27 RAC Segment Margin Target 8-8.5%

Management expects unitary products segment margins to remain in the 8-8.5% range for FY27, assuming successful price pass-through.

G

Q4 FY26 · Q1 FY27 Industry RAC Growth 25-30% YoY

If summer progresses well, management expects Q1 FY27 industry primary sales to grow 25-30% YoY (15% volume, 10% price).

G

Q4 FY26 · Annual Capex ₹250-350 Crore

Normal annual capex including maintenance, R&D, and digital investments will be in the range of ₹250-350 crore.

G

Q4 FY26 · Data Center MEP Revenue to Double in 3 Years

Data center MEP revenue of ~₹1,000 crore is expected to more than double to ~₹3,000 crore within three years.