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BLUESTAR Diversified 30 Apr 2026

Blue Star Ltd — Q4 FY26

Blue Star reported Q4 FY26 revenue of ₹4,720 crore (+1.3% YoY) and EBITDA margin of 8.0% (+100bps YoY), driven by cost rationalization and low ad spend.

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Revenue ₹4,072 Cr +1.3%
EBITDA ₹326 Cr +16.8%
PAT ₹227 Cr +17.1%
EBITDA Margin 8% +100bps
Duration 70 min
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Blue Star reported Q4 FY26 revenue of ₹4,720 crore (+1.3% YoY) and EBITDA margin of 8.0% (+100bps YoY), driven by cost rationalization and low ad spend. PAT grew 17.1% to ₹227.2 crore. The RAC business gained marginal market share despite a weak summer, while the MEP segment saw strong order inflow (+35.7% YoY) led by data centers and manufacturing. Management guided for 8-8.5% segment margins in FY27 but flagged margin pressure from commodity inflation and the need to pass on ~13% price hikes (only 8% realized so far). Key risk: if the ongoing summer season disappoints, price pass-through may stall, compressing margins further.

Promises0 met · 2 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Focused Modules

Claim Ledger 59% answered

Did management answer the analysts?

12 analyst questions audited, 3 evaded or deflected.

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Promises 2 promises

Promise Tracker

0 delivered, 0 close, 2 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Price Pass-Through Failure

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Quarter Snapshot

RAC Market Share (Value) 14.25%
+marginally YoY

Gained marginal market share in Q4 FY26 despite multiple headwinds.

Order Inflow (MEP Segment) ₹1,954.4 crore
+35.7% YoY

Strong order inflow driven by data centers and manufacturing sectors.

Carried Forward Order Book ₹6,923 crore
+10.5% YoY

Order book grew to ₹6,923 crore as of March 31, 2026.

RAC Industry Volume (FY26 Est.) 14.75M units
-5% YoY

Industry volume estimated to have declined ~5% in FY26 due to weak summer.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY26 vs Q3 FY26
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Q1 FY27 Industry RAC Growth 25-30% YoY

If summer progresses well, management expects Q1 FY27 industry primary sales to grow 25-30% YoY (15% volume, 10% price).

NEW
Annual Capex ₹250-350 Crore

Normal annual capex including maintenance, R&D, and digital investments will be in the range of ₹250-350 crore.

NEW
Data Center MEP Revenue to Double in 3 Years

Data center MEP revenue of ~₹1,000 crore is expected to more than double to ~₹3,000 crore within three years.

UPDATED
FY27 RAC Segment Margin Target 8-8.5%

Management expects unitary products segment margins to remain in the 8-8.5% range for FY27, assuming successful price pass-through.

DROPPED
Q4 FY26 strong quarter for RAC, CAC, and refrigeration

Management expects a strong Q4 driven by summer demand and pent-up demand after energy label change.

DROPPED
Price hike of ~10% in Q4 FY26

Management plans to increase prices by ~10% to offset input cost inflation from commodities and forex.

DROPPED
Segment 1 growth of 8-10% in FY27

Electromechanical projects and commercial AC business expected to grow at 8-10% CAGR in FY27.

NEW RISK
Price Pass-Through Failure

Only 8% of the required 13% price increase has been realized; failure to pass the remaining 5% could compress margins.

NEW RISK
War-Related Cost Inflation

Ongoing Middle East conflict may increase plastic and electronic component costs, adding further margin pressure.

NEW RISK
Weak Summer Demand

If the summer season underperforms, primary sales may lag, making price hikes difficult and inventory levels elevated.

NEW RISK
Downtrading Risk

Higher prices may push consumers to lower-tier brands or lower-star ratings, impacting Blue Star's market share.

RISK GONE
Weak summer could derail Q4 recovery

A second consecutive weak summer would hurt RAC demand and inventory liquidation, pressuring margins.

RISK GONE
Infra project closures dragging segment margins

Low-margin infra projects nearing completion are pulling down segment 1 margins; trend may persist for 2-3 quarters.

RISK GONE
Export growth hampered by trade barriers

US tariff uncertainties and slow European heat pump market limit export scale-up despite product readiness.

RISK GONE
Consumer price sensitivity may cap demand after price hike

The planned 10% price hike, despite GST reduction, may dampen demand in price-sensitive entry-level segments.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY27 RAC Segment Margin Target 8-8.5%

Management expects unitary products segment margins to remain in the 8-8.5% range for FY27, assuming successful price pass-through.

Top risk Price Pass-Through Failure

Only 8% of the required 13% price increase has been realized; failure to pass the remaining 5% could compress margins.

View Risks →