Risk Intelligence
Treasury income volatility
View Risks →Bank of Baroda reported a strong Q2 FY26 with net profit of INR 4,809 crore, up 6% sequentially, despite a one-off recovery in the base quarter.
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Bank of Baroda reported a strong Q2 FY26 with net profit of INR 4,809 crore, up 6% sequentially, despite a one-off recovery in the base quarter. Asset quality improved to best-ever levels: gross NPA at 2.16% and net NPA at 0.57%. NIM expanded 5 bps sequentially to 2.96% driven by prudent liability management, with cost of deposits declining to 4.91%. Domestic advances grew 11.5% YoY, led by RAM segments (retail +17.6%, agri +17.4%, MSME +13.9%). Corporate loan growth was muted at 3% YoY but management expects 10-11% growth in H2. Guidance includes NIM in 2.85-3% range, slippage at 1-1.25%, and credit cost below 0.75%. Key risk: elevated treasury volatility could pressure operating profit.
बैंक ऑफ बड़ौदा ने दूसरी तिमाही में 4,809 करोड़ रुपये का शुद्ध लाभ कमाया, जो पिछली तिमाही से 6% ज्यादा है। बैंक के खराब कर्ज (NPA) का स्तर सबसे कम हो गया है - कुल खराब कर्ज 2.16% और शुद्ध खराब कर्ज 0.57% रहा। बैंक की ब्याज आय (NIM) 2.96% हो गई, क्योंकि जमा पर ब्याज दर घटकर 4.91% आ गई। देश में कर्ज 11.5% बढ़ा, खासकर खुदरा, कृषि और छोटे व्यवसायों को ज्यादा कर्ज दिया गया। कंपनी को उम्मीद है कि आगे NIM 2.85-3% और खराब कर्ज 1-1.25% के बीच रहेगा। सरकारी बॉन्ड की कीमतों में उतार-चढ़ाव से मुनाफा प्रभावित हो सकता है।
Treasury income volatility
View Risks →Full transcript text is available on this route.
Read Transcript →Improved 34 bps year-over-year to 2.16%, reflecting best-ever asset quality.
Below 1% at 0.57%, an improvement of 3 bps YoY.
CASA ratio remains at 38.42%, one of the top quartile among peers.
Reduced 16 bps YoY to 0.91%, indicating improving asset quality.
Management maintains slippage guidance at 1% to 1.25% for FY26, considering potential geopolitical headwinds.
Credit cost expected to remain below 0.75% for the full year, with current levels much lower.
Management expects corporate loan book to grow 10-11% in the second half, driven by strong pipelines and seasonal pickup.
Net interest margin expected to be in the range of 2.85% to 3% for the full year, with Q3 range-bound and Q4 improvement.
Management expects cost of deposits to moderate by 15-17bps by September quarter due to repricing of maturing deposits.
Management expects to exceed internal recovery target of INR 10,000 crore for the full year.
Treasury profit declined ~50% YoY due to bond yield movements, and further rate cuts could impact operating profit.
Implementation of ECL framework could increase credit cost by 20-25 bps on a steady-state basis, though management sees manageable impact.
With only 3% YoY corporate loan growth in H1, achieving 10-11% full-year guidance requires strong H2 pickup, which may be challenged by muted demand.
Further MCLR cuts could compress NIM if deposit costs do not moderate proportionately, though management expects range-bound NIM.
With 50bps repo rate cut in June, full impact on EBLR-linked loans will be felt in Q2, potentially pressuring NIM further.
A large international account slipped to NPA; resolution under CNC process may take 210 days, with 40% provision already made.
Analyst raised concern about rising slippages in personal loan and MSME; management acknowledged marginal increase but downplayed risk.
Analyst noted that ROA of 1.03% included substantial treasury gains; without them, maintaining 1% ROA may be challenging.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q1 FY26, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY25
Management aims to grow corporate book at 9%-10% for the full year, despite muted Q1 growth of 4.2%.
Mentioned in Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25
Deposit growth guidance maintained at 9-11%, with focus on reducing bulk deposit dependency.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY25
Q2 had a one-off recovery of ~₹350 crore boosting interest income; its absence in Q3 contributed to margin decline.
Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q4 FY25
With 50bps repo rate cut in June, full impact on EBLR-linked loans will be felt in Q2, potentially pressuring NIM further.
Management expects corporate loan book to grow 10-11% in the second half, driven by strong pipelines and seasonal pickup.
Treasury profit declined ~50% YoY due to bond yield movements, and further rate cuts could impact operating profit.
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