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BANKBARODA Diversified 24 Oct 2025

Bank of Baroda — Q2 FY26

Bank of Baroda reported a strong Q2 FY26 with net profit of INR 4,809 crore, up 6% sequentially, despite a one-off recovery in the base quarter.

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Bank of Baroda reported a strong Q2 FY26 with net profit of INR 4,809 crore, up 6% sequentially, despite a one-off recovery in the base quarter. Asset quality improved to best-ever levels: gross NPA at 2.16% and net NPA at 0.57%. NIM expanded 5 bps sequentially to 2.96% driven by prudent liability management, with cost of deposits declining to 4.91%. Domestic advances grew 11.5% YoY, led by RAM segments (retail +17.6%, agri +17.4%, MSME +13.9%). Corporate loan growth was muted at 3% YoY but management expects 10-11% growth in H2. Guidance includes NIM in 2.85-3% range, slippage at 1-1.25%, and credit cost below 0.75%. Key risk: elevated treasury volatility could pressure operating profit.

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Quarter Snapshot

Gross NPA Ratio 2.16%
-34 bps YoY

Improved 34 bps year-over-year to 2.16%, reflecting best-ever asset quality.

Net NPA Ratio 0.57%
-3 bps YoY

Below 1% at 0.57%, an improvement of 3 bps YoY.

CASA Ratio 38.42%
Flat YoY

CASA ratio remains at 38.42%, one of the top quartile among peers.

Slippage Ratio 0.91%
-16 bps YoY

Reduced 16 bps YoY to 0.91%, indicating improving asset quality.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY26 vs Q1 FY26
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Slippage ratio guidance of 1% to 1.25%

Management maintains slippage guidance at 1% to 1.25% for FY26, considering potential geopolitical headwinds.

NEW
Credit cost below 0.75% for FY26

Credit cost expected to remain below 0.75% for the full year, with current levels much lower.

UPDATED
Corporate loan growth of 10-11% in H2 FY26

Management expects corporate loan book to grow 10-11% in the second half, driven by strong pipelines and seasonal pickup.

UPDATED
Global NIM guidance of 2.85% to 3% for FY26

Net interest margin expected to be in the range of 2.85% to 3% for the full year, with Q3 range-bound and Q4 improvement.

DROPPED
Cost of deposits moderation of 15-17bps by September

Management expects cost of deposits to moderate by 15-17bps by September quarter due to repricing of maturing deposits.

DROPPED
Recovery target of over INR 10,000 crore for FY26

Management expects to exceed internal recovery target of INR 10,000 crore for the full year.

NEW RISK
Treasury income volatility

Treasury profit declined ~50% YoY due to bond yield movements, and further rate cuts could impact operating profit.

NEW RISK
ECL transition impact on credit cost

Implementation of ECL framework could increase credit cost by 20-25 bps on a steady-state basis, though management sees manageable impact.

NEW RISK
Corporate loan growth dependency on H2

With only 3% YoY corporate loan growth in H1, achieving 10-11% full-year guidance requires strong H2 pickup, which may be challenged by muted demand.

NEW RISK
MCLR repricing risk on NIM

Further MCLR cuts could compress NIM if deposit costs do not moderate proportionately, though management expects range-bound NIM.

RISK GONE
Further NIM compression from asset repricing

With 50bps repo rate cut in June, full impact on EBLR-linked loans will be felt in Q2, potentially pressuring NIM further.

RISK GONE
International account slippage and resolution uncertainty

A large international account slipped to NPA; resolution under CNC process may take 210 days, with 40% provision already made.

RISK GONE
Potential stress in personal loan and MSME portfolios

Analyst raised concern about rising slippages in personal loan and MSME; management acknowledged marginal increase but downplayed risk.

RISK GONE
Dependence on treasury gains for ROA above 1%

Analyst noted that ROA of 1.03% included substantial treasury gains; without them, maintaining 1% ROA may be challenging.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Deposit growth guidance revised to 9-11% for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q1 FY26, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY25

Management aims to grow corporate book at 9%-10% for the full year, despite muted Q1 growth of 4.2%.

Advance growth guidance maintained at 11-13%

Mentioned in Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25

Deposit growth guidance maintained at 9-11%, with focus on reducing bulk deposit dependency.

Margin pressure from one-off recovery normalization

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY25

Q2 had a one-off recovery of ~₹350 crore boosting interest income; its absence in Q3 contributed to margin decline.

NIM compression from lagging deposit repricing

Mentioned in Q1 FY26, Q4 FY25

With 50bps repo rate cut in June, full impact on EBLR-linked loans will be felt in Q2, potentially pressuring NIM further.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Corporate loan growth of 10-11% in H2 FY26

Management expects corporate loan book to grow 10-11% in the second half, driven by strong pipelines and seasonal pickup.

Top risk Treasury income volatility

Treasury profit declined ~50% YoY due to bond yield movements, and further rate cuts could impact operating profit.

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