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BANKBARODA Diversified 24 Oct 2024

Bank of Baroda — Q2 FY25

Bank of Baroda reported a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT crossing INR 5,000 crore for the first time, growing 23.2% YoY.

bullish high
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Revenue
EBITDA
PAT ₹5,405 Cr +23.2%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Bank of Baroda reported a strong Q2 FY25 with PAT crossing INR 5,000 crore for the first time, growing 23.2% YoY. Domestic advances grew 12.5% YoY, driven by retail (20%) and corporate (10.6%). NIM stood at 3.10%, within the guided range of 3.15% ±5 bps, despite a 5 bps drag from penal interest reclassification. Asset quality improved with GNPA at 2.5% and net NPA at 0.6%. Management revised full-year deposit growth guidance down to 9-11% and loan growth to 11-13%, citing systemic deposit constraints. Credit cost remained below 0.75% and ROA at 1.30%. Key risks include elevated deposit competition and potential slippages from small-ticket retail/agri loans.

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Systemic deposit constraints

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Quarter Snapshot

Domestic Advances Growth 12.5%
+12.5% YoY

Domestic loan book grew 12.5% year-over-year, driven by retail (20%) and corporate (10.6%).

CASA Ratio 40%
flat YoY

CASA ratio remained strong at 40%, supporting low-cost deposit base.

Gross NPA 2.5%
-82 bps YoY

Gross NPA improved to 2.5% from 3.32% a year ago, reflecting better asset quality.

Slippage Ratio 1.07%
-21 bps YoY

Slippage ratio was within the guided range of 1-1.25%, down from 1.28% in H1.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
4 new risk3 risk resolved
UPDATED
Deposit growth guidance revised to 9-11% for FY25

Management lowered deposit growth guidance from 10-12% to 9-11%, citing systemic deposit constraints, but aims to operate at the upper end of 11%.

UPDATED
Loan growth guidance revised to 11-13% for FY25

Advances growth guidance reduced from 12-14% to 11-13%, with a target to operate at 13%, driven by domestic growth and moderation in international book.

UPDATED
NIM guidance maintained at 3.15% ±5 bps

Net interest margin guidance remains unchanged at 3.15% plus/minus 5 basis points, supported by ALM management and expected moderation in deposit costs.

UPDATED
Credit cost guidance maintained below 0.75%

Credit cost guidance remains below 0.75%, with slippage ratio guided at 1-1.25% and ROA above 1% (target 1.10%).

NEW RISK
Systemic deposit constraints

Deposit growth is under pressure due to savers shifting to capital markets, leading to a downward revision in deposit guidance.

NEW RISK
Elevated personal loan slippages

Personal loan slippages have increased to ~INR 250 crore per quarter from ~INR 100 crore earlier, though still small relative to total book.

NEW RISK
International margin compression

International NIM declined to ~2% from 2.13-2.14% due to repricing in overseas markets, with further moderation expected.

NEW RISK
Prudential provisioning impact on earnings

Higher prudential provisions (floating and standard asset) were taken this quarter, which could pressure earnings if sustained.

RISK GONE
Retail slippage increase

Retail slippages rose substantially in Q1, partly due to seasonal factors and subsidy-dependent assets, but could persist.

RISK GONE
MSME asset quality concerns

MSME slippages remain elevated at ~4% run rate, though management says it has stabilized; any deterioration could impact credit cost.

RISK GONE
Margin pressure from competitive pricing

Credit yield fell 25bps sequentially due to shedding of high-yield assets and competitive pricing, potentially pressuring NIM.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Deposit growth guidance revised to 9-11% for FY25

Management lowered deposit growth guidance from 10-12% to 9-11%, citing systemic deposit constraints, but aims to operate at the upper end of 11%.

Top risk Systemic deposit constraints

Deposit growth is under pressure due to savers shifting to capital markets, leading to a downward revision in deposit guidance.

View Risks →