Risk Intelligence
Elevated balance transfer attrition
View Risks →Bajaj Housing Finance reported a solid Q3 FY26 with AUM growth of 23% YoY to ₹1.33 lakh crore, driven by 32% YoY disbursement growth to ₹16,545 crore.
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Bajaj Housing Finance reported a solid Q3 FY26 with AUM growth of 23% YoY to ₹1.33 lakh crore, driven by 32% YoY disbursement growth to ₹16,545 crore. PAT rose 21% YoY to ₹665 crore, with annualized ROA of 2.3% and ROE of 12.3%. Asset quality remained healthy with GNPA at 27 bps and NNPA at 11 bps. Net interest margin held steady at 4%, while cost of funds improved 50 bps YoY to 7.3%. The company is scaling its near-prime and affordable housing SBU, targeting a monthly disbursement run rate of ₹600+ crore in 12-15 months, up from the current ₹325-350 crore. Management guided for 8-10 bps NIM compression for FY26 vs FY25, and reiterated a medium-term cost-to-income target of 14-15% in 3-4 years. Key risk: elevated competitive intensity and balance transfer attrition (20% of portfolio) could pressure growth and margins.
बजाज हाउसिंग फाइनेंस ने तीसरी तिमाही में अच्छा प्रदर्शन किया। कुल कर्ज (AUM) 23% बढ़कर ₹1.33 लाख करोड़ हो गया। नए कर्ज देने में 32% की बढ़ोतरी हुई, जो ₹16,545 करोड़ रही। कंपनी का मुनाफा (PAT) 21% बढ़कर ₹665 करोड़ हो गया। बैड लोन (GNPA) सिर्फ 0.27% है, जो बहुत कम है। ब्याज आय और खर्च का अंतर (NIM) 4% पर स्थिर है। कंपनी अब कम क्रेडिट स्कोर वाले ग्राहकों और किफायती आवास पर ध्यान दे रही है। हर महीने ₹325-350 करोड़ का कर्ज दे रही है, जिसे 12-15 महीनों में ₹600 करोड़ से ऊपर ले जाने का लक्ष्य है। मुनाफा मार्जिन पर थोड़ा दबाव आ सकता है। मुख्य जोखिम: बाजार में कड़ी प्रतिस्पर्धा और 20% ग्राहकों का दूसरी कंपनियों में चले जाना।
Elevated balance transfer attrition
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Read Transcript →AUM grew 23% YoY driven by strong disbursement momentum partially offset by higher attrition.
Disbursements grew 32% YoY, reflecting continued strong demand across product segments.
Cost of funds improved 50 bps YoY due to policy rate transmission and lower incremental borrowing rates.
The near-prime and affordable housing SBU is scaling rapidly; current run rate expected to nearly double.
Management targets reducing cost-to-income ratio to 14-15% over the next 3-4 years, driven by operating leverage and efficiency improvements.
The near-prime and affordable housing SBU aims to double its monthly disbursement run rate from ₹325-350 crore to over ₹600 crore within 12-15 months.
Management reiterated medium-term (3-4 year) AUM growth guidance of 24-26%, contingent on stabilization of attrition and industry growth of 12-14%.
Net interest margin expected to compress by 8-10 basis points for the full year FY26 compared to FY25, driven by assignment mix and attrition.
Management expects AUM growth to return to medium-term guidance levels in FY27 as attrition pressures stabilize with rate stabilization.
Management reiterated its aspiration to reduce opex to net total income ratio to 14-16% over a 3-4 year horizon, driven by income expansion and cost efficiency.
Management expects to achieve a gearing ratio of 7-8x within 2-2.5 years, supported by growth and capital management.
BT out on home loan portfolio is ~20%, with 60-70% of prepayments attributed to balance transfers. This pressure is expected to persist until interest rates stabilize.
RBI's consolidated circular removed an illustration allowing capital relief on undisbursed tranches of under-construction home loans and construction finance, leading to a sharper Tier 1 decline. Clarity is awaited.
Competitive intensity from PSU banks on pricing remains high in prime and super-prime segments, pressuring spreads and acquisition costs.
If home loan growth remains subdued relative to non-HL growth, higher assignment may be needed to manage PBC, which could compress NIMs further.
Home loan attrition rose to 21-22% annualized from 15-16% last year, driven by aggressive pricing from PSU banks, which could pressure AUM growth.
Management guided for 15-20 bps NIM compression in FY26, with further pressure from expected December rate cut and competitive pricing, especially in home loans.
While management is scaling affordable housing cautiously, the segment inherently carries higher credit risk, which could increase credit costs if not managed well.
Bajaj Finance holds 88% stake; regulatory requirement to reduce to 75% by September 2029 may lead to equity dilution, but management provided no clear timeline or plan.
Net interest margin expected to compress by 8-10 basis points for the full year FY26 compared to FY25, driven by assignment mix and attrition.
BT out on home loan portfolio is ~20%, with 60-70% of prepayments attributed to balance transfers.
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