Bajajfinsv Management Guidance Tracker
44 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.
Growth
Management expects absolute NBV to grow at a similar pace as historical 24% rolling 12-month growth, with margins stabilizing around 15%.
Q1 FY24BAGIC to sustain motor growth for 1-2 yearsTrackedExpansion in distribution and geographies is expected to sustain motor growth in the medium term, though market dynamics may affect it.
Q2 FY24BALIC NBV growth expected to continue with product mix improvementActiveManagement expects NBV growth to sustain as par product mix improves and new bank partnerships contribute.
Q2 FY24BFL to maintain long-term financial guidance metricsActiveBFL continues to deliver on AUM growth, profitability, and asset quality targets as per its stated guidance.
Q3 FY24Bajaj Allianz Life to maintain market-leading growthActiveManagement expects continued strong growth in IRNB, with focus on product mix and channel diversification.
Q3 FY24Bajaj Allianz General to sustain above-industry growthActiveThe company aims to grow faster than the industry in profitable segments, leveraging distribution expansion.
Q4 FY24BAGIC to maintain above-market growth with balanced profitabilityActiveManagement expects continued market share gains driven by distribution expansion and prudent underwriting, but no specific growth target given.
Q1 FY25BFL expects collection efficiency to improve in H2ActiveSteps taken to strengthen collections and slow rural B2C business should yield results in the second half of FY25.
Q2 FY25Bajaj Finserv Direct breakeven in 1-2 quartersActiveThe marketplace business expects to break even on a cash basis within the next couple of quarters.
Q2 FY25BAGIC core growth to remain above marketActiveManagement expects core premium growth to continue outpacing the industry, driven by disciplined underwriting.
Q3 FY25BALIC VNB growth to outpace top-line growthActiveManagement expects VNB to grow faster than top-line due to product structure changes and focus on profitability.
Q4 FY25BALIC top-line growth to pick up from H2 FY26TrackedAfter a muted H1 due to high base and agency channel reset, growth is expected to recover in the second half of FY26.
Q4 FY25BAGIC to continue calibrated growth with underwriting focusTrackedManagement aims to maintain profitable growth, prioritizing underwriting performance over market share in tender-driven businesses.
Q1 FY26BFL expects to disburse over 50 million new loans in FY26TrackedBajaj Finance guided for over 50 million new loan disbursements in full-year FY26, up from 13.49 million in Q1.
Q1 FY26BFL expects to add 14-16 million new customers in FY26TrackedBajaj Finance expects to add 14-16 million new customers in FY26, with 4.69 million added in Q1.
Q1 FY26BALIC expects H2 growth to be 'significantly comfortable'TrackedManagement indicated that H2 growth will be significantly comfortable due to favorable base effects and strategy execution.
Q2 FY26Life insurance growth to re-accelerate in H2ActiveAfter four quarters of flattish top line, management expects significant growth trajectory above industry from Q3 onwards, supported by GST tailwinds.
Q2 FY26BFL MSME AUM growth to be 10-12% for FY26TrackedBajaj Finance cut unsecured MSME volumes by 25%, leading to full-year AUM growth of only 10-12% in that segment.
Q4 FY26Bajaj Life Insurance expects better growth than H2 FY26ActiveManagement indicated growth in H2 FY26 should be exceeded in FY27, driven by new bancassurance partners and agency channel recovery.
Other
After a tactical Q1 with higher ULIP share, PAR mix is expected to revert to December 2022 levels, with corrective actions already taken in July.
Q3 FY24Bajaj Finance to resume digital card issuance soonActiveDeficiencies pointed out by RBI have been mostly cleared; disbursements expected to resume after regulatory approval.
Q1 FY25Bajaj Finserv Health to provide long-term plan in 6-9 monthsTrackedPost-Vidal acquisition, management will outline a complete long-range plan including breakeven visibility within 6-9 months.
Q3 FY25BFL to reduce loan losses next yearTrackedManagement committed to bringing down loan losses in the coming year.
Q4 FY26Bajaj Finserv Health targets operating breakeven in ~24 monthsTrackedBased on current trajectory, the health business expects to reach operating breakeven within two years.
Q4 FY26Bajaj Markets expects breakeven by end of FY27TrackedWith platform migration complete and new revenue structures, Bajaj Markets aims to break even by the end of the current fiscal year.
Margins
Due to investments in manpower and rural expansion, combined ratio may temporarily exceed 100% before normalizing.
Q4 FY24BALIC to grow faster than industry with improving marginsActiveDirectionally, NBV margins expected to improve due to scale and cost efficiencies, though no specific numbers provided.
Q1 FY25BAGIC expects combined ratio to normalize in subsequent quartersActiveManagement indicated that large commercial claims in Q1 are one-offs and not expected to recur, with combined ratio likely improving.
Q1 FY25BALIC margins may see a pause in expansion this year due to surrender regulationsTrackedNew surrender value norms could temporarily impact margin expansion, but medium-term expansion expected through product filings and cost optimization.
Q2 FY25BALIC VNB margin improvement in H2ActiveManagement expects VNB margins to improve in H2 as product mix rebalances away from ULIPs and commission deferrals take effect.
Q3 FY25BAGIC to maintain combined ratio better than marketActiveContinued focus on profitable growth with combined ratio superior to industry average.
Q4 FY25BALIC VNB margin trajectory to steepenTrackedManagement expects VNB margin expansion to accelerate, with benefits from cost actions and product mix fully playing out by FY27, but visible from H2 FY26.
Q1 FY26BAGIC aims to maintain combined ratio close to 100%ActiveManagement reiterated its endeavor to keep combined ratio close to 100%, despite current elevated levels.
Q2 FY26GST ITC impact to be mitigated in two quartersTrackedManagement expects to manage the GST input tax credit burden through product restructuring and distributor negotiations within the next two quarters.
Q2 FY26Life insurance margin expansion of 4-6% for FY26 (pre-GST)TrackedExcluding GST impact, management expected NBM expansion of 4-6% for the full year, but GST noise may affect H2.
Q3 FY26Life insurance VNB margin expansion to continue, but taperActiveManagement expects margin expansion to continue but at a slower pace due to base effects; GST impact pushed back margin targets by 2-3 quarters.
Expansion
The acquisition of Vidal Healthcare will accelerate Finserv Health's position in the healthcare payment spectrum.
Q4 FY24Bajaj Finserv Health to integrate Vidal acquisition in Q1 FY25ActiveAcquisition completed in April 2024; integration and utilization of Vidal network to begin next quarter.
Q4 FY25Platform businesses to scale transactionsTrackedBajaj Finserv Health and Bajaj Markets are expected to increase transaction volumes and achieve greater scale, with health targeting international expansion.
Q3 FY26Bajaj Finserv AMC to launch AIF and PMS by end FY27TrackedPlans to start alternative investment funds and portfolio management services targeting high-net-worth clients, subject to regulatory approvals.
Q3 FY26Bajaj Life setting up pension fund and GIFT City branchTrackedProcess of regulatory approvals initiated for a pension fund management business and a branch in GIFT City.
Q4 FY26Bajaj Finserv AMC to launch PMS and AIF within 1.5 yearsTrackedAMC is actively considering PMS and SIF/AIF products, with launches expected in the next 1.5 years.