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BAJAJ-AUTO Automobile 18 Jan 2024

Bajaj Auto Ltd — Q3 FY24

Bajaj Auto delivered a record Q3 FY24 with revenue of ₹12,114 crore (up 30% YoY), EBITDA of ₹2,430 crore (margin 20.1%, up 100bps YoY), and PAT crossing ₹2,000 crore for the first time.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹12,165 Cr +30%
EBITDA ₹2,430 Cr +37%
EBITDA Margin 20% +100bps
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Bajaj Auto delivered a record Q3 FY24 with revenue of ₹12,114 crore (up 30% YoY), EBITDA of ₹2,430 crore (margin 20.1%, up 100bps YoY), and PAT crossing ₹2,000 crore for the first time. Domestic business drove growth with 50% revenue jump, led by 125cc+ segment (36% growth) and Pulsar all-time high of 400,000 units. Exports remained soft (down 4% volume) but revenue grew 10% on better mix. Chetak reached 14% market share, targeting 15,000/month in Q4. Triumph scaled to 2,800 retail units in 40 cities. Management guided for sustained domestic momentum, gradual export recovery (2-5% QoQ), and new launches including CNG motorcycle in FY25. Key risk: Red Sea disruptions and geopolitical uncertainty delaying export recovery.

Promises0 met · 4 missedRisks4 tracked
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Focused Modules

Promises 4 promises

Promise Tracker

0 delivered, 0 close, 4 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Red Sea shipping disruptions

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Quarter Snapshot

Pulsar quarterly volume 400,000 units
+100% vs 2 years ago

All-time high quarterly volume for Pulsar, doubling in two years.

Chetak retail market share 14%
+10pp vs FY23

Market share rose from 4% in FY23 to 14% in December 2023.

125cc+ segment market share 31%
N/A

Bajaj holds 31% share in the 125cc+ segment, nearing leadership.

Three-wheeler market share 77%
N/A

Overall three-wheeler market share at 77% in Q3; 85% in CNG segment.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped1 new risk1 risk resolved
NEW
CNG motorcycle launch in FY25

Bajaj is working on a CNG motorcycle and expects to launch it in FY2025.

NEW
Export recovery of 2-5% QoQ in Q4 FY24

Management expects sequential export volume improvement of 2-5% in Q4, tempered by Red Sea disruptions.

UPDATED
Chetak monthly volume target of 15,000 units in Q4 FY24

Management targets to reach 15,000 units per month in Q4, up from ~10,000 exit rate in December.

UPDATED
Triumph capacity expansion to 20,000-30,000 units in H1 FY25

Triumph capacity will be increased from current 10,000 to 20,000 and then 30,000 units in first half of next fiscal.

DROPPED
Festive season industry growth of 12-15%

Management expects the 33-day festive period to see double-digit growth vs. like-to-like period last year, with Bajaj outpacing the market.

DROPPED
Export volumes to improve quarter-on-quarter

Expect gradual recovery with each quarter larger than the previous, though return to peak (210,000 units) is some time away.

NEW RISK
Red Sea shipping disruptions

Geopolitical tensions have caused shipping delays and freight cost doubling, impacting export volumes and margins in the near term.

RISK GONE
Triumph order book conversion uncertainty

Management stopped monitoring order book; actual demand sustainability post-initial euphoria is unverified.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Triumph production to reach 5,000 units/month by September

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Monthly capacity to be expanded to ~10,000 units by end of FY24, with network covering 100 cities.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Chetak monthly volume target of 15,000 units in Q4 FY24

Management targets to reach 15,000 units per month in Q4, up from ~10,000 exit rate in December.

Top risk Red Sea shipping disruptions

Geopolitical tensions have caused shipping delays and freight cost doubling, impacting export volumes and margins in the near term.

View Risks →