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Bajaj Auto FY25 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹50,994 Cr revenue · ₹7,325 Cr PAT · 19.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹50,994 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹7,325 Cr
Average margin: 19.0%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY25₹11,932 Cr₹1,942 Cr20.0%bullish
Q2 FY25₹13,247 Cr₹1,385 Cr16.0%bullish
Q3 FY25₹13,169 Cr₹2,196 Cr21.0%bullish
Q4 FY25₹12,646 Cr₹1,802 Cr19.0%bullish

Management promises made during the year

Chetak monthly volume target of 15,000 units in Q4 FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY25
missed
Export recovery of 2-5% QoQ in Q4 FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY25
missed
Freedom 125 capacity ramp-up to 40,000 units/month by Q4 FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
Chetak EV distribution expansion to 1,000 stores by September 2024

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
Commodity cost inflation of 50-70bps in Q2, partially offset by pricing

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
Freedom 125 capacity to reach 40,000/month by Q4 FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
Chetak distribution to expand to 4,000 stores by January 2025

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
BACL to achieve 100% network coverage by January 2025

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY25
missed
Exports growth of 20%+ in near term

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed
Chetak 3.5 series to drive EV profitability in Q4

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed
E-rickshaw launch by end of FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed
OBD-II B cost impact of ~1% on portfolio

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY25 · high

Nigeria volumes dropped from 50,000/month benchmark to under 5,000 in April, recovering to only 15,000; Africa sales down 40% YoY.

Q2 FY25 · high

Associate Pierer Mobility reported a loss of EUR 172 million in H1 2024, leading to a INR 580 crore hit on consolidated PAT. Management declined to provide forward guidance on this.

Q3 FY25 · high

KTM exports dropped ~50% due to financial restructuring in Austria; revival depends on court-supervised process by Feb 25, but outcome uncertain.

Q4 FY25 · high

Continued supply of rare earth magnets from China is uncertain; any delay could seriously impact EV production by July 2025.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Rising aluminum and copper prices could impact margins by 50-70bps in Q2; pricing actions only partially offset.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Chetak remains loss-making despite cost reductions; management declined to disclose specific margin, indicating profitability is still distant.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Analyst noted lackluster demand in the 250-500cc segment despite multiple launches; management acknowledged the trend but offered no specific mitigation.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Africa continues to decline across major markets, though decline rates have reduced. Nigeria recovery is fragile due to currency volatility.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Motorcycle industry growth during festive season has been muted at 1-2%, below the expected 5-6%, with 100cc segment declining.

Q2 FY25 · medium

Significant discounting in the EV two-wheeler market could pressure Chetak margins, even as cost reductions are achieved.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Currency-led volatility, particularly in South Asia and Africa, could impact export growth and margins.

Q3 FY25 · medium

Adoption of Freedom is slower than expected due to sparse CNG pump density and lower savings for low-mileage users; market development efforts may take time.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY25 · Freedom 125 capacity ramp-up to 40,000 units/month by Q4 FY25

Starting at 10,000 units/month in Q2, capacity will be scaled to 40,000 by Q4, with potential for further increase based on demand.

G

Q1 FY25 · Chetak EV distribution expansion to 1,000 stores by September 2024

Chetak will expand from 250 stores in June to 500 by end July and nearly 1,000 by September, driving volume growth.

G

Q1 FY25 · Commodity cost inflation of 50-70bps in Q2, partially offset by pricing

Management expects 50-70bps cost inflation from commodities, with pricing actions covering about half of the impact.

G

Q1 FY25 · BACL captive financing to cover 100% of stores by March 2025

Bajaj Auto Credit Ltd (BACL) currently covers 50% of stores and is on track to reach full coverage by March 2025.

G

Q2 FY25 · Freedom 125 capacity to reach 40,000/month by Q4 FY25

Management plans to increase Freedom 125 production capacity to 30,000/month in Q3 and 40,000/month in Q4, driven by strong customer adoption.

G

Q2 FY25 · Chetak distribution to expand to 4,000 stores by January 2025

Chetak will be available in about 4,000 stores by January, up from ~3,000 currently, supported by 250 exclusive stores.

G

Q2 FY25 · BACL to achieve 100% network coverage by January 2025

Captive finance arm BACL will cover 100% of Bajaj Auto's market share by January 2025, up from 70%+ currently.

G

Q2 FY25 · Brazil plant capacity to expand to 35,000 units annually by FY26

Board approved additional investment to expand Brazil plant capacity from 20,000 to 35,000 units per annum by FY2026.

G

Q3 FY25 · Exports growth of 20%+ in near term

Management expects exports to continue growing at 20%+ YoY for the next 3-6 months, driven by Latin America and Africa recovery.

G

Q3 FY25 · Chetak 3.5 series to drive EV profitability in Q4

The new Chetak platform will achieve EBITDA break-even at unit level, with production scaling from February, leading to a major swing into profitability in Q4.

G

Q3 FY25 · E-rickshaw launch by end of FY25

Bajaj will launch a modern e-rickshaw by end of March 2025, targeting a fragmented market with 45,000 monthly retail units.

G

Q3 FY25 · OBD-II B cost impact of ~1% on portfolio

Compliance with OBD-II B norms from April 2025 will add ~1% cost to the motorcycle portfolio, with price hikes to be rolled out.

G

Q4 FY25 · Exports to grow 15-20% per quarter

Management expects exports to continue growing at 15-20% every quarter, driven by Latin America, KTM exports resumption, and strong competitive positions.

G

Q4 FY25 · Domestic motorcycle industry growth of 5-6% in FY26

The industry is expected to grow 5-6% in FY26, led by the 125cc+ segment.

G

Q4 FY25 · Material cost inflation of ~1pp in Q1 FY26

CFO expects commodity inflation and OBD2 norms to add ~1 percentage point to material costs in Q1, with pricing covering 30-50% of the impact.

G

Q4 FY25 · Chetak EV business near EBITDA break-even

The electric two-wheeler business is now close to EBITDA break-even, with further cost savings expected later in FY26.