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AXISBANK Banking 22 Oct 2024

Axis Bank Ltd — Q2 FY25

Axis Bank reported a steady Q2 FY25 with PAT of INR 6,918 crore, up 18% YoY, driven by healthy operating income growth and moderation in operating expenses.

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PAT ₹7,436 Cr +18%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Axis Bank reported a steady Q2 FY25 with PAT of INR 6,918 crore, up 18% YoY, driven by healthy operating income growth and moderation in operating expenses. Consolidated ROA improved to 1.92% and ROE to 18.08%. NIM stood at 3.99%, flat sequentially excluding one-offs. Deposit growth of 14% YoY outpaced the industry by 200 bps, while loan growth lagged at 11% YoY due to calibrated approach in unsecured retail segments. Retail slippages rose, primarily from unsecured products, but management expects corrective actions to contain stress. Fee income grew 11% YoY. Guidance: medium-term loan growth 300-400 bps above industry, deposit growth remains a key focus. Risk: elevated retail slippages could persist if unsecured stress broadens.

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Elevated retail slippages from unsecured portfolio

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Quarter Snapshot

Consolidated ROA 1.92%
+9 bps YoY

Return on assets improved year-on-year, reflecting better profitability.

Consolidated ROE 18.08%
+140 bps QoQ

Return on equity improved sharply quarter-on-quarter.

CASA Ratio 40%
flat QoQ

Quarterly average CASA ratio remained stable sequentially.

Gross NPA Ratio 1.44%
-29 bps YoY

Gross NPA ratio improved year-on-year, indicating better asset quality.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
2 new guidance2 dropped3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Deposit growth to remain a key constraint in short term

Given regulatory focus on CD ratio, deposit growth will be a key constraint for advances growth in the short to medium term.

NEW
Cost growth moderation to continue

Management expects pace of cost growth to moderate, having delivered 9% YoY growth in Q2.

UPDATED
Medium-term loan growth 300-400 bps above industry

Management reiterated that advances can grow 300 to 400 basis points faster than industry in the medium to long term.

DROPPED
Credit cost not indicative of full year

Q1 annualized net credit cost of 0.97% is not reflective of full-year expectations due to timing differences in recoveries.

DROPPED
Operating expense growth moderation

Expense growth will moderate through FY25 from the 27-29% YoY range seen last year.

NEW RISK
Elevated retail slippages from unsecured portfolio

Retail slippages increased 40-45 bps YoY, primarily from unsecured products, and may persist in near term.

NEW RISK
Impact of RBI draft circular on subsidiaries

RBI draft circular on overlapping businesses may affect subsidiaries; management is evaluating implications.

NEW RISK
LCR pressure from new draft norms

New LCR draft norms could reduce reported LCR from 115% closer to 100%, requiring balance sheet adjustments.

RISK GONE
Retail unsecured credit cost increase

Credit costs in retail unsecured portfolios are rising, though still within internal risk benchmarks. Further deterioration could pressure earnings.

RISK GONE
Deposit growth constraint on advances

Management flagged deposit growth as a key constraint for loan growth in the near term, which could limit balance sheet expansion.

RISK GONE
Lower recoveries in wholesale book

55% of the increase in net credit cost was due to lower recoveries and upgrades in the wholesale segment, which are episodic and may not materialize as expected.

RISK GONE
Linked account slippages distorting asset quality

32% of gross slippages were from linked accounts, which may inflate reported stress; resolution timing is uncertain.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Deposit growth constraint may cap loan growth

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Tight liquidity and rising deposit costs could limit the bank's ability to grow loans at the desired pace, potentially compressing NIMs.

System credit growth to converge to deposit growth of ~13%

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management expects system credit growth to converge towards deposit growth of around 13% for the fiscal year.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Medium-term loan growth 300-400 bps above industry

Management reiterated that advances can grow 300 to 400 basis points faster than industry in the medium to long term.

Top risk Elevated retail slippages from unsecured portfolio

Retail slippages increased 40-45 bps YoY, primarily from unsecured products, and may persist in near term.

View Risks →