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ATGL Diversified 30 Jan 2025

Adani Total Gas Limited — Q3 FY25

Adani Total Gas reported Q3 FY25 revenue of ₹1,397 crore (+12% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹272 crore, with EBITDA margin of 19.5%.

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Revenue ₹1,294 Cr +12%
EBITDA ₹272 Cr
PAT ₹142 Cr
EBITDA Margin 20%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Adani Total Gas reported Q3 FY25 revenue of ₹1,397 crore (+12% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹272 crore, with EBITDA margin of 19.5%. CNG volumes grew 19% YoY to 171 MMSCM, driven by network expansion and affordable pricing. However, APM gas allocation for CNG was cut twice during the quarter, averaging 47%, partially offset by new well gas and HPHT gas. Management expects margin stability around ₹10-12 per SCM, with APM restored to 51% from mid-January. Risks include further APM cuts and high spot gas costs. Capex guidance for FY25 is ₹900-1,000 crore.

Promises0 met · 1 missedRisks3 trackedTranscriptfull text
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0 delivered, 0 close, 1 missed.

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Risk Intelligence

Further APM gas allocation cuts

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Quarter Snapshot

CNG Volume 171 MMSCM
+19% YoY

CNG volume grew 19% year-on-year to 171 MMSCM in Q3 FY25.

Total Volume Growth 257 MMSCM
+15% YoY

Total gas volume (CNG+PNG) grew 15% YoY to 257 MMSCM.

CNG Station Count 605
+28 stations QoQ

Added 28 CNG stations in Q3, total network reaches 605.

APM Allocation (CNG) 47%
-16pp YoY

Average APM allocation for CNG was 47% in Q3, down from 63% earlier.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
2 new guidance3 dropped2 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Capex of ₹900-1,000 crore for FY25

Management guided total capex for FY25 to be around ₹900-1,000 crore, including newer businesses.

NEW
EBITDA per SCM expected to remain in similar range

Management expects EBITDA per SCM to remain around ₹10-12, balancing volume growth and cost optimization.

UPDATED
EV charging points target of 3,000 by March-April 2025

Aim to reach around 3,000 EV charging points by March to April 2025, up from 1,914 currently.

DROPPED
Calibrated CNG price increase expected

Management plans to pass on some cost increases to consumers in a calibrated manner to balance volume growth and margins.

DROPPED
CapEx acceleration via $375M financing

The company raised $375 million to accelerate network infrastructure development over the next 24 months.

DROPPED
LNG for transport and mining expansion

First LNG station commissioned in Tiruppur; more stations under construction to cater to long-haul trucks and mining.

NEW RISK
High spot gas prices

Reliance on costlier spot and HPHT gas (25% of portfolio) could compress margins if APM allocation remains low.

NEW RISK
Uncertainty in APM allocation timeline

Analyst raised concern about quarterly review cycle; management could not provide clarity on future allocation changes.

RISK GONE
Margin compression from higher gas costs

If CNG prices are not raised sufficiently, EBITDA margins may decline; management has not yet passed on costs.

RISK GONE
Volume growth slowdown from price hikes

Raising CNG prices to offset higher costs could dampen demand and slow volume growth.

RISK GONE
Dependence on new well intervention gas

The replacement gas is priced at a premium (12% over basket price) and allocation is only until March 2025, creating uncertainty.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Capex of ₹900-1,000 crore for FY25

Management guided total capex for FY25 to be around ₹900-1,000 crore, including newer businesses.

Top risk Further APM gas allocation cuts

APM allocation for CNG was cut twice in Q3; further reductions could pressure margins despite restoration to 51% in January.

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