Risk Intelligence
Chinese competition in export markets
View Risks →APAR Industries reported Q3 FY25 consolidated revenue of INR 4,716 crore, up 17.7% YoY, driven by strong domestic volume growth in conductors and cables.
Financial stats pending filing verification
APAR Industries reported Q3 FY25 consolidated revenue of INR 4,716 crore, up 17.7% YoY, driven by strong domestic volume growth in conductors and cables. However, EBITDA fell 7.1% to INR 401 crore (margin 8.5%), and PAT declined 19.7% to INR 175 crore, impacted by a shift from higher-margin exports to domestic business, lower premium product mix, and elevated freight costs. The conductor order book stands at INR 7,600 crore, with new orders up 62.3% YoY. Management expects export demand to recover as U.S. sales sequentially improved 8.5% and freight costs soften. Key risks include sustained Chinese competition in export markets and potential delays in domestic tender finalizations due to budget mismatches.
एपीएआर इंडस्ट्रीज ने तीसरी तिमाही में 4,716 करोड़ रुपये की कमाई की, जो पिछले साल से 17.7% ज्यादा है। यह बढ़ोतरी देश में तार और केबल की मजबूत मांग से हुई। लेकिन मुनाफा घट गया। कंपनी की कमाई पर खर्च (EBITDA) 401 करोड़ रुपये रहा, जो 7.1% कम है। शुद्ध मुनाफा (PAT) 175 करोड़ रुपये रहा, जो 19.7% गिर गया। इसकी वजह यह है कि कंपनी ने ज्यादा मुनाफे वाले निर्यात के बजाय घरेलू बाजार पर ध्यान दिया, महंगे उत्पाद कम बेचे, और माल ढुलाई का खर्च बढ़ गया। कंपनी के पास 7,600 करोड़ रुपये के ऑर्डर हैं, और नए ऑर्डर 62.3% बढ़े हैं। प्रबंधन को उम्मीद है कि अमेरिका में बिक्री बढ़ने और ढुलाई खर्च कम होने से निर्यात सुधरेगा। लेकिन चीन से प्रतिस्पर्धा और सरकारी टेंडर में देरी का खतरा बना हुआ है।
Chinese competition in export markets
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Read Transcript →New orders received in Q3 were INR 3,077 crore, 62.3% higher than Q3 FY24.
EBITDA per metric ton fell from INR 41,500 in Q3 FY24 due to lower premium product mix and geography shift.
Cable division revenue grew 37% YoY, driven by strong domestic demand in T&D, renewables, and railways.
Export contribution fell from 40.7% in Q3 FY24 as domestic growth outpaced exports.
Management reiterated guidance for cable division to grow 25% year-on-year in value terms for FY25.
Management expects conductor division to grow 10% year-on-year in volume terms for FY25.
Management expects oil division to grow 5%-8% year-on-year in volume terms for FY25.
Management targets cable division EBITDA margin of 11%-12%, driven by U.S. recovery and cost optimization.
Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.
Management sees sequential improvement in US orders, with Q2 order intake up 17.5% QoQ, and expects this trend to continue.
Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.
APAR is doubling its CTC conductor capacity, with the new capacity expected to be operational in January 2025.
Many tenders for transmission lines and substations are being retendered because bids exceeded budgets, slowing order finalization and execution.
Potential changes to IRA benefits and tariffs could impact U.S. demand, though management notes it's too early to assess.
Management's expectation of export recovery, especially in cables, may be delayed if US approvals take longer or competition intensifies.
While reconductoring is a key growth driver, actual execution has been slow, with only 20% of annual transmission line target achieved in H1.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24
Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY24
Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24
Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24
Distributors in the US and Europe are reducing inventory levels, leading to slower order inflows for cables and conductors. This could persist for several months, impacting near-term export revenue.
Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24
Higher freight costs due to Red Sea disruptions affect export competitiveness, especially to Europe.
Management reiterated guidance for cable division to grow 25% year-on-year in value terms for FY25.
Chinese producers are undercutting prices in Australia, Africa, and Latin America due to cheaper raw materials, forcing APAR to divert capacity to...
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