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APARINDS Diversified 30 Jan 2025

Apar Industries Limited — Q3 FY25

APAR Industries reported Q3 FY25 consolidated revenue of INR 4,716 crore, up 17.7% YoY, driven by strong domestic volume growth in conductors and cables.

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Revenue ₹4,716 Cr +17.7%
EBITDA ₹401 Cr -7.1%
PAT ₹175 Cr -19.7%
EBITDA Margin 8.5% -220bps
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APAR Industries reported Q3 FY25 consolidated revenue of INR 4,716 crore, up 17.7% YoY, driven by strong domestic volume growth in conductors and cables. However, EBITDA fell 7.1% to INR 401 crore (margin 8.5%), and PAT declined 19.7% to INR 175 crore, impacted by a shift from higher-margin exports to domestic business, lower premium product mix, and elevated freight costs. The conductor order book stands at INR 7,600 crore, with new orders up 62.3% YoY. Management expects export demand to recover as U.S. sales sequentially improved 8.5% and freight costs soften. Key risks include sustained Chinese competition in export markets and potential delays in domestic tender finalizations due to budget mismatches.

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Quarter Snapshot

Conductor Order Book INR 7,600 crore
+62.3% YoY (new orders)

New orders received in Q3 were INR 3,077 crore, 62.3% higher than Q3 FY24.

Conductor EBITDA per Ton INR 29,593
-28.7% YoY

EBITDA per metric ton fell from INR 41,500 in Q3 FY24 due to lower premium product mix and geography shift.

Cable Revenue Growth INR 1,266 crore
+37% YoY

Cable division revenue grew 37% YoY, driven by strong domestic demand in T&D, renewables, and railways.

Export Mix (Overall) 33.5%
-7.2pp YoY

Export contribution fell from 40.7% in Q3 FY24 as domestic growth outpaced exports.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
4 new guidance4 dropped2 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Cable division top-line growth of 25% on value terms

Management reiterated guidance for cable division to grow 25% year-on-year in value terms for FY25.

NEW
Conductor division volume growth of 10%

Management expects conductor division to grow 10% year-on-year in volume terms for FY25.

NEW
Oil division volume growth of 5%-8%

Management expects oil division to grow 5%-8% year-on-year in volume terms for FY25.

NEW
Cable EBITDA margin target of 11%-12%

Management targets cable division EBITDA margin of 11%-12%, driven by U.S. recovery and cost optimization.

DROPPED
Conductor volume growth may fall short of 10% guidance for FY25

Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.

DROPPED
US business expected to show sequential growth

Management sees sequential improvement in US orders, with Q2 order intake up 17.5% QoQ, and expects this trend to continue.

DROPPED
Conductor EBITDA per ton guidance maintained at INR 28,500

Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.

DROPPED
CTC capacity doubling to come on stream in January

APAR is doubling its CTC conductor capacity, with the new capacity expected to be operational in January 2025.

NEW RISK
Domestic tender delays due to budget mismatches

Many tenders for transmission lines and substations are being retendered because bids exceeded budgets, slowing order finalization and execution.

NEW RISK
U.S. policy uncertainty under new administration

Potential changes to IRA benefits and tariffs could impact U.S. demand, though management notes it's too early to assess.

RISK GONE
Export volumes may not recover as expected

Management's expectation of export recovery, especially in cables, may be delayed if US approvals take longer or competition intensifies.

RISK GONE
Reconductoring policy and execution delays

While reconductoring is a key growth driver, actual execution has been slow, with only 20% of annual transmission line target achieved in H1.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

CapEx of INR 350-400 crore over 12-18 months

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.

Conductor EBITDA per metric ton guidance of INR 28,000-28,500

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY25, Q4 FY24

Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.

Cable revenue growth of 25% for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.

Export slowdown due to de-inventorization in US and Europe

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Distributors in the US and Europe are reducing inventory levels, leading to slower order inflows for cables and conductors. This could persist for several months, impacting near-term export revenue.

Impact of Red Sea crisis on freight costs

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Higher freight costs due to Red Sea disruptions affect export competitiveness, especially to Europe.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Cable division top-line growth of 25% on value terms

Management reiterated guidance for cable division to grow 25% year-on-year in value terms for FY25.

Top risk Chinese competition in export markets

Chinese producers are undercutting prices in Australia, Africa, and Latin America due to cheaper raw materials, forcing APAR to divert capacity to...

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