Risk Intelligence
Sustained Chinese competition in export markets
View Risks →Apar Industries reported a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 4,645 crore, up 18.4% YoY, driven by robust domestic growth of 61.1%.
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Apar Industries reported a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 4,645 crore, up 18.4% YoY, driven by robust domestic growth of 61.1%. EBITDA grew 7.8% YoY to INR 402 crore, with margins at 8.7%, impacted by a shift in mix toward lower-margin domestic business. PAT rose 11.5% YoY to INR 194 crore. The conductor segment saw flat volumes due to lower exports, but premium product mix remained healthy at 42.2%. The oil business posted 12.1% revenue growth, with transformer oil volumes up 25%. Cables grew 39% on strong domestic demand. Management expects export recovery, particularly in the US, and remains confident in the long-term energy transition theme. Key risk: sustained Chinese competition in ex-US export markets could pressure volumes and margins.
अपार इंडस्ट्रीज ने दूसरी तिमाही में अच्छा प्रदर्शन किया। कंपनी की कुल कमाई 4,645 करोड़ रुपये रही, जो पिछले साल से 18.4% ज्यादा है। भारत में कारोबार 61.1% बढ़ा। कंपनी की कमाई और खर्च का अंतर (EBITDA) 402 करोड़ रुपये रहा, जो 7.8% बढ़ा, लेकिन मुनाफा दर 8.7% पर कम रही क्योंकि घरेलू कारोबार में कम मुनाफा है। शुद्ध मुनाफा 11.5% बढ़कर 194 करोड़ रुपये हुआ। तारों का कारोबार सपाट रहा, लेकिन अच्छे उत्पादों की हिस्सेदारी 42.2% रही। तेल कारोबार में 12.1% और ट्रांसफॉर्मर तेल की बिक्री 25% बढ़ी। केबल का कारोबार 39% बढ़ा। कंपनी को अमेरिका में निर्यात बढ़ने की उम्मीद है, लेकिन चीन से प्रतिस्पर्धा जोखिम है।
Sustained Chinese competition in export markets
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Read Transcript →Domestic revenue grew 61.1% YoY in Q2, driven by strong order inflows across all segments.
Premium conductor mix remained healthy at 42.2%, supporting per-ton EBITDA of INR 37,702.
Pending order book for conductors stood at INR 6,615 crore, with new orders of INR 2,234 crore in Q2.
Transformer oil volumes grew 25% YoY, driven by strong domestic and global demand.
Management sees sequential improvement in US orders, with Q2 order intake up 17.5% QoQ, and expects this trend to continue.
Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.
APAR is doubling its CTC conductor capacity, with the new capacity expected to be operational in January 2025.
Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.
Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.
Management expects cable EBITDA margins to remain in the 10-12% range for FY25.
Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.
Management's expectation of export recovery, especially in cables, may be delayed if US approvals take longer or competition intensifies.
Higher domestic mix, which carries lower margins than exports, could continue to compress overall EBITDA margins.
While reconductoring is a key growth driver, actual execution has been slow, with only 20% of annual transmission line target achieved in H1.
Export shipments across all divisions were affected in June due to container availability, with over INR 270 crore of shipments postponed. This may persist into Q2.
Delays in regulatory approvals for transmission line projects in the US and Europe have affected export demand, particularly for conductors.
Cable exports to the US have been volatile due to inventory rationalization and regulatory delays; recovery is expected but timing uncertain.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24
Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25
Management expects cable EBITDA margins to remain in the 10-12% range for FY25.
Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24
Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.
Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24
Distributors in the US and Europe are reducing inventory levels, leading to slower order inflows for cables and conductors. This could persist for several months, impacting near-term export revenue.
Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24
Higher freight costs due to Red Sea disruptions affect export competitiveness, especially to Europe.
Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.
Chinese competitors are aggressively pricing in ex-US markets, potentially limiting export volumes and margins.
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