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APARINDS Diversified 30 Oct 2024

Apar Industries Limited — Q2 FY25

Apar Industries reported a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 4,645 crore, up 18.4% YoY, driven by robust domestic growth of 61.1%.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹4,645 Cr +18.4%
EBITDA ₹402 Cr +7.8%
PAT ₹194 Cr +11.5%
EBITDA Margin 8.7%
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2-Minute Summary

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Apar Industries reported a strong Q2 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 4,645 crore, up 18.4% YoY, driven by robust domestic growth of 61.1%. EBITDA grew 7.8% YoY to INR 402 crore, with margins at 8.7%, impacted by a shift in mix toward lower-margin domestic business. PAT rose 11.5% YoY to INR 194 crore. The conductor segment saw flat volumes due to lower exports, but premium product mix remained healthy at 42.2%. The oil business posted 12.1% revenue growth, with transformer oil volumes up 25%. Cables grew 39% on strong domestic demand. Management expects export recovery, particularly in the US, and remains confident in the long-term energy transition theme. Key risk: sustained Chinese competition in ex-US export markets could pressure volumes and margins.

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Quarter Snapshot

Domestic Revenue Growth 61.1%
+61.1pp YoY

Domestic revenue grew 61.1% YoY in Q2, driven by strong order inflows across all segments.

Conductor Premium Product Mix 42.2%
+2.2pp YoY

Premium conductor mix remained healthy at 42.2%, supporting per-ton EBITDA of INR 37,702.

Conductor Order Book INR 6,615 crore
N/A

Pending order book for conductors stood at INR 6,615 crore, with new orders of INR 2,234 crore in Q2.

Transformer Oil Volume Growth 25%
+25% YoY

Transformer oil volumes grew 25% YoY, driven by strong domestic and global demand.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY25 vs Q1 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
US business expected to show sequential growth

Management sees sequential improvement in US orders, with Q2 order intake up 17.5% QoQ, and expects this trend to continue.

NEW
Conductor EBITDA per ton guidance maintained at INR 28,500

Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.

NEW
CTC capacity doubling to come on stream in January

APAR is doubling its CTC conductor capacity, with the new capacity expected to be operational in January 2025.

UPDATED
Conductor volume growth may fall short of 10% guidance for FY25

Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.

DROPPED
Cable revenue growth of 25% for FY25

Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.

DROPPED
Cable EBITDA margin 10-12%

Management expects cable EBITDA margins to remain in the 10-12% range for FY25.

DROPPED
CapEx of INR 300-350 crore in FY25

Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.

NEW RISK
Export volumes may not recover as expected

Management's expectation of export recovery, especially in cables, may be delayed if US approvals take longer or competition intensifies.

NEW RISK
Domestic margin pressure from mix shift

Higher domestic mix, which carries lower margins than exports, could continue to compress overall EBITDA margins.

NEW RISK
Reconductoring policy and execution delays

While reconductoring is a key growth driver, actual execution has been slow, with only 20% of annual transmission line target achieved in H1.

RISK GONE
Container shortage and logistics disruption

Export shipments across all divisions were affected in June due to container availability, with over INR 270 crore of shipments postponed. This may persist into Q2.

RISK GONE
Regulatory delays in US and Europe

Delays in regulatory approvals for transmission line projects in the US and Europe have affected export demand, particularly for conductors.

RISK GONE
Dependence on US market for cables

Cable exports to the US have been volatile due to inventory rationalization and regulatory delays; recovery is expected but timing uncertain.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

CapEx of INR 350-400 crore over 12-18 months

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.

Cable EBITDA margin of 10%-12%

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25

Management expects cable EBITDA margins to remain in the 10-12% range for FY25.

Cable revenue growth of 25% for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.

Export slowdown due to de-inventorization in US and Europe

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Distributors in the US and Europe are reducing inventory levels, leading to slower order inflows for cables and conductors. This could persist for several months, impacting near-term export revenue.

Impact of Red Sea crisis on freight costs

Mentioned in Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Higher freight costs due to Red Sea disruptions affect export competitiveness, especially to Europe.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Conductor volume growth may fall short of 10% guidance for FY25

Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.

Top risk Sustained Chinese competition in export markets

Chinese competitors are aggressively pricing in ex-US markets, potentially limiting export volumes and margins.

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