Apar Industries FY25 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹18,582 Cr revenue · ₹822 Cr PAT · 9.1% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Promise tracking available after 2+ quarters of coverage.
Risks flagged during the year
Export shipments across all divisions were affected in June due to container availability, with over INR 270 crore of shipments postponed. This may persist into Q2.
Q2 FY25 · highChinese competitors are aggressively pricing in ex-US markets, potentially limiting export volumes and margins.
Q3 FY25 · highChinese producers are undercutting prices in Australia, Africa, and Latin America due to cheaper raw materials, forcing APAR to divert capacity to domestic market.
Q4 FY25 · highThe 90-day tariff pause and potential reciprocal tariffs create an overhang on U.S. exports, which could impact pricing and order flow beyond Q1 FY26.
Q1 FY25 · mediumChinese competition has intensified in areas without entry barriers, though US tariff hikes on Chinese goods (up to 25% additional) may mitigate this.
Q1 FY25 · mediumDelays in regulatory approvals for transmission line projects in the US and Europe have affected export demand, particularly for conductors.
Q1 FY25 · mediumCable exports to the US have been volatile due to inventory rationalization and regulatory delays; recovery is expected but timing uncertain.
Q2 FY25 · mediumManagement's expectation of export recovery, especially in cables, may be delayed if US approvals take longer or competition intensifies.
Q2 FY25 · mediumHigher domestic mix, which carries lower margins than exports, could continue to compress overall EBITDA margins.
Q2 FY25 · mediumWhile reconductoring is a key growth driver, actual execution has been slow, with only 20% of annual transmission line target achieved in H1.
Q3 FY25 · mediumMany tenders for transmission lines and substations are being retendered because bids exceeded budgets, slowing order finalization and execution.
Q3 FY25 · mediumPotential changes to IRA benefits and tariffs could impact U.S. demand, though management notes it's too early to assess.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY25 · Conductor volume growth 10-15% for FY25
Management expects full-year volume growth in conductors between 10-15%, driven by domestic demand and recovery in exports.
Q1 FY25 · Cable revenue growth of 25% for FY25
Cables division targets 25% annual revenue growth, assuming US demand recovery and strong domestic momentum.
Q1 FY25 · Cable EBITDA margin 10-12%
Management expects cable EBITDA margins to remain in the 10-12% range for FY25.
Q1 FY25 · CapEx of INR 300-350 crore in FY25
Capital expenditure for FY25 is planned at INR 300-350 crore, primarily for cable and conductor divisions.
Q2 FY25 · Conductor volume growth may fall short of 10% guidance for FY25
Management expects full-year conductor volume growth to be below the earlier 10% guidance due to lower H1 volumes, but aims to make up in H2.
Q2 FY25 · US business expected to show sequential growth
Management sees sequential improvement in US orders, with Q2 order intake up 17.5% QoQ, and expects this trend to continue.
Q2 FY25 · Conductor EBITDA per ton guidance maintained at INR 28,500
Despite current higher margins, management maintains a conservative guidance of INR 28,500 per ton for conductor EBITDA.
Q2 FY25 · CTC capacity doubling to come on stream in January
APAR is doubling its CTC conductor capacity, with the new capacity expected to be operational in January 2025.
Q3 FY25 · Cable division top-line growth of 25% on value terms
Management reiterated guidance for cable division to grow 25% year-on-year in value terms for FY25.
Q3 FY25 · Conductor division volume growth of 10%
Management expects conductor division to grow 10% year-on-year in volume terms for FY25.
Q3 FY25 · Oil division volume growth of 5%-8%
Management expects oil division to grow 5%-8% year-on-year in volume terms for FY25.
Q3 FY25 · Cable EBITDA margin target of 11%-12%
Management targets cable division EBITDA margin of 11%-12%, driven by U.S. recovery and cost optimization.
Q4 FY25 · Cable revenue growth of 25% in FY26
Management guided for 25% value growth in the cable division for FY2026, driven by strong domestic demand and U.S. recovery.
Q4 FY25 · Conductor EBITDA per ton of INR 30,000+ in FY26
Conductor division is expected to achieve EBITDA per metric ton of INR 30,000 or more on a 12-month basis, supported by premium product mix.
Q4 FY25 · Oil volume growth of 6-8% and EBITDA per KL of INR 5,000-6,000 in FY26
Oil division targets volume growth of 6-8% and EBITDA per kiloliter in the range of INR 5,000-6,000 for FY2026.
Q4 FY25 · Capex of INR 1,300 crore over 15-18 months
Planned capex of INR 1,300 crore (INR 800 crore cables, INR 300 crore conductors, INR 200 crore oil) to be deployed over 15-18 months, funded 50% debt and 50% internal accruals.