Risk Intelligence
Geopolitical disruption and input cost inflation
View Risks →Allied Blenders delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with consolidated revenue of ₹1,020 crore (+9.1% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹182 crore (+21.2% YoY), with EBITDA margin expanding 179 bps to 17.9%.
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Allied Blenders delivered a strong Q4 FY26 with consolidated revenue of ₹1,020 crore (+9.1% YoY) and EBITDA of ₹182 crore (+21.2% YoY), with EBITDA margin expanding 179 bps to 17.9%. Growth was driven by the PNA segment, which posted 20.5% volume growth to 4.4 million cases, led by Iconic White crossing 10.7 million cases annually. Management guided for mid-teens topline growth in FY27, with PNA growing at high teens, while EBITDA margins are expected to hold at FY26 levels due to near-term input cost pressures from geopolitical tensions. Key margin levers include UK FTA benefits (likely Q2), Telangana price increases, and backward integration projects adding ~300 bps by FY28. Risks include potential margin contraction in H1 FY27 from rising glass and fuel costs, and execution risk in scaling the ABD Maestro luxury portfolio.
एलाइड ब्लेंडर्स ने वित्त वर्ष 2026 की चौथी तिमाही में मजबूत प्रदर्शन किया। कंपनी की कुल आय ₹1,020 करोड़ रही, जो पिछले साल से 9.1% ज्यादा है। कमाई (EBITDA) ₹182 करोड़ रही, जो 21.2% बढ़ी। मुनाफा दर (EBITDA मार्जिन) 17.9% हो गई, जो पिछले साल से 1.79% ज्यादा है। यह वृद्धि प्रीमियम शराब (PNA) सेगमेंट की वजह से हुई, जिसकी बिक्री 20.5% बढ़कर 44 लाख पेटी हो गई। 'आइकॉनिक व्हाइट' ने सालाना 1.07 करोड़ पेटी बिक्री पार कर ली। कंपनी को अगले साल आय में 15% तक बढ़ोतरी की उम्मीद है। हालांकि, कच्चे माल की बढ़ती कीमतों से पहली छमाही में मुनाफा दबाव में रह सकता है। लंबी अवधि में सरकारी सौदों और नई परियोजनाओं से मुनाफा बढ़ने की संभावना है।
Geopolitical disruption and input cost inflation
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Read Transcript →Prestige & Above segment volume grew 20.5% YoY to 4.4 million cases in Q4, driven by Iconic White.
Iconic White crossed 10.7 million cases in FY26, becoming the fastest-growing millennium brand globally.
PNA segment contributed 57.7% of Q4 sales, up from 57.3% in FY26 full year, reflecting premiumization.
Export revenue grew 14.1% in FY26, with international footprint expanding from 23 to 36 countries.
Consolidated revenue growth expected in mid-to-high teens, driven by PNA (high teens) and mass premium (low-to-mid single digit).
Management expects FY27 EBITDA margin to be broadly in line with FY26's 14.4%, with H1 pressure from geopolitical costs offset by H2 benefits from UK FTA, Telangana price hike, and backward integration.
Phase 1 backward integration projects expected to contribute ~300 bps to EBITDA margin by FY28, with an additional ~100 bps from Phase 2 by FY29.
The luxury portfolio ABD Maestro is expected to achieve annual revenue of ₹100 crore or more in FY27, with a path to CM3 neutrality in three years.
Management expects double-digit revenue growth in Q4 FY26, driven by Telangana normalization, new brand launches, and ABD Maestro portfolio scaling.
EBITDA margin guidance of 17-18% by FY28, backed by 300 bps gross margin expansion from backward integration and potential 200 bps from India-UK FTA.
Total capex commitment of ₹700 crore, including phase 1 (₹550 crore) and phase 2 (₹150 crore), with projects expected to be operational by Q3-Q4 FY27.
West Asia war and rising glass/fuel costs may pressure margins in H1 FY27, as acknowledged by management.
While a price increase is expected, the timing is uncertain; management plans conservatively for H2, but any delay could impact margin recovery.
Iconic White's rapid growth may cannibalize sales of OC Blue and Sterling Reserve B7, though management sees aggregate market share gains.
Large capex projects (ENA, malt, bottling) may face delays or cost overruns, impacting margin expansion timelines.
Policy-driven price changes in Maharashtra have impacted consumer affordability and buying behavior, leading to a high double-digit volume decline in the state. Management expects the market to remain at lower levels in Q4.
The retail license auction process in Telangana caused a 6-8 week disruption in Q3, impacting mass-premium volumes. While normalization is expected in Q4, any delay could affect growth.
With Imperial Blue's new owner, competition may intensify. Management has proactively strengthened trade and consumer programs, but the impact remains uncertain.
The India-UK FTA, expected to add 200 bps to margins, may be delayed beyond Q2 FY27, as the UK parliament has yet to approve it.
Mentioned in Q2 FY26, Q3 FY26
Policy-driven price changes in Maharashtra have impacted consumer affordability and buying behavior, leading to a high double-digit volume decline in the state. Management expects the market to remain at lower levels in Q4.
Consolidated revenue growth expected in mid-to-high teens, driven by PNA (high teens) and mass premium (low-to-mid single digit).
West Asia war and rising glass/fuel costs may pressure margins in H1 FY27, as acknowledged by management.
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