AIA Engineering Limited — Q4 FY25
AIA Engineering reported Q4 FY25 sales of 68,741 tons, bringing full-year sales to 265,000 tons with revenue of INR 4,200 crore.
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Did management answer the analysts?
Every material analyst question, graded on whether management actually answered it — with the verbatim exchange and quantitative claims checked against filed numbers.
US anti-dumping duty details and FY25 US sales volume.
Asked by Bhoomika Nair, DAM Capital Advisors Limited
Asked for FY25 US volume in million tons; got only a percentage range and vague forward visibility.
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Post this tariff, post this duty which came up and the tariffs which came up, one is can you outline, call out what was the FY 2025 sales to the US geography in million tons?
U.S. is an important market, but it is less than, I would say, 8% of the total volume, broadly I'm saying. ... we have visibility for a quarter or two ahead...
Update on large mine conversions and 30,000-40,000 ton addition.
Asked by [Feraz], [audio distortion]
Asked for update on specific conversion; got generic assurance and deferral.
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Last quarter, you had mentioned that we are working on a couple of large mines and possibly if they can convert, there could be a 30,000-40,000 Mexican addition. Any update on that front, sir?
We are working on several mines and our endeavor continues. ... we felt that let us wait for a quarter or two and see how few things are unfolding before giving a specific growth target.
Why no volume outlook for FY26 despite earlier 25,000-30,000 ton target.
Asked by [Feraz], [audio distortion]
Asked for reason behind withholding outlook; got assurance but no explanation.
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Now in the opening remarks, he mentioned that he would not like to give any volume outlook for FY 2026. Is it just a U.S. uncertainty or do you still see the momentum of conversion from forged to grinding media not recovering that fast?
I would not want to pinpoint any particular reason, but one, let me assure you one thing that we are not going back on that target. ... we felt that let us wait for a quarter or two...
Mill liner business performance in FY25 and outlook.
Asked by [Feraz], [audio distortion]
Qualitative positive but no quantitative performance or outlook details.
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Sir, last question on our mill liner business, sir. Just wanted to know how in FY 2025 that business fared and the outlook for the next one to two years and any changes such as in terms of renting of that business.
No, I think it has been doing very well. A lot of focus, a lot of investment is going in that business, and we remain very bullish on that.
Volume contribution of mill liner business in double digits.
Asked by [Feraz], [audio distortion]
Asked for volume ballpark; got only 'double digits' and a denial of outgrowing.
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Sir, when you said business started contributing in double digits to our total annual volume, is it possible to share any volume broad ballpark outlook for that result?
Share specific volumes, but of course, it is double digits. ... That business is currently outgrowing the grinding media business in terms of volume growth? Oh, no, no. Listen, grinding media still becomes a predominant volume driver.
Rationale for investments in China and Ghana, strategy pivot.
Asked by [audio distortion], SBI Mutual Fund
Provided detailed rationale about transit times, freight volatility, and modular approach.
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Could you outline the thought process of investments in China and Ghana because this is a pivoting from a strategy of being in India in a single location?
The idea was that we have seen the last three years... we've been handstrung by a few things. One of the things has been phased, right? There's a large implication on the transit time...
Realization differences between grinding media and mill liner.
Asked by [audio distortion], SBI Mutual Fund
Provided a range of realizations per kilo for non-grinding media and explained variability.
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The second thing is, if you could just help us understand how are these realizations different for grinding media and mill liner? If you could give us a little ballpark in terms of indication, that would be helpful.
Realization for, when we look at it is, we've got grinding media as one category... non-grinding media could be from INR 100, INR 1,300, INR 140, it can go right up to INR 230-INR 250.
Progress in South America, especially Chile, for volume growth.
Asked by [audio distortion], SBI Mutual Fund
Asked for current status; got only hope and deferral, no concrete update.
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If you could give us some color on where we are because that is a geography which can give us significant volume data.
We are very hopeful that we get a breakthrough soon, we just have to wait for it, right? ... I'm hoping next two quarters there is some breakthrough that we would be able to share.
Volume lost due to customer inventory correction and recovery timeline.
Asked by [audio distortion], SBI Mutual Fund
Provided specific volume loss range and recovery timeline of one quarter.
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Could you just give us an update on, I mean, what percentage of volume would have been lost because of that, and where are we in that?
We lost about 8,000-10,000 with two customers, two or three customers last year, over 12 months. On a rolling basis, that volume should come back.
Whether volume drop was due to customer issues or lost to competition.
Asked by [audio distortion], SBI Mutual Fund
Acknowledged both customer issues and competitive loss, with specifics.
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Is it fair to say that the drop in the volume that we have seen is none of the cases where we have lost a customer, it is mainly to do with idiosyncrasies of the customers and their inventory issues, etc.?
That was one part of it. We did lose volume. I think we did lose volume to the competition, I think, but one large customer that went back, that went to the competition.