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ADANIENT Diversified 31 Jan 2025

Adani Enterprises Limited — Q3 FY25

Adani Enterprises reported strong operational momentum in Q3 FY25, driven by its incubating infrastructure businesses.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹22,848 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹229 Cr
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Adani Enterprises reported strong operational momentum in Q3 FY25, driven by its incubating infrastructure businesses. The ANIL ecosystem EBITDA surged 121% to INR 3,666 crore for the nine-month period, with module sales at a run rate of 1 GW per quarter. Airport EBITDA grew 43% to INR 2,527 crore, supported by a 7% increase in passenger volume to 69.7 million. Consolidated nine-month EBITDA reached INR 12,377 crore, nearly matching the full-year FY24 figure. The mining services business saw dispatch volume rise 55% to 11.8 million tons, with EBITDA up 148%. Management highlighted the Adani Wilmar stake sale, which will generate ~INR 14,200 crore post-tax equity, enabling up to INR 70,000 crore investment in core infra at 15-18% returns. Capex guidance for FY25 was revised to ~INR 30,000 crore due to timing shifts in the ANIL ecosystem and Navi Mumbai Airport. Risks include potential delays in regulatory approvals for the PVC project and competitive pressure in the solar module market.

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Quarter Snapshot

ANIL Ecosystem EBITDA (9M) INR 3,666 crore
+121% YoY

EBITDA for the emerging core infra businesses (ANIL) increased significantly, driven by solar and wind manufacturing.

Airport EBITDA (9M) INR 2,527 crore
+43% YoY

Airport EBITDA growth supported by tariff revisions and non-aero revenue expansion.

Mining Services Dispatch Volume (Q3) 11.8 million tons
+55% YoY

Dispatch volume increased due to higher production and improved mine mix.

Module Sales Run Rate 1 GW per quarter
flat

Solar module sales are at full capacity utilization of ~4.5 GW annualized.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Adani Wilmar stake sale to generate INR 14,200 crore post-tax equity

Proceeds will enable up to INR 70,000 crore investment in core infra businesses at 15-18% returns.

NEW
Copper business to reach peak utilization by Q1 FY26

Ramp-up expected to complete in the next financial year.

UPDATED
Capex for FY25 revised to ~INR 30,000 crore

Due to timing shifts in ANIL ecosystem (INR 28,000 crore) and Navi Mumbai Airport (INR 11,000 crore) moving to next year.

UPDATED
Navi Mumbai Airport commercial launch in April 2025

Formal completion and tariff filing expected in March, with provisional tariffs in place.

DROPPED
MDO volume guidance revised to ~40 million tons for FY25

MDO dispatch volume guidance lowered from 45 to ~40 million tons for FY25, with FY26 expected around 50 million tons.

DROPPED
Coal-to-PVC project commissioning by December 2026

The coal-to-PVC project remains on schedule for December 2026 commissioning, with potential minor delays due to monsoons.

NEW RISK
Regulatory delays in PVC project

Capex of INR 7,000 crore deferred due to pending approvals, pushing completion to CY27.

NEW RISK
Competitive pressure in solar module market

EBITDA margins normalized as module realizations declined; DCR vs export margin differential is low single digits.

NEW RISK
IRM volume decline due to domestic coal availability

IRM volumes dropped as customers sourced cheaper domestic coal; recovery uncertain.

NEW RISK
Non-cash MTM volatility on shareholder loans

INR 1,000 crore MTM loss in Q3 due to USD-denominated loans to mining subsidiaries, impacting reported PBT.

RISK GONE
Monsoon-related CapEx delays

Management noted that monsoon season caused slower CapEx in H1, and a longer monsoon could push back timelines by 6-7 weeks.

RISK GONE
Potential market shifts in solar exports

Management acknowledged that medium-term market shifts could affect solar exports, though they believe the integrated ecosystem provides immunity.

RISK GONE
Order book volatility in solar manufacturing

Sequential moderation in ANIL segment was attributed to order spillovers; order book stands at 1.1 GW vs 4.5 GW capacity, indicating lumpy demand.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Solar module margin compression from domestic mix shift

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Realizations above $0.30/W may not sustain; management noted 15-20% premium over domestic but did not guarantee current levels.

Solar module capacity to reach 4.5 GW by FY25 end

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Management expects to reach full 10 GW capacity from polysilicon to module by end of FY26.

Execution delays in new mine ramp-up

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q3 FY24

Parsa mine targeted by March 2025, but other commercial mines remain in early stages with no clear timeline.

Net debt/EBITDA below 4x for FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Net debt rose from INR 32,000 crore in March to INR 36,000 crore in June, driven by capex in roads, airports, and copper.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Capex for FY25 revised to ~INR 30,000 crore

Due to timing shifts in ANIL ecosystem (INR 28,000 crore) and Navi Mumbai Airport (INR 11,000 crore) moving to next year.

Top risk Regulatory delays in PVC project

Capex of INR 7,000 crore deferred due to pending approvals, pushing completion to CY27.

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