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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹13,996 Cr revenue · ₹-470 Cr PAT · 12.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹13,996 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹-470 Cr
Average margin: 12.0%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹3,196 Cr₹-162 Cr11.0%bearish
Q2 FY24₹3,226 Cr₹-200 Cr11.4%neutral
Q3 FY24₹4,167 Cr₹-108 Cr14.5%neutral
Q4 FY24₹3,407 Cr11.1%neutral

Management promises made during the year

Pantaloons store additions moderated to 35-40 stores in FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Tasva to add 40 stores in FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Debt target of INR 2,700-2,800 crore by March 2024

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
TMRW peak losses in H1 FY24, moderation in H2

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
No inorganic acquisitions in near future

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY24 · high

Demand weakness has persisted for three quarters and may not recover until H2 festive season, impacting revenue and margins.

Q1 FY24 · high

Net debt rose to INR 2,100 crore and is expected to reach INR 2,800 crore, increasing financial risk.

Q2 FY24 · high

Pantaloons and innerwear continue to face demand pressure from lower-income consumers, with no clear recovery timeline.

Q3 FY24 · high

Consumer demand remains soft, especially in lower-tier towns and value segments, impacting Pantaloons and mass-market brands.

Q3 FY24 · high

Net debt at INR 4,000 crore with elevated interest costs, impacting PAT and limiting financial flexibility.

Q4 FY24 · high

Management noted continued sluggishness in discretionary spending, which could pressure revenue growth.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Analyst flagged low sales per sq ft and negative LFL; management defended but acknowledged challenges in value segment.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Management declined to comment on turnaround plans for TCNS, citing premature stage, raising uncertainty.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Net debt stood at INR 4,355 crore post-acquisition; management expects debt to remain elevated for 18-24 months, posing financial risk if demand does not recover.

Q2 FY24 · medium

TCNS has been loss-making; management declined to provide near-term guidance, citing transitory phase. Integration risks and design challenges may delay turnaround.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Innerwear segment declined 10% YoY and losses have increased; management has slowed retail expansion, indicating prolonged pressure.

Q3 FY24 · medium

TCNS revenue at 90% of last year with negative EBITDA; alignment with ABFRL policies may impact profitability for 2-3 more quarters.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Pantaloons store additions moderated to 35-40 stores in FY24

Management reduced Pantaloons store opening guidance from 60 to 35-40 stores due to demand slowdown.

G

Q1 FY24 · Tasva to add 40 stores in FY24

Tasva will add approximately 40 stores this year, with investment of INR 75 lakh to INR 1 crore per store.

G

Q1 FY24 · Reebok to be profitable on full-year basis

Reebok is expected to be profitable for the full year, with store count reaching 170-200 by year-end.

G

Q1 FY24 · Year-end net debt target of INR 2,800 crore

Net debt expected to reach INR 2,800 crore by end of FY24, including TCNS acquisition payment.

G

Q2 FY24 · Debt target of INR 2,700-2,800 crore by March 2024

Management reiterated debt guidance of INR 2,700-2,800 crore by end of FY24, including GIC warrant proceeds of ~INR 1,400 crore expected by March.

G

Q2 FY24 · Pantaloons store additions of 30-35 stores for FY24

Pantaloons added 15 stores in H1; management maintains full-year guidance of 30-35 store additions.

G

Q2 FY24 · TCNS revenue target of INR 2,000-2,500 crore in 3-4 years

Management expects TCNS to reach INR 2,000-2,500 crore revenue and double-digit pre-Ind AS EBITDA margin in 3-4 years.

G

Q2 FY24 · TMRW peak losses in H1 FY24, moderation in H2

TMRW losses peaked in Q2 and will moderate in H2; full-year losses lower than H1 run rate.

G

Q3 FY24 · Tasva store target of 200-odd stores in 3-4 years

Management targets a network of about 200 stores for Tasva over the next 3-4 years, with current 67 stores and annual addition of 30-40 stores.

G

Q3 FY24 · Pantaloons store addition of 25-30 stores in FY25

Pantaloons plans to add 25-30 stores in FY25, similar to the current year's pace.

G

Q3 FY24 · TMRW not profitable for at least next three years

TMRW is not expected to turn profitable in the next three years due to its accumulation model and cost structure.

G

Q3 FY24 · No inorganic acquisitions in near future

Management stated no plans for inorganic additions as the balance sheet is stretched and current portfolio is sufficient.

G

Q4 FY24 · Demerger completion by Q3/Q4 FY25

The demerger of Madura Fashion & Lifestyle is expected to be completed by end of Q3 or Q4 of FY25.

G

Q4 FY24 · ABFRL to raise INR 2,500 crore capital

Post-demerger, ABFRL will raise fresh capital of INR 2,500 crore to strengthen balance sheet and support growth.

G

Q4 FY24 · Pantaloons to add 25-30 stores in FY25

Pantaloons plans to open about 25-30 new stores in the current fiscal year, focusing on right-sized stores.

G

Q4 FY24 · Tasva to double revenue and add 30+ stores

Tasva aims to double its revenue in the short term and add over 30 stores this year.