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ABCAPITAL Diversified 22 Jul 2024

Aditya Birla Capital Limited — Q1 FY25

Aditya Birla Capital reported a strong Q1 FY25 with consolidated PAT up 15% YoY to INR 745 crore and revenue up 26% YoY to INR 10,258 crore.

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Revenue ₹10,258 Cr +26%
EBITDA
PAT ₹745 Cr +15%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

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Aditya Birla Capital reported a strong Q1 FY25 with consolidated PAT up 15% YoY to INR 745 crore and revenue up 26% YoY to INR 10,258 crore. Growth was driven by NBFC portfolio expansion of 25% YoY, led by SME loans (up 39% YoY), and robust housing finance growth (portfolio up 41% YoY). The health insurance business saw gross written premium surge 35% YoY, while life insurance proprietary channels grew 33% YoY. Management reiterated its 25% CAGR portfolio growth target for NBFC and guided life insurance VNB margins of 18-20% for FY25. Key risks include margin compression in life insurance due to product mix and regulatory changes, and potential asset quality pressure in unsecured lending segments.

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Quarter Snapshot

NBFC AUM INR 107,306 crore
+25% YoY

Total loan portfolio of NBFC grew 25% year-on-year, driven by SME secured loans.

Housing Finance AUM INR 20,399 crore
+41% YoY

Housing finance portfolio grew 41% YoY, with highest ever quarterly disbursements.

Health Insurance GWP INR 1,041 crore
+35% YoY

Gross written premium in health insurance grew 35% YoY, with retail premium up 51%.

Life Insurance VNB Margin 6.5%
-530bps YoY

VNB margin fell to 6.5% from 11.8% due to higher ULIP mix and lower G-Sec rates.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped2 new risk1 risk resolved
NEW
NBFC portfolio to grow at 25% CAGR over 2-3 years

Management reiterated confidence in achieving 25% compounded annual growth in NBFC loan portfolio over the next 2-3 years.

NEW
Life insurance VNB margin guidance of 18-20% for FY25

Despite Q1 VNB margin of 6.5%, management expects full-year VNB margins to be in the range of 18-20%.

UPDATED
Health insurance combined ratio target of 100% by FY26

Health insurance business guided to achieve a combined ratio of 100% by FY26, improving from 112% in Q1 FY25.

UPDATED
NBFC credit cost guidance of 1.5%

Management stated that credit cost for NBFC remains well within the stated guidance of 1.5%.

DROPPED
Double March 2023 loan portfolio by March 2026

Management remains confident of doubling the March 2023 NBFC loan portfolio by March 2026, implying a CAGR of ~26%.

DROPPED
Life insurance top-line CAGR >20% over 3 years

Life insurance business aims to grow top line at a CAGR of more than 20% over the next three years, with VNB margin in 18%-20% range.

NEW RISK
NBFC ROA target of 3% may be delayed

Current ROA of 2.41% is below the medium-term target of 2.7-3%, and product mix shift could delay achievement.

NEW RISK
Banca channel growth dependency

Life insurance growth was impacted by muted performance from one banca partner; new tie-ups may take time to scale.

RISK GONE
NIM compression in HFC

HFC ROE declined to 1.76% in Q4 from 1.92% in FY24, indicating NIM compression as the book grows with competitive pricing.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

NBFC book to double in three years, ROA to 3%

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Management reiterated guidance to double NBFC loan book in three years and improve ROA to 3% through product mix shift and margin improvement.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance NBFC portfolio to grow at 25% CAGR over 2-3 years

Management reiterated confidence in achieving 25% compounded annual growth in NBFC loan portfolio over the next 2-3 years.

Top risk Life insurance margin compression from regulatory changes

New surrender value regulations could impact traditional product margins by 150-200 bps, though management expects to mitigate through commission r...

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