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ABB Diversified 30 Jan 2025

ABB India Limited — Q4 FY25

ABB India reported a strong Q4 CY2025 with orders surging 52% YoY, driven by a 27% base order growth and large project wins in data centers, transport, and automation.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹3,010 Cr +8%
EBITDA
PAT ₹475 Cr
EBITDA Margin 19%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

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ABB India reported a strong Q4 CY2025 with orders surging 52% YoY, driven by a 27% base order growth and large project wins in data centers, transport, and automation. Full-year revenue grew 8% to INR 13,200 crore, with PAT at INR 1,669 crore and EPS of INR 78.78. The order backlog reached a record INR 10,471 crore, providing strong visibility. Management highlighted a revival in demand after a muted period, with positive momentum across emerging industries, infrastructure, and core sectors. Margins faced headwinds from higher material costs (QCO compliance, forex, commodity prices) and labor code impact, but PAT margin is expected to remain in the 12%-15% corridor. Guidance points to double-digit revenue growth aspirations, supported by private capex recovery, data center expansion, and the India-EU FTA. Key risks include global uncertainty, forex volatility, and competitive intensity from Chinese imports.

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Quarter Snapshot

Order Inflow (Q4) INR 14,115 crore
+52% YoY

Highest ever quarterly orders, driven by 27% base order growth and large project wins.

Order Backlog INR 10,471 crore
+12% YoY

Record backlog providing strong revenue visibility; 30-35% are large orders with longer execution.

Base Orders Growth (Q4) 27%
+27% YoY

Strong underlying demand across segments, excluding large project lumpiness.

Data Center Share in Backlog 10-11%
N/A

Data center orders now form a significant portion of backlog, reflecting strong pipeline.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Double-digit revenue growth target

Management aims for double-digit revenue growth, contingent on order booking and execution in 2026.

NEW
QCO implementation timeline extension

Government has extended timelines for QCO phase 2 due to lab availability, but QCO is not rolled back; ABB is compliant.

UPDATED
PAT margin corridor of 12-15%

Management expects PAT margin to remain in the 12-15% range, factoring in QCO-related material costs for the next two quarters.

DROPPED
65%-70% of order backlog to be executed in 2025

Approximately 65%-70% of the INR 9,400 crore backlog is expected to be executed in the coming year, with the remainder in 2026.

DROPPED
Dividend increased by 51%

Board approved a final dividend 51% higher year-on-year, reflecting strong cash generation and shareholder return policy.

NEW RISK
Global uncertainty and forex volatility

Global macroeconomic uncertainty and forex fluctuations could impact demand and margins.

NEW RISK
Higher material costs from QCO and commodity prices

QCO compliance and rising copper/metal prices have pushed material costs to 61% of revenue, pressuring margins.

NEW RISK
Competitive intensity from Chinese imports

Chinese competition in large projects remains a risk, though not yet materialized in recent quarters.

NEW RISK
Delayed decision-making in process automation

Order conversions in process automation have been delayed historically, posing risk to order book growth.

RISK GONE
Transient slowdown in private CapEx

Order growth moderated due to delayed decision-making in private capital expenditure, which could persist if economic uncertainty continues.

RISK GONE
Chinese competition in select segments

Analyst raised concern about Chinese competition; management acknowledged isolated incidents in large projects where Chinese players offered aggressive pricing.

RISK GONE
Margin normalization from peak levels

Current high margins benefited from past price push and low commodity costs; as markets ease, margins may compress to the guided 12%-15% PAT range.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Margin normalization from commodity tailwinds

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY25, Q4 FY24

Intensified competition and unfavorable revenue mix have reduced pricing power, with electrification margins down ~3% vs. prior levels.

Capacity expansion in Bangalore for process automation and motion

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management expects to handle demand growth with incremental CapEx of ₹200-250 crore annually, leveraging existing land banks and productivity improvements.

Chinese competition in select segments

Mentioned in Q3 FY25, Q4 FY24

Potential thaw in India-China relations could lead to increased Chinese imports, impacting pricing and demand for domestic manufacturers.

Competitive pressure in electrification and motion

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24

Increased competition in select product categories is squeezing price realization, though impact is minor so far.

Delayed private capex and large order conversion

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q3 FY25

Large project decisions are being deferred due to geopolitical uncertainty and cautious CapEx, slowing order book growth.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance PAT margin corridor of 12-15%

Management expects PAT margin to remain in the 12-15% range, factoring in QCO-related material costs for the next two quarters.

Top risk Global uncertainty and forex volatility

Global macroeconomic uncertainty and forex fluctuations could impact demand and margins.

View Risks →