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POWERGRID Energy 15 May 2025

Power Grid Corporation — Q4 FY25

Power Grid reported a strong Q4 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 12,591 crore and PAT of INR 4,143 crore.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹12,275 Cr
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin 83%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Power Grid reported a strong Q4 FY25 with consolidated revenue of INR 12,591 crore and PAT of INR 4,143 crore. For FY25, consolidated revenue was INR 47,459 crore (flat YoY) and PAT was INR 15,521 crore. The company achieved a record INR 26,255 crore CapEx and won INR 92,000 crore in TBCB projects, capturing ~57% market share. Operational excellence continued with system availability at 99.82% and telecom revenue crossing INR 1,000 crore for the first time. Management guided CapEx of INR 28,000 crore for FY26, INR 35,000 crore for FY27, and INR 45,000 crore for FY28, supported by a strong pipeline of INR 1.54 lakh crore works-in-hand. Key risks include ROW-related delays and potential slowdown in RE-driven transmission demand.

Promises0 met · 2 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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ROW-related project delays

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Quarter Snapshot

TBCB Project Wins (FY25) INR 92,000 crore
+57% market share

Won 24 TBCB projects with 57.34% market share in NCT cost.

System Availability (FY25) 99.82%
+7bps YoY

Maintained above 99.75% incentive threshold, with trippings at 0.27 per line per year.

Telecom Revenue (FY25) INR 1,128 crore
+24% YoY

First time crossed INR 1,000 crore; added 75 new customers.

CapEx Guidance (FY26) INR 28,000 crore
+7% YoY

Targeting INR 28,000 crore for FY26, with potential upside to INR 30,000 crore.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY25 vs Q3 FY25
1 new guidance4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Dividend payout may reduce further

Management indicated dividend per share could reduce from INR 9 in FY25 due to higher CapEx requirements.

UPDATED
CapEx of INR 28,000 crore for FY26

Management guided CapEx of INR 28,000 crore for FY26, with potential to increase to INR 30,000 crore based on project wins.

UPDATED
CapEx of INR 35,000 crore for FY27 and INR 45,000 crore for FY28

Management provided CapEx targets of INR 35,000 crore for FY27 and INR 45,000 crore for FY28.

UPDATED
Capitalization of INR 23,000-25,000 crore in FY26

Management expects capitalization of INR 23,000-25,000 crore in FY26, up from INR 9,014 crore in FY25.

NEW RISK
ROW-related project delays

ROW compensation policy changes and state-level adoption delays caused commissioning slippages in FY25; may persist.

NEW RISK
Lower TBCB pipeline in FY26

Current TBCB pipeline is only INR 45,000-46,000 crore, significantly lower than INR 92,000 crore won in FY25, which could slow order book growth.

NEW RISK
ROE compression from higher equity base

ROE dipped ~100bps YoY as net worth grew faster than profits; further dilution possible if CapEx ramp-up requires equity.

NEW RISK
RE demand slowdown impacting transmission needs

Weak power demand and delayed PPAs for RE projects could reduce urgency for new transmission lines, affecting long-term pipeline.

RISK GONE
Execution delays due to land acquisition and equipment supply

Management acknowledged challenges in land acquisition (ROW issues) and supply of high-voltage transformers and GIS equipment, which could delay project commissioning beyond the typical two-year timeline.

RISK GONE
Impact of CERC tariff true-up on profitability

The CERC tariff true-up impacted Q3 PAT by INR 140 crore, and the nine-month impact is ~INR 440 crore. This regulatory adjustment could continue to weigh on earnings.

RISK GONE
Loss from JV EESL dragging consolidated profits

PowerGrid's 39% stake in EESL resulted in a loss of INR 140 crore in 9M FY25, contributing to the decline in consolidated PAT. Management has stopped further equity infusion.

RISK GONE
Dividend reduction due to rising CapEx requirements

Management reduced the interim dividend per share (from INR 4.5 to INR 3.25) to conserve equity for the growing CapEx pipeline. Further reductions are possible if CapEx continues to rise.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Supply chain constraints for STATCOM and HVDC equipment

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management acknowledged that transformers, reactors, and GIS are in tight supply, with costs rising 70-80% since 2017-18, potentially delaying projects.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance CapEx of INR 28,000 crore for FY26

Management guided CapEx of INR 28,000 crore for FY26, with potential to increase to INR 30,000 crore based on project wins.

Top risk ROW-related project delays

ROW compensation policy changes and state-level adoption delays caused commissioning slippages in FY25; may persist.

View Risks →