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POWERGRID Energy 10 Feb 2025

Powergrid Ltd — Q3 FY25

PowerGrid reported consolidated Q3 FY25 total income of INR 11,743 crore and PAT of INR 3,862 crore.

bullish high
Revenue ₹11,743 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹3,862 Cr
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

PowerGrid reported consolidated Q3 FY25 total income of INR 11,743 crore and PAT of INR 3,862 crore. Revenue growth was muted due to the regulated tariff structure where interest income declines as assets depreciate, though PAT remains stable due to return on equity. The company has a strong order book of INR 1.47 lakh crore and guided for FY25 CapEx of INR 23,000 crore and capitalization of INR 18,000 crore. Management expects CapEx to rise to INR 28,000-30,000 crore in FY26 and INR 35,000 crore in FY27, driven by HVDC projects like Khavda-Nagpur and Pang-Leh. The company won INR 19,828 crore of projects in Q3 and INR 63,909 crore in 9M FY25, maintaining a 50% market share in TBCB tariff-based projects. Risks include execution delays due to land acquisition and equipment supply constraints, and the impact of CERC tariff true-up (INR 140 crore in Q3) on profitability.

Key Numbers

Projects won in Q3 FY25 (cost) INR 19,828 crore
+19% QoQ

PowerGrid won 7 ISTS TBCB projects in Q3, including Rajasthan RE evacuation and Kudankulam transmission.

Projects won in 9M FY25 (cost) INR 63,909 crore
+50% YoY

Cumulative project wins in 9M FY25, reflecting strong pipeline and market share.

Market share in TBCB projects (tariff) 50%
flat YoY

PowerGrid maintained 50% share in annual tariff awarded via TBCB route in 9M FY25.

Transmission system availability 99.81%
+6bps YoY

Availability improved slightly, maintaining world-class operational reliability.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
2 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
UPDATED
FY25 CapEx target of INR 23,000 crore

Management reiterated the FY25 CapEx plan of INR 23,000 crore, with INR 19,480 crore already spent by January 31, 2025.

UPDATED
FY25 capitalization target of INR 18,000 crore

Capitalization target for FY25 is INR 18,000 crore, with INR 7,906 crore achieved by January 31, 2025. Management expects to commission ~INR 10,000 crore in the remaining 45-50 days.

UPDATED
FY26 CapEx guidance of INR 28,000-30,000 crore

For FY26, CapEx is expected to be in the range of INR 28,000-30,000 crore, driven by the strong project pipeline.

UPDATED
FY27 CapEx guidance of INR 35,000 crore

For FY27, CapEx is expected to be around INR 35,000 crore, with potential upside from additional HVDC projects.

DROPPED
Capitalization to reach INR 35,000-40,000 crore in 2-3 years

Capitalization is expected to ramp up to INR 35,000-40,000 crore per annum as projects are commissioned.

DROPPED
Target win rate of ~50% in TBCB projects

Management expects to win about 50% of upcoming TBCB projects, translating to INR 192,000 crore additional orders by 2032.

NEW RISK
Execution delays due to land acquisition and equipment supply

Management acknowledged challenges in land acquisition (ROW issues) and supply of high-voltage transformers and GIS equipment, which could delay project commissioning beyond the typical two-year timeline.

NEW RISK
Impact of CERC tariff true-up on profitability

The CERC tariff true-up impacted Q3 PAT by INR 140 crore, and the nine-month impact is ~INR 440 crore. This regulatory adjustment could continue to weigh on earnings.

NEW RISK
Loss from JV EESL dragging consolidated profits

PowerGrid's 39% stake in EESL resulted in a loss of INR 140 crore in 9M FY25, contributing to the decline in consolidated PAT. Management has stopped further equity infusion.

NEW RISK
Dividend reduction due to rising CapEx requirements

Management reduced the interim dividend per share (from INR 4.5 to INR 3.25) to conserve equity for the growing CapEx pipeline. Further reductions are possible if CapEx continues to rise.

RISK GONE
EESL associate losses continue

EESL contributed a loss of INR 100 crore in H1 FY25 due to mounting receivables and interest costs, with no clear timeline for reversal.

RISK GONE
O&M cost reduction under new CERC regulation

New CERC tariff regulation (2024-29) reduced O&M charges by INR 600 crore annually, impacting profitability by ~INR 300 crore in H1.

RISK GONE
Declining RTM revenue offsets TBCB gains

Revenue from legacy RTM projects is declining due to lower depreciation and interest, partially offsetting growth from new TBCB projects.

RISK GONE
Competitive pressure in TBCB bidding

Analyst raised concern about potential ROE compression in TBCB projects due to competitive bidding, though management downplayed the risk.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Supply chain constraints for STATCOM and HVDC equipment

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management acknowledged that transformers, reactors, and GIS are in tight supply, with costs rising 70-80% since 2017-18, potentially delaying projects.

Intrastate JV pipeline of INR 10,000 crore from Rajasthan

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Over INR 100,000 crore of transmission projects are in the pipeline, with 70-80% expected to be awarded in FY25.

Management Guidance

G

FY25 CapEx target of INR 23,000 crore

Management reiterated the FY25 CapEx plan of INR 23,000 crore, with INR 19,480 crore already spent by January 31, 2025.

Management guidance capex
G

FY25 capitalization target of INR 18,000 crore

Capitalization target for FY25 is INR 18,000 crore, with INR 7,906 crore achieved by January 31, 2025. Management expects to commission ~INR 10,000 crore in the remaining 45-50 days.

Management guidance capex
G

FY26 CapEx guidance of INR 28,000-30,000 crore

For FY26, CapEx is expected to be in the range of INR 28,000-30,000 crore, driven by the strong project pipeline.

Management guidance capex
G

FY27 CapEx guidance of INR 35,000 crore

For FY27, CapEx is expected to be around INR 35,000 crore, with potential upside from additional HVDC projects.

Management guidance capex

Key Risks

R

Execution delays due to land acquisition and equipment supply

Management acknowledged challenges in land acquisition (ROW issues) and supply of high-voltage transformers and GIS equipment, which could delay project commissioning beyond the typical two-year timeline.

medium · management_commentary
R

Impact of CERC tariff true-up on profitability

The CERC tariff true-up impacted Q3 PAT by INR 140 crore, and the nine-month impact is ~INR 440 crore. This regulatory adjustment could continue to weigh on earnings.

medium · analyst_question
R

Loss from JV EESL dragging consolidated profits

PowerGrid's 39% stake in EESL resulted in a loss of INR 140 crore in 9M FY25, contributing to the decline in consolidated PAT. Management has stopped further equity infusion.

low · analyst_question
R

Dividend reduction due to rising CapEx requirements

Management reduced the interim dividend per share (from INR 4.5 to INR 3.25) to conserve equity for the growing CapEx pipeline. Further reductions are possible if CapEx continues to rise.

medium · analyst_question

Notable Quotes

Our Power Grid outlook is very bright. And we have many projects in hand, and our projects capitalization and CapEx is going to increase. So that will lead to increase in revenue and profit. So our Power Grid future is bright. So rest assured, you are in safe hands.
Shri R. K. Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director
The structure of the regulated tariff income is that it will decrease every year because of the interest on loan, which will be reducing based on the depreciation recovery. ... But the fact remains that the PAT will remain the same because that is based on the return on equity.
Shri G. Ravisankar · Director of Finance and CFO
We are targeting in the same range, about that INR 18,000 crores, that range we are targeting.
Shri R. K. Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Powergrid's revenue in Q3 FY25?

Powergrid reported revenue of ₹11,743 Cr in Q3 FY25, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Powergrid management give for FY26?

FY25 CapEx target of INR 23,000 crore: Management reiterated the FY25 CapEx plan of INR 23,000 crore, with INR 19,480 crore already spent by January 31, 2025. FY25 capitalization target of INR 18,000 crore: Capitalization target for FY25 is INR 18,000 crore, with INR 7,906 crore achieved by January 31, 2025. Management expects to commission ~INR 10,000 crore in the remaining 45-50 days. FY26 CapEx guidance of INR 28,000-30,000 crore: For FY26, CapEx is expected to be in the range of INR 28,000-30,000 crore, driven by the strong project pipeline. FY27 CapEx guidance of INR 35,000 crore: For FY27, CapEx is expected to be around INR 35,000 crore, with potential upside from additional HVDC projects.

What are the key risks for Powergrid in FY26?

Key risks include Execution delays due to land acquisition and equipment supply — Management acknowledged challenges in land acquisition (ROW issues) and supply of high-voltage transformers and GIS equipment, which could delay project commissioning beyond the typical two-year timeline.; Impact of CERC tariff true-up on profitability — The CERC tariff true-up impacted Q3 PAT by INR 140 crore, and the nine-month impact is ~INR 440 crore. This regulatory adjustment could continue to weigh on earnings.; Loss from JV EESL dragging consolidated profits — PowerGrid's 39% stake in EESL resulted in a loss of INR 140 crore in 9M FY25, contributing to the decline in consolidated PAT. Management has stopped further equity infusion.; Dividend reduction due to rising CapEx requirements — Management reduced the interim dividend per share (from INR 4.5 to INR 3.25) to conserve equity for the growing CapEx pipeline. Further reductions are possible if CapEx continues to rise..

Did Powergrid meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Of 1 tracked promise, management 0 met, 0 close, 1 missed.

Where can I read the full Powergrid Q3 FY25 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.