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POWERGRID Energy 09 Feb 2024

Powergrid Ltd — Q3 FY24

PowerGrid reported consolidated Q3 FY24 revenue of INR 11,820 crore and PAT of INR 4,028 crore, with EBITDA margins maintained above 80%.

bullish high
Revenue ₹11,820 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹4,028 Cr
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

PowerGrid reported consolidated Q3 FY24 revenue of INR 11,820 crore and PAT of INR 4,028 crore, with EBITDA margins maintained above 80%. The company has a strong order book of INR 77,770 crore, including recent TBCB wins worth INR 26,000 crore in 9M FY24, reflecting a 67% win rate. Management guided for CAPEX of INR 15,000 crore+ in FY25 and INR 20,000 crore+ in FY26, driven by the large ISTS pipeline under the National Electricity Plan. Key risks include potential supply chain constraints for transformers and GIS equipment, and the impact of CERC's draft regulations on O&M norms and ROE, though management expects minimal net impact. The Leh-Ladakh HVDC project is progressing with a likely commissioning by FY2030.

Key Numbers

Order Book INR 77,770 crore
+26,000 crore in 9M FY24

Work in hand includes RTM and TBCB projects, with INR 55,000 crore to be executed in 24-30 months.

TBCB Win Rate 67%
up from ~40% long-term average

Market share in TBCB projects has increased sharply due to more aggressive bidding strategy.

Transmission System Availability 99.86%
+5bps YoY

Maintained high reliability; tripping frequency reduced to 0.22 per line.

CAPEX Guidance FY25 INR 15,000 crore+
from ~INR 10,000 crore in FY24

Management expects CAPEX to double in FY25, with further increase to INR 20,000 crore+ in FY26.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
1 new guidance2 dropped2 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Dividend payout maintained at current level

Management confirmed no reduction in dividend payout, with asset monetization through securitization to fund equity requirements.

UPDATED
CAPEX of INR 15,000 crore+ in FY25

Management guided for CAPEX exceeding INR 15,000 crore in FY25, driven by execution of existing order book.

UPDATED
CAPEX of INR 20,000 crore+ in FY26

CAPEX expected to rise further to over INR 20,000 crore in FY26, supported by large project pipeline.

UPDATED
Capitalization of INR 16,000-17,000 crore in FY25

Capitalization is expected to be around INR 16,000-17,000 crore in FY25, up from ~INR 8,500 crore in FY24.

DROPPED
FY24 CapEx target raised to ~INR 10,000 crore

Management increased CapEx guidance from INR 8,800 crore to ~INR 10,000 crore, split equally between RTM and TBCB projects.

DROPPED
Leh-Ladakh project award by Q4 FY25 or Q1 FY26

FEED studies ongoing; award expected in late FY25 or early FY26.

NEW RISK
CERC draft regulations on O&M and ROE

Draft regulations propose changes to O&M norms and reduce ROE to 15% for new assets. Management expects minimal impact but discussions ongoing.

NEW RISK
Aggressive ISTS CAPEX target may face execution delays

Analyst flagged that the INR 310,000 crore ISTS target over FY22-27 appears aggressive given the need for rapid awarding and execution.

RISK GONE
Regulatory uncertainty on new tariff control period

CERC draft regulations expected by Nov-Dec 2023; any adverse changes could impact regulated equity returns.

RISK GONE
Slowdown in TBCB bidding activity

H1 FY24 saw fewer bids; management expects pick-up in H2, but any delay could impact order book.

Management Guidance

G

CAPEX of INR 15,000 crore+ in FY25

Management guided for CAPEX exceeding INR 15,000 crore in FY25, driven by execution of existing order book.

Management guidance capex
G

CAPEX of INR 20,000 crore+ in FY26

CAPEX expected to rise further to over INR 20,000 crore in FY26, supported by large project pipeline.

Management guidance capex
G

Capitalization of INR 16,000-17,000 crore in FY25

Capitalization is expected to be around INR 16,000-17,000 crore in FY25, up from ~INR 8,500 crore in FY24.

Management guidance capex
G

Dividend payout maintained at current level

Management confirmed no reduction in dividend payout, with asset monetization through securitization to fund equity requirements.

Management guidance other

Key Risks

R

CERC draft regulations on O&M and ROE

Draft regulations propose changes to O&M norms and reduce ROE to 15% for new assets. Management expects minimal impact but discussions ongoing.

medium · analyst_question
R

Supply chain constraints for transformers and GIS

Management acknowledged potential challenges in transformer and GIS supply, but noted government actions to develop more vendors.

medium · management_commentary
R

Aggressive ISTS CAPEX target may face execution delays

Analyst flagged that the INR 310,000 crore ISTS target over FY22-27 appears aggressive given the need for rapid awarding and execution.

medium · analyst_question
R

Leh-Ladakh HVDC project timeline risk

The project has a long gestation of ~5 years from order placement, with commissioning expected only by FY2030, posing execution risk.

low · management_commentary

Notable Quotes

We are more aggressive because we have to compete if we have to survive, if we have to take care of the interest of our investors.
Ravindra Kumar Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director
Net impact is almost zero, or we are going to get the same O&M charges which we were getting earlier.
Ravindra Kumar Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director
We can very well execute projects worth INR 25,000-INR 30,000 crore projects each year. So there will not be any problem in CAPEX for Power Grid.
Ravindra Kumar Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Powergrid's revenue in Q3 FY24?

Powergrid reported revenue of ₹11,820 Cr in Q3 FY24, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Powergrid management give for FY25?

CAPEX of INR 15,000 crore+ in FY25: Management guided for CAPEX exceeding INR 15,000 crore in FY25, driven by execution of existing order book. CAPEX of INR 20,000 crore+ in FY26: CAPEX expected to rise further to over INR 20,000 crore in FY26, supported by large project pipeline. Capitalization of INR 16,000-17,000 crore in FY25: Capitalization is expected to be around INR 16,000-17,000 crore in FY25, up from ~INR 8,500 crore in FY24. Dividend payout maintained at current level: Management confirmed no reduction in dividend payout, with asset monetization through securitization to fund equity requirements.

What are the key risks for Powergrid in FY25?

Key risks include CERC draft regulations on O&M and ROE — Draft regulations propose changes to O&M norms and reduce ROE to 15% for new assets. Management expects minimal impact but discussions ongoing.; Supply chain constraints for transformers and GIS — Management acknowledged potential challenges in transformer and GIS supply, but noted government actions to develop more vendors.; Aggressive ISTS CAPEX target may face execution delays — Analyst flagged that the INR 310,000 crore ISTS target over FY22-27 appears aggressive given the need for rapid awarding and execution.; Leh-Ladakh HVDC project timeline risk — The project has a long gestation of ~5 years from order placement, with commissioning expected only by FY2030, posing execution risk..

Did Powergrid meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Of 1 tracked promise, management 0 met, 0 close, 1 missed.

Where can I read the full Powergrid Q3 FY24 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.