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POWERGRID Energy 30 Jul 2024

Powergrid Ltd — Q1 FY25

PowerGrid reported a steady Q1 FY25 with consolidated PAT of INR 3,724 crore (+3.5% YoY) and total income of INR 11,280 crore.

bullish high
Revenue ₹11,280 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹3,724 Cr +3.5%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

PowerGrid reported a steady Q1 FY25 with consolidated PAT of INR 3,724 crore (+3.5% YoY) and total income of INR 11,280 crore. The company maintained transmission system availability at 99.80%, enabling maximum regulatory incentives. Key growth drivers include a strong order pipeline of INR 114,139 crore and winning 70% of TBCB projects by tariff in Q1 and July. Management raised FY25 CapEx guidance to INR 18,000 crore (from INR 15,000 crore) driven by new project wins. The outlook remains robust with a bidding pipeline exceeding INR 100,000 crore and plans to commission INR 70,000-80,000 crore of projects over the next 2-3 years. Risks include equipment supply constraints for transformers and GIS, and potential cost overruns on first-of-its-kind offshore wind and HVDC projects.

Key Numbers

Transmission System Availability 99.80%
Flat YoY

Maintained above 99.75% threshold, enabling maximum regulatory incentive.

TBCB Project Win Share (Tariff) 70%
+20pp YoY

Won INR 4,935 crore out of INR 7,045 crore total tariff in Q1 and July.

Work in Hand INR 114,139 crore
+15% YoY

Includes RTM, TBCB, and other projects; provides strong revenue visibility.

Trippings per Line 0.09
-68% YoY

Improved from 0.28 in Q1 FY24; one line trips every 4 years on average.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
1 new guidance1 dropped4 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Data center Phase I commissioning in Q4 FY25

The 1,000-rack data center at Manesar is expected to be commercially available by Q4 FY25, with Phase II of INR 2,000 crore planned.

UPDATED
FY25 CapEx raised to INR 18,000 crore

Management increased CapEx guidance from INR 15,000 crore to INR 18,000 crore due to new project wins requiring spending this fiscal.

UPDATED
Capitalization target of INR 18,000 crore in FY25

Target to commission projects worth INR 18,000 crore in FY25, with INR 25,000-30,000 crore expected in each of FY26 and FY27.

UPDATED
Bidding pipeline of INR 100,000+ crore

Over INR 100,000 crore of transmission projects are in the pipeline, with 70-80% expected to be awarded in FY25.

DROPPED
Dividend payout to remain healthy

Management expects no reduction in dividend despite higher CapEx, citing sufficient cash flows from profits.

NEW RISK
Equipment supply constraints for transformers and GIS

Management acknowledged that transformers, reactors, and GIS are in tight supply, with costs rising 70-80% since 2017-18, potentially delaying projects.

NEW RISK
Cost overruns on first-of-its-kind offshore wind projects

The offshore wind evacuation projects (INR 13,100 crore total) are India's first, and management noted costs may be higher than routine projects, posing execution risk.

NEW RISK
Dividend dependency on SPVs impacting standalone profits

Analyst noted flattish standalone PAT due to lower dividends from SPVs; management confirmed this but said consolidated view is more relevant going forward.

NEW RISK
Green hydrogen transmission capacity not yet in NEP

Management could not confirm if the 125 GW RE requirement for green hydrogen is included in the National Electricity Plan, indicating potential policy uncertainty.

RISK GONE
TBCB annuity rate compression

Analyst noted a deteriorating trend in CapEx-to-annuity ratios for TBCB projects, which could pressure IRRs. Management acknowledged but maintained 10-12% IRR target.

RISK GONE
Smart metering execution delays

Management admitted smart metering progress is slow due to teething problems in software, with only 30,000 of 69,000 meters installed.

RISK GONE
Subsidiary profit decline due to one-offs

Consolidated subsidiary profits fell YoY partly due to a one-time INR 200 crore tariff order in Q4 FY23, which may not recur.

Management Guidance

G

FY25 CapEx raised to INR 18,000 crore

Management increased CapEx guidance from INR 15,000 crore to INR 18,000 crore due to new project wins requiring spending this fiscal.

Management guidance capex
G

Capitalization target of INR 18,000 crore in FY25

Target to commission projects worth INR 18,000 crore in FY25, with INR 25,000-30,000 crore expected in each of FY26 and FY27.

Management guidance growth
G

Bidding pipeline of INR 100,000+ crore

Over INR 100,000 crore of transmission projects are in the pipeline, with 70-80% expected to be awarded in FY25.

Management guidance growth
G

Data center Phase I commissioning in Q4 FY25

The 1,000-rack data center at Manesar is expected to be commercially available by Q4 FY25, with Phase II of INR 2,000 crore planned.

Management guidance expansion

Key Risks

R

Equipment supply constraints for transformers and GIS

Management acknowledged that transformers, reactors, and GIS are in tight supply, with costs rising 70-80% since 2017-18, potentially delaying projects.

high · management_commentary
R

Cost overruns on first-of-its-kind offshore wind projects

The offshore wind evacuation projects (INR 13,100 crore total) are India's first, and management noted costs may be higher than routine projects, posing execution risk.

medium · analyst_question
R

Dividend dependency on SPVs impacting standalone profits

Analyst noted flattish standalone PAT due to lower dividends from SPVs; management confirmed this but said consolidated view is more relevant going forward.

low · analyst_question
R

Green hydrogen transmission capacity not yet in NEP

Management could not confirm if the 125 GW RE requirement for green hydrogen is included in the National Electricity Plan, indicating potential policy uncertainty.

medium · analyst_question

Notable Quotes

Our transmission system availability is best as compared to other utilities, whether it is SGCC, China, or it is AEP, USA, or Furnas, Brazil, or Eskom, South Africa, or NGC, U.K.
R. K. Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director
If IRR will be good, otherwise, I can win all 100%. So be sure that we have a certain hurdle rate within the board, and then we take a call cautiously.
G. Ravisankar · Director Finance
We have about more than INR 100,000 crore power transmission projects in pipeline. Maybe more than that, but at least INR 100,000 crore projects are inside.
R. K. Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Powergrid's revenue in Q1 FY25?

Powergrid reported revenue of ₹11,280 Cr in Q1 FY25, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Powergrid management give for FY26?

FY25 CapEx raised to INR 18,000 crore: Management increased CapEx guidance from INR 15,000 crore to INR 18,000 crore due to new project wins requiring spending this fiscal. Capitalization target of INR 18,000 crore in FY25: Target to commission projects worth INR 18,000 crore in FY25, with INR 25,000-30,000 crore expected in each of FY26 and FY27. Bidding pipeline of INR 100,000+ crore: Over INR 100,000 crore of transmission projects are in the pipeline, with 70-80% expected to be awarded in FY25. Data center Phase I commissioning in Q4 FY25: The 1,000-rack data center at Manesar is expected to be commercially available by Q4 FY25, with Phase II of INR 2,000 crore planned.

What are the key risks for Powergrid in FY26?

Key risks include Equipment supply constraints for transformers and GIS — Management acknowledged that transformers, reactors, and GIS are in tight supply, with costs rising 70-80% since 2017-18, potentially delaying projects.; Cost overruns on first-of-its-kind offshore wind projects — The offshore wind evacuation projects (INR 13,100 crore total) are India's first, and management noted costs may be higher than routine projects, posing execution risk.; Dividend dependency on SPVs impacting standalone profits — Analyst noted flattish standalone PAT due to lower dividends from SPVs; management confirmed this but said consolidated view is more relevant going forward.; Green hydrogen transmission capacity not yet in NEP — Management could not confirm if the 125 GW RE requirement for green hydrogen is included in the National Electricity Plan, indicating potential policy uncertainty..

Did Powergrid meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Of 1 tracked promise, management 0 met, 0 close, 1 missed.

Where can I read the full Powergrid Q1 FY25 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.