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POWERGRID Energy 22 May 2024

Powergrid Ltd — Q4 FY24

Power Grid reported Q4 FY24 standalone revenue of INR 12,254 crore and PAT of INR 4,128 crore, with a slight dip versus last year due to one-time tariff arrears in Q4 FY23.

bullish high
Revenue ₹12,254 Cr
EBITDA ₹10,358 Cr
PAT ₹4,128 Cr
EBITDA Margin 84.5%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

Financial stats pending filing verification

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Power Grid reported Q4 FY24 standalone revenue of INR 12,254 crore and PAT of INR 4,128 crore, with a slight dip versus last year due to one-time tariff arrears in Q4 FY23. Full-year consolidated revenue was INR 46,913 crore and PAT was INR 15,987 crore, up ~1% YoY. EBITDA margin remained strong at ~84.5%. The company won 13 out of 20 TBCB projects bid out in FY24, capturing ~65% market share. CapEx reached INR 12,500 crore, exceeding the INR 8,800 crore target, and FY25 CapEx is guided at ~INR 17,000 crore. Management highlighted a robust pipeline of INR 86,700 crore work-in-hand, with over 80% linked to renewable energy evacuation. The intrastate JV model with Rajasthan and other states opens a new growth avenue. Risks include potential margin compression from lower TBCB annuity rates and execution delays in smart metering.

Key Numbers

TBCB Market Share 65%
+65% YoY

Power Grid won 13 of 20 TBCB projects bid out in FY24, capturing 65% of projects and 64% of annual tariff.

System Availability 99.85%
+5bps YoY

Achieved 99.85% system availability, one of the highest globally, ensuring reliable power transmission.

Trippings per Line 0.28
-0.02 YoY

Tripping rate improved to 0.28 per line, indicating one trip per line every ~4 years.

Telecom Revenue INR 822 crore
+14% YoY

Telecom segment revenue grew to INR 822 crore, with 121 new customers and INR 870 crore multi-year orders.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY24 vs Q3 FY24
2 new guidance1 dropped3 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
Intrastate JV pipeline of INR 10,000 crore from Rajasthan

JV with RVPN targets INR 10,000 crore of intrastate transmission projects over 3-4 years, with INR 1,500-2,000 crore in next 2-3 months.

NEW
Dividend payout to remain healthy

Management expects no reduction in dividend despite higher CapEx, citing sufficient cash flows from profits.

UPDATED
FY25 CapEx target of INR 17,000 crore

Management guided CapEx of ~INR 17,000 crore for FY25, up from INR 12,500 crore in FY24, with potential to exceed.

UPDATED
Capitalization target of INR 15,000-16,000 crore in FY25

Capitalization is expected to double from INR 7,638 crore in FY24 to around INR 15,000-16,000 crore in FY25.

DROPPED
Dividend payout maintained at current level

Management confirmed no reduction in dividend payout, with asset monetization through securitization to fund equity requirements.

NEW RISK
TBCB annuity rate compression

Analyst noted a deteriorating trend in CapEx-to-annuity ratios for TBCB projects, which could pressure IRRs. Management acknowledged but maintained 10-12% IRR target.

NEW RISK
Smart metering execution delays

Management admitted smart metering progress is slow due to teething problems in software, with only 30,000 of 69,000 meters installed.

NEW RISK
Subsidiary profit decline due to one-offs

Consolidated subsidiary profits fell YoY partly due to a one-time INR 200 crore tariff order in Q4 FY23, which may not recur.

RISK GONE
CERC draft regulations on O&M and ROE

Draft regulations propose changes to O&M norms and reduce ROE to 15% for new assets. Management expects minimal impact but discussions ongoing.

RISK GONE
Supply chain constraints for transformers and GIS

Management acknowledged potential challenges in transformer and GIS supply, but noted government actions to develop more vendors.

RISK GONE
Aggressive ISTS CAPEX target may face execution delays

Analyst flagged that the INR 310,000 crore ISTS target over FY22-27 appears aggressive given the need for rapid awarding and execution.

RISK GONE
Leh-Ladakh HVDC project timeline risk

The project has a long gestation of ~5 years from order placement, with commissioning expected only by FY2030, posing execution risk.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Supply chain constraints for STATCOM and HVDC equipment

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management acknowledged potential challenges in transformer and GIS supply, but noted government actions to develop more vendors.

Management Guidance

G

FY25 CapEx target of INR 17,000 crore

Management guided CapEx of ~INR 17,000 crore for FY25, up from INR 12,500 crore in FY24, with potential to exceed.

Management guidance capex
G

Capitalization target of INR 15,000-16,000 crore in FY25

Capitalization is expected to double from INR 7,638 crore in FY24 to around INR 15,000-16,000 crore in FY25.

Management guidance growth
G

Intrastate JV pipeline of INR 10,000 crore from Rajasthan

JV with RVPN targets INR 10,000 crore of intrastate transmission projects over 3-4 years, with INR 1,500-2,000 crore in next 2-3 months.

Management guidance expansion
G

Dividend payout to remain healthy

Management expects no reduction in dividend despite higher CapEx, citing sufficient cash flows from profits.

Management guidance other

Key Risks

R

TBCB annuity rate compression

Analyst noted a deteriorating trend in CapEx-to-annuity ratios for TBCB projects, which could pressure IRRs. Management acknowledged but maintained 10-12% IRR target.

medium · analyst_question
R

Smart metering execution delays

Management admitted smart metering progress is slow due to teething problems in software, with only 30,000 of 69,000 meters installed.

low · management_commentary
R

Subsidiary profit decline due to one-offs

Consolidated subsidiary profits fell YoY partly due to a one-time INR 200 crore tariff order in Q4 FY23, which may not recur.

low · data_observation

Notable Quotes

We are committed to achieve many more milestones in future.
Ravindra Kumar Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director
The EBITDA margin will be almost equivalent to the RTM. It will be something like 85%-87%.
Ganesan Ravisankar · Director of Finance and CFO
We don't see any reduction in dividend in near future.
Ravindra Kumar Tyagi · Chairman and Managing Director

Frequently Asked Questions

What was Powergrid's revenue in Q4 FY24?

Powergrid reported revenue of ₹12,254 Cr in Q4 FY24, representing a — change compared to the same quarter last year.

What guidance did Powergrid management give for FY25?

FY25 CapEx target of INR 17,000 crore: Management guided CapEx of ~INR 17,000 crore for FY25, up from INR 12,500 crore in FY24, with potential to exceed. Capitalization target of INR 15,000-16,000 crore in FY25: Capitalization is expected to double from INR 7,638 crore in FY24 to around INR 15,000-16,000 crore in FY25. Intrastate JV pipeline of INR 10,000 crore from Rajasthan: JV with RVPN targets INR 10,000 crore of intrastate transmission projects over 3-4 years, with INR 1,500-2,000 crore in next 2-3 months. Dividend payout to remain healthy: Management expects no reduction in dividend despite higher CapEx, citing sufficient cash flows from profits.

What are the key risks for Powergrid in FY25?

Key risks include TBCB annuity rate compression — Analyst noted a deteriorating trend in CapEx-to-annuity ratios for TBCB projects, which could pressure IRRs. Management acknowledged but maintained 10-12% IRR target.; Smart metering execution delays — Management admitted smart metering progress is slow due to teething problems in software, with only 30,000 of 69,000 meters installed.; Subsidiary profit decline due to one-offs — Consolidated subsidiary profits fell YoY partly due to a one-time INR 200 crore tariff order in Q4 FY23, which may not recur..

Did Powergrid meet its previous quarter's guidance?

Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.

Where can I read the full Powergrid Q4 FY24 concall transcript?

The full earnings conference call transcript or source release is available on the linked source material. This page provides an AI-generated summary with filing verification status shown on the financial stats.