PO
Powergrid
Q3 FY26 · Energy
Power Grid reported a strong Q3 FY26 with standalone revenue of INR 12,436 crore (+7% YoY) and PAT of INR 4,160 crore (+7% YoY), driven by improved project execution and resolution of right-of-way issues. Management raised FY26 CapEx guidance to INR 32,000 crore and capitalization to INR 22,000 crore, with FY27 CapEx guided at INR 37,000 crore and FY28 at INR 45,000 crore. The order book stands at INR 1.95 lakh crore, with 80-90% from TBCB projects. Key growth drivers include renewable evacuation, HVDC projects, battery storage, and international expansion (e.g., Kenya). Risks include supply chain constraints for transformers and potential delays in HVDC project awards.
- Guidance read
- FY26 CapEx raised to INR 32,000 crore: Management increased FY26 CapEx guidance from INR 28,000 crore to INR 32,000 crore, citing strong execution momentum. FY26 Capitalization raised to INR 22,000 crore: Capitalization guidance increased from INR 20,000 crore to INR 22,000 crore, with 9M already at INR 12,915 crore. FY27 CapEx of INR 37,000 crore and FY28 CapEx of INR 45,000 crore: Management provided multi-year CapEx guidance, reflecting strong pipeline of TBCB and HVDC projects. FY27 Capitalization of INR 30,000 crore and FY28 of INR 35,000 crore: Capitalization trajectory aligns with project commissioning timelines, with HVDC spending peaking in FY27-28.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Transformer supply chain constraints — Domestic transformer capacity (228,000 MVA) is insufficient vs demand (421,000 MVA in FY27), potentially delaying projects unless Chinese component imports are allowed.; Right-of-way issues persist despite improvements — While new guidelines have helped, ROW remains a challenge in some states; execution depends on timely adoption by local authorities.; HVDC project award delays — Two major HVDC projects (Barmer II-Srikakulam, Bikaner V-Begunia) may slip beyond FY27, impacting CapEx phasing.; Intrastate project risks — Intrastate projects (e.g., Maharashtra, Karnataka) involve higher execution risks; management will bid selectively based on risk assessment..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
IN
Indraprastha Gas
Q3 FY26 · Energy
IGL reported a steady quarter with total sales volume growing 3% YoY to 867 million SCM, driven by resilient CNG demand (up 10% ex-DTC) and PNG growth of 5%. Revenue rose 8% YoY to ₹465 crore, while EBITDA surged 31% to ₹473 crore and PAT grew 25% to ₹358 crore, aided by regulatory tailwinds (Gujarat VAT cut, transmission tariff rationalization) partially offset by forex headwinds. Management reiterated volume guidance of exiting FY26 at 10 MMSCMD and adding 1 MMSCMD annually, with EBITDA margin improving to ₹7-8/SCM as tariff benefits flow through. Key risks include DTC bus phase-out (now minimal) and potential delays in realizing transmission tariff benefits.
- Guidance read
- Volume exit rate of 10 MMSCMD in Q4 FY26: Management expects to exit Q4 FY26 at an average daily volume of 10 million SCM, with March 2026 averaging above 10 MMSCMD. Annual volume addition of 1 MMSCMD: IGL targets adding 1 million SCM per day each year for the next 2-3 years, driven by CNG (65-70%) and PNG (30-35%). EBITDA margin improvement to ₹7-8/SCM: Management expects EBITDA margin to reach ₹7-8 per SCM in the near term, aided by transmission tariff benefits (~75 paise/SCM), Gujarat VAT benefit (~25 paise/SCM), and reversal of one-time labor code provisions (~30 paise/SCM). Core capex of ₹1,200-1,500 crore for FY27: Core business capex (CNG/PNG) is expected to be ₹1,200-1,500 crore in FY27, with additional ₹500-800 crore for diversification (CBG, LNG, renewables).
- Risk read
- Key risks include DTC bus phase-out drag on volumes — DTC CNG consumption declined from 1.55 lakh kg/day in Q3 FY25 to ~5,000 kg/day in Q3 FY26, and is expected to reach zero by March 2026, impacting headline volume growth.; Forex volatility impacting gas costs — Rupee depreciation of 7-8% (from ~86 to ~90/USD) increased gas costs by ₹2-2.5/SCM, partially offsetting regulatory benefits. Further depreciation could pressure margins.; Delays in transmission tariff benefit realization — Management deferred price increases to avoid volatility, delaying the full benefit of transmission tariff rationalization. If not passed through quickly, margin improvement may be slower than guided.; M&A consolidation hindered by regulatory penalties — Management noted that high penalties on existing GAs make M&A unattractive, limiting inorganic growth opportunities despite interest from potential acquirers..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.