PO
Powergrid
Q3 FY26 · Energy
Power Grid reported a strong Q3 FY26 with standalone revenue of INR 12,436 crore (+7% YoY) and PAT of INR 4,160 crore (+7% YoY), driven by improved project execution and resolution of right-of-way issues. Management raised FY26 CapEx guidance to INR 32,000 crore and capitalization to INR 22,000 crore, with FY27 CapEx guided at INR 37,000 crore and FY28 at INR 45,000 crore. The order book stands at INR 1.95 lakh crore, with 80-90% from TBCB projects. Key growth drivers include renewable evacuation, HVDC projects, battery storage, and international expansion (e.g., Kenya). Risks include supply chain constraints for transformers and potential delays in HVDC project awards.
- Guidance read
- FY26 CapEx raised to INR 32,000 crore: Management increased FY26 CapEx guidance from INR 28,000 crore to INR 32,000 crore, citing strong execution momentum. FY26 Capitalization raised to INR 22,000 crore: Capitalization guidance increased from INR 20,000 crore to INR 22,000 crore, with 9M already at INR 12,915 crore. FY27 CapEx of INR 37,000 crore and FY28 CapEx of INR 45,000 crore: Management provided multi-year CapEx guidance, reflecting strong pipeline of TBCB and HVDC projects. FY27 Capitalization of INR 30,000 crore and FY28 of INR 35,000 crore: Capitalization trajectory aligns with project commissioning timelines, with HVDC spending peaking in FY27-28.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Transformer supply chain constraints — Domestic transformer capacity (228,000 MVA) is insufficient vs demand (421,000 MVA in FY27), potentially delaying projects unless Chinese component imports are allowed.; Right-of-way issues persist despite improvements — While new guidelines have helped, ROW remains a challenge in some states; execution depends on timely adoption by local authorities.; HVDC project award delays — Two major HVDC projects (Barmer II-Srikakulam, Bikaner V-Begunia) may slip beyond FY27, impacting CapEx phasing.; Intrastate project risks — Intrastate projects (e.g., Maharashtra, Karnataka) involve higher execution risks; management will bid selectively based on risk assessment..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.
GU
Gulf Oil Lubricants
Q3 FY26 · Energy
Gulf Oil reported an all-time high quarterly volume of 41,500 KL, with lubricant volumes growing 8% YoY, outperforming the industry by 2x. Revenue grew 11.8% YoY to ₹2,951 crore for 9 months, driven by double-digit growth in PCMO, agri, and industrial segments. EBITDA margin expanded 67 bps sequentially to 13%+, aided by cost management and selective price actions, despite rupee depreciation. The EV charging subsidiary TX posted 83% revenue growth in Q3. Management reiterated the 12-14% EBITDA margin guidance and 2-3x industry volume growth target. Key risks include sustained rupee weakness and competitive intensity from OMCs expanding in lubricants.
- Guidance read
- Volume growth 2-3x industry (8-9% annually): Management reiterated medium-term guidance of growing lubricant volumes at 2-3 times the industry growth rate of 3-4%. EBITDA margin band of 12-14%: Management maintained the 12-14% EBITDA margin guidance, with ambition to move to 14-16% over medium term. TX EV charging revenue target >₹100 cr for FY26: TX is expected to close FY26 with revenue above ₹100 crore, with a 3-4 year target of ₹300-400 crore topline. Capex of ₹55 cr for capacity expansion: ₹55 crore capex for Silvasa and Chennai plants; Chennai capacity expected by Q1 FY27, Silvasa by Q3 FY27.
- Risk read
- Key risks include Rupee depreciation impacting margins — Management noted rupee headwind in January and expects continued pressure; pricing actions may be needed to protect margins.; Increased competitive intensity from OMCs — Analyst raised concern about OMCs increasing focus on lubricants; management acknowledged competition but expressed confidence in brand and distribution.; Base oil price volatility — Short-term base oil prices have not fully correlated with crude declines due to demand-supply imbalances and refinery shutdowns.; EV transition risk to core lubricant business — While management sees EV as opportunity, rising EV penetration could structurally reduce ICE lubricant demand over the long term..
- Promise ledger
- Scorecard data is being built as historical quarters are processed.