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LT Diversified 17 Jan 2024

Larsen & Toubro Limited — Q3 FY24

L&T reported a robust Q3 FY24 with group revenue of ₹55,100 crore (+19% YoY) and recurring PAT of ₹2,900 crore (+20% YoY).

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Revenue ₹55,128 Cr +19%
EBITDA
PAT ₹3,593 Cr +20%
EBITDA Margin 13% -50bps
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

L&T reported a robust Q3 FY24 with group revenue of ₹55,100 crore (+19% YoY) and recurring PAT of ₹2,900 crore (+20% YoY). Order inflows surged 25% YoY to ₹76,000 crore, driven by mega Middle East hydrocarbon and renewable EPC wins, pushing 9-month inflows past full-year FY23 levels. The order book reached a record ₹4.7 trillion (+22% YoY). However, EBITDA margin contracted 50bps to 10.4% due to job mix and legacy project cost pressures in the Projects & Manufacturing (P&M) segment, where margins fell to 7.6% (vs 8.5% YoY). Management revised FY24 guidance: order inflow growth to 20%+ (from 12%), revenue growth to high-teens, but P&M margin guidance trimmed to 8.25%-8.5% (from 8.5%-9%) as new job margin recognition slips into FY25. Net working capital improved to 16.6% of sales. Key risk: domestic ordering may slow ahead of general elections, while Middle East exposure (39% of order book) faces geopolitical uncertainty.

Promises0 met · 2 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Domestic ordering slowdown ahead of elections

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Quarter Snapshot

Order Inflows (Q3) ₹76,000 crore
+25% YoY

Group order inflows for Q3 FY24, driven by large Middle East hydrocarbon and renewable EPC orders.

Order Book ₹4.7 trillion
+22% YoY

Record order book as of Dec '23, with 61% domestic and 39% international.

International Order Share (P&M Q3) 67%
+55pp YoY

Share of international orders in Projects & Manufacturing inflows surged from 12% in Q3 FY23.

NWC to Sales Ratio 16.6%
-240bps YoY

Net working capital to sales improved significantly, reflecting better collections and working capital discipline.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
4 new guidance4 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Order inflow growth of 20%+ for FY24

Revised upward from earlier 12% guidance, driven by strong 9-month inflows and robust prospects pipeline of ₹6.27 trillion.

NEW
Revenue growth in high-teens for FY24

Revised upward from earlier 15% guidance, supported by strong execution momentum and large order book.

NEW
P&M EBITDA margin band of 8.25%-8.5% for FY24

Trimmed from earlier 8.5%-9% band due to postponement of margin recognition on new jobs into FY25.

NEW
NWC to sales ratio around 16.6% (±30bps) for FY24

Revised from 16%-18% band, reflecting sustained working capital discipline.

DROPPED
Order inflow and revenue to outperform initial guidance

Management expects to exceed the initial FY24 guidance of 10-12% order inflow growth and 12-15% revenue growth, but keeps guidance open-ended due to geopolitical uncertainties.

DROPPED
P&M margin guidance revised to 8.5%-9%

Projects & manufacturing EBITDA margin for FY24 is now expected in the range of 8.5%-9%, down from the initial 9% guidance, due to delayed margin recognition on new jobs.

DROPPED
NWC to sales ratio guidance unchanged at 16%-18%

Net working capital to revenue ratio for FY24 is expected to remain in the 16%-18% range, supported by continued focus on collections.

DROPPED
Margin trajectory to improve from FY25

Management expects margins in the projects & manufacturing portfolio to improve from the next financial year onwards, as legacy jobs conclude and new jobs ramp up.

NEW RISK
Domestic ordering slowdown ahead of elections

Management acknowledged that general elections (Apr-May 2024) could temporarily slow public capex and domestic order inflows.

NEW RISK
Margin recognition delay on new projects

Management indicated that multiple new jobs in ramp-up stage may not cross margin recognition threshold by FY24 end, pushing margin improvement to FY25.

NEW RISK
Execution risk in Middle East fixed-price contracts

Large fixed-price contracts in Middle East require timely execution to realize bid margins; any delays could compress margins.

RISK GONE
Margin pressure from legacy EPC jobs

Legacy COVID-impacted jobs are compressing infrastructure margins (5.4% in Q2 vs 6.6% YoY). Management expects these to conclude by FY24 end, but any delay could further pressure margins.

RISK GONE
Execution risk on ultra-mega orders

Analysts questioned the margin profile of the two ultra-mega hydrocarbon orders. Management acknowledged they are fixed-price contracts and declined to provide margin expectations, raising uncertainty.

RISK GONE
Labor availability for specialized projects

While management downplayed current labor shortages, they admitted that securing skilled labor for complex projects (coastal roads, high-speed rail, underground metro) is becoming challenging.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Order inflow growth of 20%+ for FY24

Revised upward from earlier 12% guidance, driven by strong 9-month inflows and robust prospects pipeline of ₹6.27 trillion.

Top risk Domestic ordering slowdown ahead of elections

Management acknowledged that general elections (Apr-May 2024) could temporarily slow public capex and domestic order inflows.

View Risks →