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LT Diversified 24 Jul 2024

Larsen & Toubro Limited — Q1 FY25

L&T delivered a robust Q1 FY25 with group revenues of INR 55,100 crore (+15% YoY) and PAT of INR 2,800 crore (+12% YoY), driven by strong execution in Infrastructure (+22% YoY) and Hydrocarbon (+27% YoY).

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Revenue ₹55,120 Cr +15%
EBITDA
PAT ₹3,445 Cr +12%
EBITDA Margin 13%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

L&T delivered a robust Q1 FY25 with group revenues of INR 55,100 crore (+15% YoY) and PAT of INR 2,800 crore (+12% YoY), driven by strong execution in Infrastructure (+22% YoY) and Hydrocarbon (+27% YoY). Order inflows grew 8% YoY to INR 70,900 crore, with international orders at 40% of the mix. The order book reached a record INR 4.91 trillion (+19% YoY), providing 3x revenue visibility. Management maintained its FY25 guidance of 10% order inflow growth and P&M margin of 8.2-8.25%, despite a 10% drop in the prospects pipeline to INR 9.07 trillion due to hydrocarbon deferrals. Key risks include skilled labor shortages impacting domestic execution and geopolitical volatility in the Middle East.

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Quarter Snapshot

Order Inflows INR 70,900 crore
+8% YoY

Group order inflows for Q1 FY25, driven by Infrastructure, Hydrocarbon, and Precision Engineering.

Order Book INR 4.91 trillion
+19% YoY

Record order book as of June 2024, with 62% domestic and 38% international.

Infrastructure Revenue Growth INR 26,900 crore
+22% YoY

Strong execution in Infrastructure segment, aided by international projects.

Prospects Pipeline INR 9.07 trillion
-10% YoY

Drop in prospects due to hydrocarbon deferrals; management confident of 22-23% conversion to meet guidance.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q4 FY24
2 new guidance1 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
P&M margin target of 8.2-8.25% for FY25

Management maintained the P&M margin guidance of 8.2-8.25% for FY25, with Q1 margins at 7.6% (up 20 bps YoY).

NEW
CapEx of around INR 4,000 crore for FY25

Management guided for CapEx of approximately INR 4,000 crore for FY25.

UPDATED
Order inflow growth of 10% for FY25

Management reaffirmed the 10% order inflow growth guidance for FY25, despite a 10% drop in the prospects pipeline, citing a 22-23% conversion rate.

UPDATED
Group revenue growth of 15% for FY25

Management reiterated the 15% group revenue growth guidance, with H2 expected to be stronger due to domestic execution ramp-up.

DROPPED
P&M margin around 8.25% in FY25

Projects & Manufacturing margin expected to be similar to FY24's 8.25%, with mix and competitive pressures offset by volume growth.

NEW RISK
Skilled labor shortage

Management highlighted that skilled labor shortages could slow infrastructure execution, especially as India's CapEx cycle expands.

NEW RISK
Hydrocarbon prospects pipeline decline

The prospects pipeline dropped 10% YoY, primarily due to hydrocarbon project deferrals and losses, which could impact future order inflows.

NEW RISK
Geopolitical and commodity price volatility

Management noted that geopolitical conflicts, supply chain disruptions, and commodity price volatility remain headwinds, particularly in the Middle East.

NEW RISK
Execution risk in international fixed-price contracts

International projects are largely fixed-price; any cost overruns or delays could pressure margins, though management expressed confidence in timely execution.

RISK GONE
Geopolitical uncertainty in Middle East

Escalation of West Asia conflict could disrupt supply chains and delay project awards, impacting order inflow guidance.

RISK GONE
Domestic election-related slowdown

H1 FY25 may see softness in tendering and awarding due to general elections and new government formation.

RISK GONE
Margin pressure from competitive bidding and input costs

Analyst raised concern about margin guidance being lowered; management cited mix shift, delayed claims, and higher labor/logistics costs.

RISK GONE
Hyderabad Metro recovery delayed

Free bus scheme for women reduced ridership by 40k; government grants and monetization progress slower than expected.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Middle East geopolitical and Aramco capex risk

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Escalation of West Asia conflict could disrupt supply chains and delay project awards, impacting order inflow guidance.

NWC to sales ratio around 16.6% (±30bps) for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24, Q4 FY24

Working capital intensity expected to increase from 12% to 15% as legacy collections normalize.

Margin trajectory to improve from FY25

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q4 FY24

Projects & Manufacturing margin expected to be similar to FY24's 8.25%, with mix and competitive pressures offset by volume growth.

Projects & manufacturing EBITDA margin of 9% for FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Trimmed from earlier 8.5%-9% band due to postponement of margin recognition on new jobs into FY25.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Order inflow growth of 10% for FY25

Management reaffirmed the 10% order inflow growth guidance for FY25, despite a 10% drop in the prospects pipeline, citing a 22-23% conversion rate.

Top risk Skilled labor shortage

Management highlighted that skilled labor shortages could slow infrastructure execution, especially as India's CapEx cycle expands.

View Risks →