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KALYANKJIL Consumer 14 Nov 2023

Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd — Q2 FY24

Kalyan Jewellers reported a strong Q2 FY24 with consolidated revenue of ₹4,415 crore (+27% YoY) and PAT of ₹135 crore (+27% YoY).

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Revenue ₹4,415 Cr +27%
EBITDA
PAT ₹135 Cr +27%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Kalyan Jewellers reported a strong Q2 FY24 with consolidated revenue of ₹4,415 crore (+27% YoY) and PAT of ₹135 crore (+27% YoY). India business grew 32% in both revenue and PAT, driven by robust same-store sales growth of 10% (8% South, 15% non-South) and rapid franchise expansion. The company opened 15 stores in Q2 and plans 65 for FY24, with 80 targeted for FY25. Franchisee contribution reached 20% of India revenue, and management is renegotiating terms to improve margins by 25-50 bps and shift CapEx to franchisees. Debt reduction is on track, with non-GML loans down ₹157 crore in H1. Near-term demand remains strong with 35% revenue growth in Q3-to-date. Risk: Rising gold price volatility could dampen consumer sentiment and pressure margins.

Bear Cases3 alive · 0 deadPromises0 met · 3 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
Research workspace

Focused Modules

Bear Cases 4 tracked

Bear Cases vs Reality

Franchisee model execution in South India uncertain Alive 3, weakening 1, dead 0.

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Promises 3 promises

Promise Tracker

0 delivered, 0 close, 3 missed.

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!Risks 4 risks

Risk Intelligence

Gold price volatility impacting demand

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Transcript Full text

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Quarter Snapshot

Same-store sales growth (SSG) Q2 10%
+10% YoY

Overall SSG was 10%, with South at 8% and non-South at 15%.

Franchisee contribution to India revenue 20%
+20pp YoY

Franchisee stores contributed 20% of India revenue in Q2, up from near zero last year.

Store count target FY25 80
+23% YoY

Plans to open 80 new Kalyan showrooms in India in FY25, mostly in non-South markets.

Gold metal loan (India) ₹1,132 crore
+₹30 crore QoQ

India gold metal loan stood at ₹1,132 crore, up slightly from previous quarter.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
80 new showrooms in India in FY25

Management plans to open approximately 80 Kalyan showrooms across India in the next financial year, mostly in non-South markets.

NEW
Franchisee margin improvement of 25-50 bps

For new franchisee stores from FY25, Kalyan expects to improve its margin share by 25-50 basis points through revised terms.

NEW
Non-GML debt elimination in 2-3 years

Management expects to fully repay non-gold metal loan working capital debt in India within the next 2-3 years.

UPDATED
Debt reduction target of ₹350 crore in FY24

The company aims to reduce debt by ₹350 crore in the current financial year, with ₹157 crore already achieved in H1.

DROPPED
52 new showrooms in FY24 (franchise model)

Plan to open 52 franchisee showrooms in Non-South markets, with most openings before Diwali.

DROPPED
20+ Candere physical stores in next 6 months

Candere to launch over 20 physical showrooms starting August, mostly on franchise model.

DROPPED
First Middle East franchise store by Q2 end

First franchise showroom in Middle East to open before end of September quarter.

NEW RISK
Franchisee model execution in South India

The franchisee model is still in pilot stage in South India with only 6 LOIs signed. Management was evasive on conversion plans for existing owned stores.

NEW RISK
Candere business underperformance

Candere revenue declined in Q1 and Q2. Management downplayed it as 'inconsequential' but offered no turnaround timeline, raising concerns about the omni-channel strategy.

NEW RISK
Rising interest rates in Middle East

Higher interest rates in the Middle East compressed PBT margins despite stable gross margins, as noted by management.

RISK GONE
Adhik Maas wedding demand pause

Wedding-related demand slowed after mid-July due to Adhik Maas (once in 3 years), which may shift revenue to Q3.

RISK GONE
Employee cost growth outpacing revenue

Employee expenses grew 45% YoY due to pre-hiring for expansion and ESOP costs, potentially pressuring margins.

RISK GONE
Candere revenue degrowth during transition

Candere revenue declined 23% YoY as it shifts to omni-channel; offline store ramp-up may take time.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance 80 new showrooms in India in FY25

Management plans to open approximately 80 Kalyan showrooms across India in the next financial year, mostly in non-South markets.

Top risk Gold price volatility impacting demand

Sharp fluctuations in gold prices can cause consumers to pause purchases, as seen during the quarter.

View Risks →