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JSW Steel FY26 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹1,85,390 Cr revenue · ₹25,508 Cr PAT · 17.1% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹1,85,390 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹25,508 Cr
Average margin: 17.1%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY26₹43,147 Cr₹2,209 Cr17.6%neutral
Q2 FY26₹45,152 Cr₹1,646 Cr17.4%bullish
Q3 FY26₹45,991 Cr₹2,410 Cr14.4%bullish
Q4 FY26₹51,100 Cr₹19,243 Cr19.0%bullish

Management promises made during the year

Q1 FY26 coking coal cost reduction of $10-$15/ton

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY26
missed
Q1 FY26 price improvement of INR 3,200-3,250/ton

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q1 FY26
missed
Q2 volumes expected to increase sequentially

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q2 FY26
close
Coking coal cost benefit of ~$5/ton in Q2

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q2 FY26
close
Steel prices expected to improve in November-December

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q3 FY26
close
Coking coal cost increase of INR 3-5 in Q3

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q3 FY26
close
Iron ore prices expected to decline in Q3

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q3 FY26
close
FY26 volume guidance maintained: production 30.5M tons, sales 29.2M tons

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q4 FY26
close
Q4 margins expected to improve

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q4 FY26
close
FY26 capex guidance INR 15,000-16,000 crore

Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.

Q4 FY26
close

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY26 · high

Cheaper imports finding way into India, impacting domestic sentiment and realizations.

Q2 FY26 · high

Imports have increased recently as steel from other countries diverts to India due to global tariff actions, pressuring domestic prices.

Q3 FY26 · high

Chinese steel exports surged 14% to 133.5M tons in CY2025, pressuring regional prices. Anti-involution measures may take time to have effect.

Q1 FY26 · medium

Supreme Court review petition pending; status quo ordered. Could impact 0.5 MTPA expansion if unfavorable.

Q1 FY26 · medium

HRC prices moderated by ~INR 1,500/ton in June and further softness in July, partly seasonal but also due to global uncertainties.

Q2 FY26 · medium

New capacities coming on stream in India have led to a discount to import parity, impacting realizations.

Q2 FY26 · medium

INR depreciation led to a INR 2,100 crore increase in net debt due to translation of foreign currency debt.

Q3 FY26 · medium

CBAM regulations could increase costs for exports to Europe (1.2-1.3M tons annually). Management has not yet quantified the impact and is awaiting clarity.

Q3 FY26 · medium

Despite captive mines, 50% of iron ore requirement will be from market. Any supply disruption or price increase could impact costs.

Q3 FY26 · medium

INR 100,000 crore capex over 4-5 years could increase net debt, though BPSL cash inflow provides some cushion.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Management expects coking coal costs to rise by $12-15/ton in Q1 FY27, impacting margins.

Q4 FY26 · medium

Analyst raised concern about gas shortages; management acknowledged limited exposure (5-6% of production) but noted cost impact and potential disruption if conflict escalates.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY26 · Q2 volumes expected to increase sequentially

Management expects higher volumes in Q2 as shutdowns are behind and JVML second converter starts.

G

Q1 FY26 · Coking coal cost benefit of ~$5/ton in Q2

Coking coal costs expected to be marginally lower QoQ by about $5 per ton.

G

Q1 FY26 · Dolvi Phase III expansion on track for Sep 2027

Dolvi expansion from 10 to 15 MTPA progressing well, on schedule for completion by September 2027.

G

Q1 FY26 · India steel demand growth 8.5%-9.5% for FY26

CRISIL forecast of demand growth in the range of 8.5%-9.5% for the financial year, supported by government capex and monetary easing.

G

Q2 FY26 · Steel prices expected to improve in November-December

Management expects steel prices to rise in Q3 as channel inventories are low and demand picks up seasonally.

G

Q2 FY26 · Coking coal cost increase of INR 3-5 in Q3

Coking coal costs are expected to rise by INR 3-5 per ton in October-December due to PLV changes.

G

Q2 FY26 · Iron ore prices expected to decline in Q3

Management expects iron ore prices to decline in Q3, which would be positive for costs.

G

Q2 FY26 · Annual CapEx of ~INR 20,000 crore per year

Total CapEx of INR 69,000 crore over next 3.5 years, with ~INR 20,000 crore per year funded through internal accruals.

G

Q3 FY26 · FY26 volume guidance maintained: production 30.5M tons, sales 29.2M tons

Management expects to broadly achieve full-year guidance for production and sales, with Q4 volumes similar to Q3.

G

Q3 FY26 · Q4 margins expected to improve

Steel prices have recovered INR 3,500/ton since end-December, offsetting higher coking coal costs ($15-20/ton increase).

G

Q3 FY26 · FY27 India steel demand growth 7-9%

Management projects India steel demand growth of 7-9% for FY2027.

G

Q3 FY26 · FY26 capex guidance INR 15,000-16,000 crore

Total capex for FY26 expected in the range of INR 15,000-16,000 crore.

G

Q4 FY26 · FY27 consolidated production target of 29.75 million tons

Management guided production of 29.75 million tons for FY27, representing ~13% growth on a like-for-like basis (excluding BPSL).

G

Q4 FY26 · FY27 sales volume guidance of 28.6 million tons

Sales volume expected at 28.6 million tons, implying ~10% growth YoY, including BMM Ispat acquisition.

G

Q4 FY26 · Capex of ₹22,000-24,000 crore in FY27

Part of the ₹126,000 crore growth capex plan to be spent over 4-5 years; FY27 spend guided at ₹22,000-24,000 crore.

G

Q4 FY26 · Target of 62 million tons standalone capacity by FY32

JSW Steel aims to expand standalone capacity to 62 million tons by FY32, with additional 16 million tons via JVs (JF Steel and POSCO).