JSW Steel FY26 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹1,85,390 Cr revenue · ₹25,508 Cr PAT · 17.1% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q2 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q2 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q3 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q3 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q3 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q4 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q4 FY26Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q4 FY26Risks flagged during the year
Cheaper imports finding way into India, impacting domestic sentiment and realizations.
Q2 FY26 · highImports have increased recently as steel from other countries diverts to India due to global tariff actions, pressuring domestic prices.
Q3 FY26 · highChinese steel exports surged 14% to 133.5M tons in CY2025, pressuring regional prices. Anti-involution measures may take time to have effect.
Q1 FY26 · mediumSupreme Court review petition pending; status quo ordered. Could impact 0.5 MTPA expansion if unfavorable.
Q1 FY26 · mediumHRC prices moderated by ~INR 1,500/ton in June and further softness in July, partly seasonal but also due to global uncertainties.
Q2 FY26 · mediumNew capacities coming on stream in India have led to a discount to import parity, impacting realizations.
Q2 FY26 · mediumINR depreciation led to a INR 2,100 crore increase in net debt due to translation of foreign currency debt.
Q3 FY26 · mediumCBAM regulations could increase costs for exports to Europe (1.2-1.3M tons annually). Management has not yet quantified the impact and is awaiting clarity.
Q3 FY26 · mediumDespite captive mines, 50% of iron ore requirement will be from market. Any supply disruption or price increase could impact costs.
Q3 FY26 · mediumINR 100,000 crore capex over 4-5 years could increase net debt, though BPSL cash inflow provides some cushion.
Q4 FY26 · mediumManagement expects coking coal costs to rise by $12-15/ton in Q1 FY27, impacting margins.
Q4 FY26 · mediumAnalyst raised concern about gas shortages; management acknowledged limited exposure (5-6% of production) but noted cost impact and potential disruption if conflict escalates.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY26 · Q2 volumes expected to increase sequentially
Management expects higher volumes in Q2 as shutdowns are behind and JVML second converter starts.
Q1 FY26 · Coking coal cost benefit of ~$5/ton in Q2
Coking coal costs expected to be marginally lower QoQ by about $5 per ton.
Q1 FY26 · Dolvi Phase III expansion on track for Sep 2027
Dolvi expansion from 10 to 15 MTPA progressing well, on schedule for completion by September 2027.
Q1 FY26 · India steel demand growth 8.5%-9.5% for FY26
CRISIL forecast of demand growth in the range of 8.5%-9.5% for the financial year, supported by government capex and monetary easing.
Q2 FY26 · Steel prices expected to improve in November-December
Management expects steel prices to rise in Q3 as channel inventories are low and demand picks up seasonally.
Q2 FY26 · Coking coal cost increase of INR 3-5 in Q3
Coking coal costs are expected to rise by INR 3-5 per ton in October-December due to PLV changes.
Q2 FY26 · Iron ore prices expected to decline in Q3
Management expects iron ore prices to decline in Q3, which would be positive for costs.
Q2 FY26 · Annual CapEx of ~INR 20,000 crore per year
Total CapEx of INR 69,000 crore over next 3.5 years, with ~INR 20,000 crore per year funded through internal accruals.
Q3 FY26 · FY26 volume guidance maintained: production 30.5M tons, sales 29.2M tons
Management expects to broadly achieve full-year guidance for production and sales, with Q4 volumes similar to Q3.
Q3 FY26 · Q4 margins expected to improve
Steel prices have recovered INR 3,500/ton since end-December, offsetting higher coking coal costs ($15-20/ton increase).
Q3 FY26 · FY27 India steel demand growth 7-9%
Management projects India steel demand growth of 7-9% for FY2027.
Q3 FY26 · FY26 capex guidance INR 15,000-16,000 crore
Total capex for FY26 expected in the range of INR 15,000-16,000 crore.
Q4 FY26 · FY27 consolidated production target of 29.75 million tons
Management guided production of 29.75 million tons for FY27, representing ~13% growth on a like-for-like basis (excluding BPSL).
Q4 FY26 · FY27 sales volume guidance of 28.6 million tons
Sales volume expected at 28.6 million tons, implying ~10% growth YoY, including BMM Ispat acquisition.
Q4 FY26 · Capex of ₹22,000-24,000 crore in FY27
Part of the ₹126,000 crore growth capex plan to be spent over 4-5 years; FY27 spend guided at ₹22,000-24,000 crore.
Q4 FY26 · Target of 62 million tons standalone capacity by FY32
JSW Steel aims to expand standalone capacity to 62 million tons by FY32, with additional 16 million tons via JVs (JF Steel and POSCO).