Icicibank FY25 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹472 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q1 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Risks flagged during the year
Intense competition in corporate and mortgage lending is pressuring yields, while deposit costs remain elevated, potentially compressing NIMs further.
Q1 FY25 · mediumRecoveries from past NPA pools are slowing, which could lead to a gradual increase in credit costs from current low levels.
Q1 FY25 · mediumRevised LCR guidelines could tighten deposit markets and constrain loan growth, though management is still assessing the impact.
Q2 FY25 · mediumDelinquencies in personal loans and credit cards have risen over the past year; further increase could push overall credit costs above the current 40-50 bps range.
Q2 FY25 · mediumCost of deposits rose 4 bps QoQ to 4.88%, and further marginal increases are expected, which could pressure NIM if loan yields do not keep pace.
Q3 FY25 · mediumPersonal loan and credit card portfolios have seen increased delinquencies over the past six quarters; management has taken corrective actions but trend may persist.
Q3 FY25 · mediumCost of deposits rose to 4.91% from 4.88% sequentially, and NIM declined 18bps YoY; further pressure could impact profitability.
Q4 FY25 · mediumA deeper-than-expected rate cut cycle could compress NIMs as loan yields reset faster than deposit costs.
Q4 FY25 · mediumPublic sector banks are pricing loans below ICICI Bank, creating challenges for growth in segments like housing.
Q4 FY25 · mediumManagement noted that global trade-related issues could affect the economy and portfolio performance, though current comfort is high.
Q1 FY25 · lowKisan Credit Card portfolio sees higher NPA additions in Q1 and Q3, which could cause volatility in asset quality metrics.
Q2 FY25 · lowBusiness banking is a competitive segment with pressure on yields; growth may come at lower margins, though management focuses on overall customer profitability.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY25 · Credit cost to normalize around 50 bps
Management expects credit cost to gradually normalize around 50 basis points, adjusted for seasonality and one-offs.
Q1 FY25 · OpEx growth to moderate
Operating expense growth is expected to remain around 10-13% YoY, similar to recent quarters.
Q1 FY25 · Personal loan growth to trend towards 20%
Personal loan growth is expected to moderate to around 20% or lower by year-end, from 24% YoY in Q1.
Q2 FY25 · NIM expected to be broadly stable in H2 FY25
Management expects net interest margin to remain stable in the second half of the fiscal year, with potential improvement when rate cuts begin.
Q2 FY25 · Operating expense growth to be around 8-10% in near term
OpEx growth moderated to 6.6% YoY in Q2; H1 growth was ~8.5%, and H2 may be slightly higher due to festive spends, but broadly in that range.
Q2 FY25 · Personal loan growth to trend down further
Personal loan growth has slowed from 40% YoY to 17% and is expected to decline further over the next couple of quarters due to tighter underwriting.
Q3 FY25 · Credit cost around 50bps
Management reiterated that reported credit cost of 37bps is below the sustainable level of ~50bps, with no expectation of a dramatic increase.
Q3 FY25 · Continued investment in technology and branches
The bank will keep investing in technology (10.5% of opex), people, and distribution, adding 129 branches in Q3.
Q3 FY25 · Focus on risk-calibrated profitable growth
Management aims to grow market share across key segments while maintaining strong balance sheet and prudent provisioning.
Q4 FY25 · Margin pressure expected from rate cuts
Management expects some impact on NIMs as loan repricing is immediate while deposit repricing lags, but will manage through growth and other levers.
Q4 FY25 · Continued focus on risk-adjusted PPOP
The bank will prioritize risk-adjusted pre-provision operating profit over pure loan growth, making tactical pricing calls as needed.
Q4 FY25 · Unsecured retail NPL stabilization expected to continue
NPL formation on unsecured retail has broadly stabilized; management hopes for improvement in coming quarters.