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ICICIBANK Financial Services 18 Jan 2025

Icicibank Ltd — Q3 FY25

ICICI Bank reported a steady Q3 FY25 with PAT growing 14.8% YoY to ₹117.92 billion, driven by core operating profit growth of 13.1% YoY and strong fee income (+16.3% YoY).

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EBITDA
PAT ₹13,847 Cr +14.8%
EBITDA Margin
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Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

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ICICI Bank reported a steady Q3 FY25 with PAT growing 14.8% YoY to ₹117.92 billion, driven by core operating profit growth of 13.1% YoY and strong fee income (+16.3% YoY). Domestic loan growth was 15.1% YoY, led by business banking (+31.9%) and corporate (+13.2%), while retail slowed to 10.5% due to cautious unsecured lending. NIM compressed to 4.25% (down 18bps YoY) from deposit cost pressure and KCC seasonality. Asset quality remained stable with net NPA at 0.42% and contingency provisions of ₹131 billion (1% of loans). Management guided for sustained credit costs around 50bps and continued investment in technology and branches. Risk: Unsecured retail slippages could rise if economic conditions weaken, though management expects stabilization.

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Quarter Snapshot

Domestic Loan Growth 15.1%
+15.1% YoY

Domestic loan portfolio grew 15.1% YoY and 3.2% sequentially, driven by business banking and corporate segments.

Net Interest Margin 4.25%
-18bps YoY

NIM declined 18bps YoY to 4.25% due to higher deposit costs and KCC seasonality; domestic NIM was 4.32%.

Fee Income Growth ₹61.8B
+16.3% YoY

Fee income grew 16.3% YoY to ₹61.8 billion, with retail, rural, and business banking contributing 78%.

CASA Ratio (Average) 12.6% growth
+12.6% YoY

Average CASA deposits grew 12.6% YoY, outperforming peers, driven by digital adoption and customer engagement.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY25 vs Q2 FY25
3 new guidance3 dropped2 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Credit cost around 50bps

Management reiterated that reported credit cost of 37bps is below the sustainable level of ~50bps, with no expectation of a dramatic increase.

NEW
Continued investment in technology and branches

The bank will keep investing in technology (10.5% of opex), people, and distribution, adding 129 branches in Q3.

NEW
Focus on risk-calibrated profitable growth

Management aims to grow market share across key segments while maintaining strong balance sheet and prudent provisioning.

DROPPED
NIM expected to be broadly stable in H2 FY25

Management expects net interest margin to remain stable in the second half of the fiscal year, with potential improvement when rate cuts begin.

DROPPED
Operating expense growth to be around 8-10% in near term

OpEx growth moderated to 6.6% YoY in Q2; H1 growth was ~8.5%, and H2 may be slightly higher due to festive spends, but broadly in that range.

DROPPED
Personal loan growth to trend down further

Personal loan growth has slowed from 40% YoY to 17% and is expected to decline further over the next couple of quarters due to tighter underwriting.

NEW RISK
Unsecured retail slippages

Personal loan and credit card portfolios have seen increased delinquencies over the past six quarters; management has taken corrective actions but trend may persist.

NEW RISK
Business banking credit risk

Analyst questioned what could go wrong in business banking; management cited granularity and collateral but acknowledged need for tight monitoring.

RISK GONE
Unsecured retail credit cost normalization

Delinquencies in personal loans and credit cards have risen over the past year; further increase could push overall credit costs above the current 40-50 bps range.

RISK GONE
Competitive intensity in business banking lending

Business banking is a competitive segment with pressure on yields; growth may come at lower margins, though management focuses on overall customer profitability.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Personal loan growth to trend down further

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q2 FY25, Q3 FY24

Personal loan growth has slowed from 40% YoY to 17% and is expected to decline further over the next couple of quarters due to tighter underwriting.

Competitive pressure in corporate lending

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q4 FY24

While competitive intensity has moderated recently, it remains dynamic and could intensify again, pressuring lending yields and growth.

Credit cost to normalize around 50 bps

Mentioned in Q1 FY25, Q4 FY24

Management expects credit cost to gradually normalize around 50 basis points, adjusted for seasonality and one-offs.

Full-year NIM expected similar to last year

Mentioned in Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Management expects FY24 NIM to be similar to FY23, implying further compression in Q4 but at a lower pace than Q3.

Operating expense growth to be around 8-10% in near term

Mentioned in Q2 FY25, Q4 FY24

OpEx growth moderated to 6.6% YoY in Q2; H1 growth was ~8.5%, and H2 may be slightly higher due to festive spends, but broadly in that range.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Credit cost around 50bps

Management reiterated that reported credit cost of 37bps is below the sustainable level of ~50bps, with no expectation of a dramatic increase.

Top risk Unsecured retail slippages

Personal loan and credit card portfolios have seen increased delinquencies over the past six quarters; management has taken corrective actions but...

View Risks →