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Icicibank FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹9,960 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹0 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹9,960 Cr
Average margin: 0.0%
Promise delivery: 50%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹9,648 Crbullish
Q2 FY24₹103 Crbullish
Q3 FY24₹103 Crbullish
Q4 FY24₹107 Crbullish

Management promises made during the year

Cost of deposits to increase for next 2-3 quarters

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Full-year NIM similar to FY23

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Continued branch expansion

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Full-year NIM expected similar to last year

Current-quarter results and commentary indicate the prior promise was delivered or materially on track.

Q4 FY24
met
Headcount additions to moderate

Current-quarter results and commentary indicate the prior promise was delivered or materially on track.

Q4 FY24
met
Personal loan growth to moderate further

Current-quarter results and commentary indicate the prior promise was delivered or materially on track.

Q4 FY24
met

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY24 · medium

Rapid growth in personal loans and credit cards (40.6% YoY) could lead to higher NPAs or regulatory risk-weight increases if industry stress emerges.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Cost of deposits is expected to rise for 2-3 quarters, pressuring NIMs further before stabilization.

Q2 FY24 · medium

NIM declined sequentially due to lagged impact of term deposit rate increases; further moderation expected in coming quarters.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Analysts raised concerns about rising delinquencies in small-ticket unsecured loans; management downplayed risk for ICICI due to focus on upper segments.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Management acknowledged intense competition across mortgages, personal loans, and corporate lending, which could pressure yields.

Q3 FY24 · medium

NIM declined 22bps YoY to 4.43% and may compress further in Q4 as deposit costs continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Analyst raised concerns about rising delinquencies in unsecured loans; management acknowledged trimming higher-risk cohorts but did not quantify impact.

Q4 FY24 · medium

Further increase in deposit costs, including the 10 bps retail deposit rate hike in February, could lead to additional NIM compression until rate cuts materialize.

Q4 FY24 · medium

While competitive intensity has moderated recently, it remains dynamic and could intensify again, pressuring lending yields and growth.

Q4 FY24 · medium

A data breach involving 17,000 credit cards was disclosed; while corrective action was taken, such incidents could attract regulatory scrutiny and reputational damage.

Q1 FY24 · low

Employee expenses grew 36.3% YoY due to hiring and increments; if revenue growth moderates, operating leverage may be delayed.

Q1 FY24 · low

Pricing pressure in wholesale lending persists, though ICICI Bank focuses on ecosystem-based relationships to maintain returns.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Cost of deposits to increase for next 2-3 quarters

Management expects cost of deposits to continue rising for the next couple of quarters due to repricing of maturing deposits and incremental growth.

G

Q1 FY24 · Continue investing in technology, people, and distribution

The bank will maintain investments in technology, employee hiring, and branch expansion to drive franchise growth.

G

Q1 FY24 · Focus on risk-calibrated profitable growth

Management aims to grow market share across key segments while maintaining prudent provisioning and strong capital levels.

G

Q2 FY24 · Full-year NIM similar to FY23

Management expects net interest margin for FY24 to be at a similar level as FY23 (4.53%), with some moderation from Q2 levels.

G

Q2 FY24 · Continued branch expansion

The bank added 174 branches in Q2 and 350 in H1, with plans to continue expanding based on micro-market opportunities.

G

Q2 FY24 · Technology investment at ~9% of opex

Technology expenses were about 9.2% of operating expenses in H1, and the bank will continue investing in technology, people, and distribution.

G

Q3 FY24 · Full-year NIM expected similar to last year

Management expects FY24 NIM to be similar to FY23, implying further compression in Q4 but at a lower pace than Q3.

G

Q3 FY24 · Headcount additions to moderate

Employee additions will not continue at the pace of previous 4-5 quarters; Q3 saw only 1,700 additions vs ~10,000 in H1.

G

Q3 FY24 · Personal loan growth to moderate further

Growth in personal loans may continue to moderate from current levels due to tighter credit parameters and pricing actions.

G

Q4 FY24 · NIM expected to be range-bound near current levels

Management expects net interest margin to remain range-bound in the near term until a rate cut occurs, with only modest further moderation possible.

G

Q4 FY24 · Operating expense growth to moderate

Management expects the pace of operating expense growth to moderate from the high levels seen in the last 12-15 months, driven by slower headcount additions and sourcing cost optimization.

G

Q4 FY24 · Credit cost to remain below 50 bps

Management indicated that credit costs, adjusted for seasonality, should remain under 50 basis points, with no dramatic increase expected.