Hindunilvr FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹61,896 Cr revenue · ₹10,282 Cr PAT · 23.8% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Risks flagged during the year
El Niño has set in early, potentially impacting the latter part of the monsoon, which could affect rural demand and agri output.
Q2 FY24 · highHigh milk and coffee prices continue to pressure volumes in HFD and coffee, with no near-term relief expected.
Q3 FY24 · highRural consumer sentiment remains subdued due to lower agriculture yields and income uncertainty; recovery pace depends on winter crop yields and government spending.
Q4 FY24 · highMass skin cleansing and fabric wash liquids face increased competition from regional and global players, pressuring volumes and pricing.
Q1 FY24 · mediumModerating commodity prices have led to increased competition from small/regional players, particularly in mass segments and specific regions.
Q1 FY24 · mediumTrade destocking of high-priced inventory and consumer pantry adjustments may delay volume recovery by 2-3 quarters.
Q1 FY24 · mediumCoffee, cereals, and cleaning powder continue to see high inflation, impacting margins in the Foods & Refreshment segment.
Q2 FY24 · mediumUneven monsoon with 6% deficit and lower reservoir levels could affect kharif harvest and rural incomes.
Q2 FY24 · mediumSmall and regional players are growing faster in tea and detergent bars, pressuring HUL's market share in those pockets.
Q2 FY24 · mediumCrude oil above $90 and geopolitical tensions could reverse input cost deflation, impacting margins.
Q3 FY24 · mediumBenign commodity environment has led to increased competition from regional players, particularly in detergent bars and tea, impacting market share momentum.
Q3 FY24 · mediumThe termination of the GSK distribution agreement will result in the loss of approximately INR 300 crore annual income, impacting margins from next quarter.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY24 · Price growth to be near flat or marginally negative in next 2 quarters
If commodities remain at current levels, HUL expects price growth to be near flat or marginally negative, with growth fully led by volume.
Q1 FY24 · Volume growth momentum to be sustained
Management expects to sustain volume growth momentum despite transition, supported by price reductions and A&P investments.
Q1 FY24 · Gross margin to be rebuilt and invested in A&P
Focus on rebuilding gross margins and investing competitively behind A&P; EBITDA margin will be an outcome.
Q2 FY24 · Price growth to be marginally negative if commodities stay
Management expects price growth to turn marginally negative in the near term if current commodity prices hold.
Q2 FY24 · EBITDA margin to be maintained in a healthy range
Management aims to keep EBITDA margin in a healthy range while investing in brands and capabilities.
Q2 FY24 · Volume recovery expected to be gradual
Management expects volume recovery to continue gradually, supported by moderating inflation and festive season.
Q3 FY24 · Marginal negative price growth expected in Q4 FY24
If commodity prices remain at current levels, management expects underlying price growth to be marginally negative in the March quarter.
Q3 FY24 · EBITDA margins to remain in healthy 23-24% range
Management aims to maintain EBITDA margins at current healthy levels, with a focus on gross margin improvement back to pre-COVID levels.
Q3 FY24 · Business Winning metric to dip below 60% then recover
The MAT business winning metric is expected to dip below 60% for a couple of quarters before recovering above 60% in the second half of calendar 2024.
Q3 FY24 · Continued step-up in A&P and capability investments
Management plans to further increase investments behind brands, innovation, and digital capabilities, funded by gross margin expansion.
Q4 FY24 · Maintain EBITDA margin at current levels in near term
Management expects to keep EBITDA margin around 23.4% in the short term, with modest improvement over medium to long term.
Q4 FY24 · Pricing to turn positive low single-digit by H2 FY25
If commodity prices remain stable, price growth is expected to plateau in mid-term and become positive low single-digit by end of FY25.
Q4 FY24 · Volume-led competitive growth focus
Focus remains on driving competitive volume-led growth across the business, with gradual demand recovery expected.
Q4 FY24 · Skin cleansing improvement over mid-term
Actions underway to address mass skin cleansing performance, with improvement expected over the next few quarters.