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Hindunilvr FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹61,896 Cr revenue · ₹10,282 Cr PAT · 23.8% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹61,896 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹10,282 Cr
Average margin: 23.8%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹15,496 Cr₹2,556 Cr24.0%neutral
Q2 FY24₹15,623 Cr₹2,657 Cr24.0%neutral
Q3 FY24₹15,567 Cr₹2,508 Cr23.7%neutral
Q4 FY24₹15,210 Cr₹2,561 Cr23.4%neutral

Management promises made during the year

Price growth to be near flat or marginally negative in next 2 quarters

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Volume growth momentum to be sustained

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Gross margin to be rebuilt and invested in A&P

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Price growth to be marginally negative if commodities stay

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
EBITDA margin to be maintained in a healthy range

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Volume recovery expected to be gradual

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Marginal negative price growth expected in Q4 FY24

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY24
missed
EBITDA margins to remain in healthy 23-24% range

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q1 FY24 · high

El Niño has set in early, potentially impacting the latter part of the monsoon, which could affect rural demand and agri output.

Q2 FY24 · high

High milk and coffee prices continue to pressure volumes in HFD and coffee, with no near-term relief expected.

Q3 FY24 · high

Rural consumer sentiment remains subdued due to lower agriculture yields and income uncertainty; recovery pace depends on winter crop yields and government spending.

Q4 FY24 · high

Mass skin cleansing and fabric wash liquids face increased competition from regional and global players, pressuring volumes and pricing.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Moderating commodity prices have led to increased competition from small/regional players, particularly in mass segments and specific regions.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Trade destocking of high-priced inventory and consumer pantry adjustments may delay volume recovery by 2-3 quarters.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Coffee, cereals, and cleaning powder continue to see high inflation, impacting margins in the Foods & Refreshment segment.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Uneven monsoon with 6% deficit and lower reservoir levels could affect kharif harvest and rural incomes.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Small and regional players are growing faster in tea and detergent bars, pressuring HUL's market share in those pockets.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Crude oil above $90 and geopolitical tensions could reverse input cost deflation, impacting margins.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Benign commodity environment has led to increased competition from regional players, particularly in detergent bars and tea, impacting market share momentum.

Q3 FY24 · medium

The termination of the GSK distribution agreement will result in the loss of approximately INR 300 crore annual income, impacting margins from next quarter.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · Price growth to be near flat or marginally negative in next 2 quarters

If commodities remain at current levels, HUL expects price growth to be near flat or marginally negative, with growth fully led by volume.

G

Q1 FY24 · Volume growth momentum to be sustained

Management expects to sustain volume growth momentum despite transition, supported by price reductions and A&P investments.

G

Q1 FY24 · Gross margin to be rebuilt and invested in A&P

Focus on rebuilding gross margins and investing competitively behind A&P; EBITDA margin will be an outcome.

G

Q2 FY24 · Price growth to be marginally negative if commodities stay

Management expects price growth to turn marginally negative in the near term if current commodity prices hold.

G

Q2 FY24 · EBITDA margin to be maintained in a healthy range

Management aims to keep EBITDA margin in a healthy range while investing in brands and capabilities.

G

Q2 FY24 · Volume recovery expected to be gradual

Management expects volume recovery to continue gradually, supported by moderating inflation and festive season.

G

Q3 FY24 · Marginal negative price growth expected in Q4 FY24

If commodity prices remain at current levels, management expects underlying price growth to be marginally negative in the March quarter.

G

Q3 FY24 · EBITDA margins to remain in healthy 23-24% range

Management aims to maintain EBITDA margins at current healthy levels, with a focus on gross margin improvement back to pre-COVID levels.

G

Q3 FY24 · Business Winning metric to dip below 60% then recover

The MAT business winning metric is expected to dip below 60% for a couple of quarters before recovering above 60% in the second half of calendar 2024.

G

Q3 FY24 · Continued step-up in A&P and capability investments

Management plans to further increase investments behind brands, innovation, and digital capabilities, funded by gross margin expansion.

G

Q4 FY24 · Maintain EBITDA margin at current levels in near term

Management expects to keep EBITDA margin around 23.4% in the short term, with modest improvement over medium to long term.

G

Q4 FY24 · Pricing to turn positive low single-digit by H2 FY25

If commodity prices remain stable, price growth is expected to plateau in mid-term and become positive low single-digit by end of FY25.

G

Q4 FY24 · Volume-led competitive growth focus

Focus remains on driving competitive volume-led growth across the business, with gradual demand recovery expected.

G

Q4 FY24 · Skin cleansing improvement over mid-term

Actions underway to address mass skin cleansing performance, with improvement expected over the next few quarters.