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HFCL Diversified 25 Jul 2024

HFCL Limited — Q1 FY25

HFCL reported Q1 FY25 revenue of INR 1,158 crore (+16% YoY), EBITDA of INR 185 crore (15% margin), and PAT of INR 111 crore (+46% YoY).

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Revenue ₹1,158 Cr +16.38%
EBITDA ₹185 Cr +15.62%
PAT ₹111 Cr +46.05%
EBITDA Margin 15% -104bps
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✓ Verified against BSE filing

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HFCL reported Q1 FY25 revenue of INR 1,158 crore (+16% YoY), EBITDA of INR 185 crore (15% margin), and PAT of INR 111 crore (+46% YoY). Growth was driven by a surge in telecom equipment revenue to INR 401 crore (vs INR 143 crore in FY24), led by strong demand for UBRs and FWA equipment. The OFC segment remained weak due to global slowdown, but management expects recovery from Q3 FY25. The company targets 25-30% revenue growth for FY25, supported by a robust order book of INR 6,776 crore, PLI benefits, and expansion into passive connectivity solutions and defense. Key risks include delayed OFC demand recovery and execution risks in new product segments.

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OFC demand recovery delay

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Quarter Snapshot

Telecom Equipment Revenue INR 401 crore
+180% YoY

Revenue from telecom and networking products in Q1 FY25, up from INR 143 crore in FY24.

Order Book INR 6,776 crore
Stable QoQ

Total order book as of Q1 FY25, with favorable mix shift towards products.

UBR Units Delivered 5,00,000+
N/A

Cumulative units of unlicensed band radios delivered globally; HFCL is largest supplier in India.

FWA Order Value INR 623 crore
New order

Order received for 5G Fixed Wireless Access CPE; bulk production starting in August 2024.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q1 FY25 vs Q1 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
FY25 revenue growth of 25-30%

Management expects overall revenue growth of 25-30% in FY25, driven by telecom equipment and passive connectivity solutions.

NEW
Passive connectivity solutions revenue of INR 250 crore in FY25

Revenue from passive connectivity solutions is expected to be INR 250 crore in FY25, growing to INR 750 crore in 2-3 years.

NEW
Poland cable facility commercial by calendar year 2025

The new optical fiber cable facility in Poland, with a capex of INR 170 crore, is expected to be commercialized within calendar year 2025.

UPDATED
Telecom equipment revenue target of INR 2,000 crore in FY25

Revenue from telecom and networking products is expected to reach approximately INR 2,000 crore in FY25, up from INR 143 crore in FY24.

DROPPED
5G product revenue of INR 350-400 Cr in FY24

Revenue from 5G-related products (including UBR and Wi-Fi used in 5G networks) expected at INR 350-400 Cr in FY24.

DROPPED
EBITDA margins to sustain around current levels

Management expects EBITDA margins to remain around 16% with potential slight improvement as product mix improves.

DROPPED
Optical fiber capacity expansion to add INR 150 Cr annualized profit

Expansion of optical fiber capacity from 10M to 33M fiber km is expected to generate additional profitability of INR 150 Cr annually at current prices.

NEW RISK
OFC demand recovery delay

Global optical fiber cable market slowdown may persist longer than expected, impacting capacity utilization and margins.

NEW RISK
Execution risk in new product segments

Ramp-up of FWA equipment and defense product revenues may face delays due to customer approvals or production challenges.

NEW RISK
Dependence on BharatNet Phase III

Large opportunity from BharatNet Phase III is contingent on tender finalization and order wins, which may be delayed.

RISK GONE
Delays in Army NFS project billing

~INR 150 Cr revenue could not be booked due to integration delays by a third-party vendor, impacting project margins.

RISK GONE
High working capital in turnkey projects

Capital employed in turnkey projects is ~INR 2,900 Cr, with significant receivables and retention money, posing cash flow risk.

RISK GONE
Defense product revenue may not materialize this year

Management stated no defense product revenue expected in FY24; tenders for BMP upgrade, night vision, and fuses are still pending.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY25 revenue growth of 25-30%

Management expects overall revenue growth of 25-30% in FY25, driven by telecom equipment and passive connectivity solutions.

Top risk OFC demand recovery delay

Global optical fiber cable market slowdown may persist longer than expected, impacting capacity utilization and margins.

View Risks →