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HEROMOTOCO Diversified 10 Feb 2024

Hero MotoCorp Limited — Q3 FY24

Hero MotoCorp delivered a strong Q3 FY24 with 20% revenue growth and 50% PAT growth, driven by premiumization, cost savings, and festive demand.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹9,788 Cr +20%
EBITDA
PAT ₹1,091 Cr +50%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

Hero MotoCorp delivered a strong Q3 FY24 with 20% revenue growth and 50% PAT growth, driven by premiumization, cost savings, and festive demand. ICE margins reached 16%, enabling reinvestment in EV and premium segments. The company launched Mavrick 440 and Xtreme 125R, with Harley X440 bookings exceeding 30,000. Management expects double-digit industry revenue growth in FY25 and aims to outpace it via new products and network expansion (400+ Hero 2.0 stores by March). EV losses of ~200bps in Q3 are seen as strategic investment; three new EV models at distinct price points are planned for Q1 FY25. Key risk: sustained price wars in EV could pressure margins if cost reduction targets slip.

Promises0 met · 3 missedRisks3 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Promises 3 promises

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0 delivered, 0 close, 3 missed.

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Risk Intelligence

EV price wars and margin pressure

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Quarter Snapshot

Harley X440 Bookings 30,000+
N/A

Cumulative bookings for Harley-Davidson X440; order book backlog of 3-4 months.

PAM Business Annualized Revenue INR 5,500 Cr
+83% vs 3-4 years ago

Parts, accessories, and merchandise business; target capacity of INR 10,000 Cr with INR 600 Cr investment.

Financing Penetration 60-65%
N/A

Overall financing penetration for two-wheelers; Hero FinCorp share ~30%.

Rural Inquiry Mix 50-55%
+10-15pp vs prior quarters

Share of inquiries from rural areas increased from ~40% to 50-55%, signaling demand recovery.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Double-digit industry revenue growth in FY25

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow at double-digit revenue in FY25, with Hero aiming to outperform.

NEW
100 VIDA hubs by FY25

Hero plans to expand exclusive VIDA hubs from 18 to 100 in the next fiscal year.

NEW
PAM business capacity to INR 10,000 Cr

Investment of INR 600 Cr over two years to expand parts, accessories, and merchandise capacity to over INR 10,000 Cr annual revenue.

UPDATED
Three new EV models in Q1 FY25 at distinct price points

Hero will launch affordable, mid, and premium EV scooters in Q1 FY25, targeting price points around INR 1 lakh, INR 1.25 lakh, and INR 1.5 lakh.

DROPPED
Premium store expansion to 100+ in six months

Hero plans to scale premium stores to over 100 in the next six months, from a recent launch.

DROPPED
Hero 2.0 store count to reach 500 in six months

The company aims to have 500 Hero 2.0 stores within six months, up from 200+ currently.

DROPPED
Harley and Karizma production ramp-up to 10,000/month

Management guided to ramp up combined production of Harley-Davidson X440 and Karizma to around 10,000 units per month in stage one.

NEW RISK
EV price wars and margin pressure

Industry discounting in EVs could intensify, pressuring margins if Hero's cost reduction roadmap falls short.

NEW RISK
Premium market share gains may take time

Despite strong product lineup, market share in premium segments has not yet reflected investments; execution risk remains.

NEW RISK
Rural demand recovery uncertain

While inquiries are rising, actual consumption conversion may lag if income growth or financing access disappoints.

RISK GONE
Global geopolitical issues impacting exports

Management acknowledged geopolitical tensions could affect export recovery, though domestic demand remains resilient.

RISK GONE
EV profitability and BOM cost reduction

EV business is not yet profitable at gross profit level; BOM cost reduction is a work in progress and may take time to achieve scale.

RISK GONE
Scooter market share weakness in 125cc segment

Hero is losing share in the 125cc scooter segment due to product transitions; new models may take time to gain traction.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Double-digit industry revenue growth in FY25

Management expects the two-wheeler industry to grow at double-digit revenue in FY25, with Hero aiming to outperform.

Top risk EV price wars and margin pressure

Industry discounting in EVs could intensify, pressuring margins if Hero's cost reduction roadmap falls short.

View Risks →