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HDFCBANK Banking 16 Oct 2023

HDFC Bank Ltd — Q2 FY24

HDFC Bank reported a strong Q2 FY24, its first post-merger with HDFC Ltd.

bullish high
Compare with...
Revenue ₹38,093 Cr +33%
EBITDA
PAT ₹17,312 Cr +50%
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

✦ AI-Generated from Full Transcript

HDFC Bank reported a strong Q2 FY24, its first post-merger with HDFC Ltd. Net profit surged 50% YoY to ₹15,976 crore, driven by robust deposit and loan growth. Deposits grew 5.3% sequentially (₹1.1 lakh crore), with 83% retail, while advances rose 4.9% sequentially (₹1.0 lakh crore). Net interest margin (NIM) was 3.65% on total assets, absorbing ~25 bps drag from excess liquidity and ICRR. Asset quality remained stable with GNPA at 1.34%. Management expressed confidence in sustaining growth and profitability (ROA 1.9-2.1%), with plans to expand construction finance and cross-sell. Key risk: potential normalization of credit costs from current benign levels.

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Credit cost normalization

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Quarter Snapshot

Deposit Growth (Sequential) ₹1.1 lakh crore
+5.3% QoQ

Total deposits grew by ₹1.1 lakh crore sequentially, with 83% from retail, demonstrating strong franchise execution.

Loan Growth (Sequential) ₹1.0 lakh crore
+4.9% QoQ

Advances grew by ₹1.0 lakh crore sequentially, driven by retail, CRB, and wholesale segments.

CASA Ratio 37.6%
- (post-merger impact)

CASA ratio stood at 37.6% after absorbing HDFC Ltd's time deposits, reflecting the merger's impact.

Branch Network 7,945
+1,446 YoY

Branch network expanded to 7,945 outlets, with 85 new branches added in the quarter, supporting growth.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q2 FY24 vs Q1 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped2 new risk2 risk resolved
NEW
Construction finance book to grow steadily

The bank plans to grow the construction finance portfolio, which will support top-line and margin recovery.

NEW
NIM recovery over time via better mix

Margins are expected to improve as the bank substitutes high-cost debt with deposits and shifts loan mix towards retail.

UPDATED
ROA maintained at 1.9%-2.1%

Management reiterated its ability to maintain return on assets in the 1.9%-2.1% range, consistent with historical performance.

DROPPED
Loan growth of 17-18% for FY24

Management expects full-year loan growth in the 17-18% range, consistent with historical doubling every 4-5 years.

DROPPED
Retail deposit accretion of ~INR 1 trillion per quarter

Management indicated that the capacity built should enable retail deposit accretion of around INR 1 trillion per quarter, though Q1 was seasonally lower.

NEW RISK
Margin compression from excess liquidity

The 25 bps drag from ICRR and debt-funded liquidity may persist longer than expected, delaying NIM recovery.

NEW RISK
Non-retail NPA slippage from HDFC Ltd book

Though management downplays risk, the inherited non-retail book has some tail risk of further slippage.

RISK GONE
Deposit market share loss

QoQ deposit growth was only 1.6% (INR 30,000 crore), significantly below system growth of ~5%, raising concerns about market share loss.

RISK GONE
High credit-deposit ratio post-merger

The merged entity's credit-deposit ratio is ~109%, well above the bank's historical ~84%. Bringing it down will take 3-4 years and may constrain growth.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance ROA maintained at 1.9%-2.1%

Management reiterated its ability to maintain return on assets in the 1.9%-2.1% range, consistent with historical performance.

Top risk Credit cost normalization

Current credit costs at 49 bps are below historical mean of ~80-100 bps; reversion could pressure profitability.

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