Havells India Management Guidance Tracker
40 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 12 quarters.
Capex
Management confirmed the CapEx guidance of INR 600 crore for FY24, with a skew toward Havells segments due to the new cable plant in Karnataka.
Q2 FY24CapEx of INR 600 crore for FY24TrackedManagement guided capital expenditure of INR 600 crore for the current fiscal year, primarily for cable and Lloyd capacity expansion.
Q3 FY24Capex for underground cables capacity expansion of 25%TrackedHavells is investing INR 300 crore to increase underground cable capacity by 25%, with a new plant in the south.
Q4 FY24Capex of INR 800 crore for FY25TrackedManagement guided for capital expenditure of approximately INR 800 crore in FY25, primarily for Havells core business, including cable capacity expansion.
Q1 FY25Capex of INR 800-900 crore for FY2025TrackedManagement maintained capex guidance of INR 800-900 crore for FY2025, with 30-40% allocated to cable capacity expansion.
Q2 FY25CapEx of INR 1,000 crore for FY25ActiveManagement expects total CapEx of approximately INR 1,000 crore for FY25, with INR 350 crore already incurred in H1.
Q3 FY25INR 480 crore CapEx for refrigerator plantTrackedNew refrigerator manufacturing facility in Ghiloth, Rajasthan with INR 480 crore investment to become a full-stack consumer durable player.
Q3 FY25CapEx of INR 1,000 crore for current and next yearTrackedTotal CapEx of INR 1,000 crore planned for FY25 and FY26, with 3/4th allocated to cables and refrigerator plant.
Q4 FY25INR 2,000 crore CapEx over next two yearsTrackedTotal capital expenditure of approximately INR 2,000 crore planned over the next two years, including a new R&D center.
Q1 FY26Cable capacity doubling by FY27TrackedHavells is doubling underground cable capacity from FY24 to FY27 with additional CapEx of INR 340 crore announced this quarter.
Q2 FY26CapEx of INR 1,450 crore for FY26TrackedCapital expenditure for FY26 is guided at INR 1,450 crore, primarily for capacity expansion in cables and other segments.
Q3 FY26CapEx of ~INR 1,000 crore in FY27TrackedManagement guided for CapEx in the range of INR 1,000 crore next year, primarily for cables and wires and a new R&D center.
Q4 FY26Capex of INR 800 crore in FY27 for cables and wiresTrackedMajor capex of INR 800 crore planned for cables and wires capacity expansion in FY27, with new capacities coming online by end of FY27 or early FY28.
Q4 FY26New R&D center investment over next 2-2.5 yearsTrackedSignificant investment in a new R&D center, with spending spread over the next two to two and a half years.
Q4 FY26No major new capex in Lloyd segmentTrackedManagement indicated no major new capital expenditure planned for the Lloyd segment in the near term.
Expansion
The greenfield cable and wire plant in Karnataka is expected to be commissioned around the end of this financial year.
Q2 FY24Cable capacity expansion of 25%TrackedCable manufacturing capacity will be expanded by 25% to address current constraints and support growth.
Q4 FY24Cable capacity commissioning in June 2024ActiveNew cable capacity will be commissioned in June 2024, with benefits expected in the second half of FY25.
Q1 FY25Export approvals to be completed in 9-12 monthsTrackedManagement expects to have a full bouquet of approvals for cables and HVAC exports to the US within 9-12 months.
Margins
Management expects Lloyd's margins to improve in the second half of the year as raw material costs stabilize and sales volumes increase.
Q2 FY24Lloyd margin improvement expected in H2ActiveManagement expects Lloyd's margins to improve in the second half as new capacity ramps up and seasonality benefits kick in.
Q3 FY24Lloyd margin improvement through cost efficienciesTrackedLloyd's profitability will improve through multiple cost levers including procurement efficiency, plant optimization, and premiumization.
Q1 FY25Lloyd's profitability to improve over timeTrackedManagement expects continued improvement in Lloyd's profitability driven by premiumization, cost efficiencies, and operating leverage, but did not provide a specific margin target.
Q2 FY25Cables & Wires margins to normalize by Q4 FY25ActiveManagement expects cables and wires margins to return to normalized levels by Q4 FY25, assuming no further commodity volatility.
Q2 FY25Switchgear margins to remain 22-25%TrackedManagement expects switchgear EBIT margins to remain in the 22-25% range over the medium term.
Q3 FY25Ex-Lloyd segment margins of 12-13% in FY26TrackedManagement guided for ex-Lloyd EBITDA margins of 12-13% in FY26, with normalization expected in the coming year.
Q3 FY25Switchgear margins to normalize to 23-24%ActiveSwitchgear EBIT margins expected to recover to 23-24% from current 18% as plant relocation and mix issues resolve.
Q4 FY25Havells ex-Lloyd EBITDA margin target of 13-14.5%TrackedManagement expects Havells (excluding Lloyd) to return to normalized EBITDA margins of 13% to 14.5% driven by operating leverage.
Q1 FY26Switchgear contribution margin target 38-40%ActiveManagement aims to maintain switchgear contribution margins in the 38-40% range, with sequential improvement expected.
Q1 FY26Cables & wires contribution margin aspiration 14-15%ActiveManagement expects cables and wires contribution margins to remain in the 14-15% range, with potential upside from operating leverage.
Q2 FY26Lloyd contribution margin improvement from Q4ActiveLloyd's contribution margins, impacted by consumer schemes, are expected to start improving in Q3 with real effects in Q4.
Q2 FY26Havells standalone EBITDA margin expansion of 150-200bpsTrackedManagement reiterated confidence in expanding Havells standalone EBITDA margins by 150-200 basis points over time through productivity and premiumization.
Growth
Management expects B2C demand to improve due to low base and abating inflation, with a strong summer season for fans and ACs.
Q2 FY25Lighting pricing bottoming out by Q4 FY25ActiveManagement expects lighting pricing to bottom out by Q4 FY25, with real growth returning in FY26.
Q4 FY25Lloyd to continue investing for growthTrackedLloyd will maintain investments in brand, distribution, and product development, with no specific margin guidance due to ongoing investment phase.
Q2 FY26Channel inventory normalization by Q3 endActiveManagement expects elevated channel inventory for summer products (ACs, fans, coolers) to normalize by the end of Q3 FY26.
Revenue
Management indicated that price increases may be taken in Q1 FY25 across product categories due to rising raw material costs, but will balance growth and market share.
Q1 FY26Solar revenue target of INR 1,000-1,500 croreTrackedManagement expects solar business revenue to cross INR 1,000-1,500 crore in the next couple of years, up from ~INR 500 crore in FY25.
Q3 FY26RAC price hike of 5-10% in Q4ActiveManagement indicated a 5-10% price increase for room ACs in the current quarter to offset cost pressures.