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GODREJPROP Diversified 23 Jan 2024

Godrej Properties Limited — Q3 FY24

Godrej Properties reported its most successful quarter ever with new bookings of ₹5,720 crore, up 76% YoY, driven by strong launches like Godrej Aristocrat (₹2,667 crore) and Godrej Ananda (₹500 crore).

bullish high
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Revenue ₹330 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹63 Cr
EBITDA Margin
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

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Godrej Properties reported its most successful quarter ever with new bookings of ₹5,720 crore, up 76% YoY, driven by strong launches like Godrej Aristocrat (₹2,667 crore) and Godrej Ananda (₹500 crore). Cash collections grew 43% YoY to ₹2,411 crore, and net operating cash flow rose 45% to ₹798 crore. Management maintained its annual bookings guidance of ₹14,000 crore and cash collection guidance of ₹10,000 crore, expressing confidence in exceeding the former. The company's strong project pipeline, particularly in NCR and Mumbai, supports medium-term growth of ~20% annually. However, delays in key projects like Ashok Vihar and Worli remain a risk, and the cyclical nature of real estate could impact future demand if price increases outpace affordability.

Promises0 met · 4 missedRisks4 trackedTranscriptfull text
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Delays in key project launches

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Quarter Snapshot

New Bookings ₹5,720 crore
+76% YoY

Record quarterly bookings, 14% higher than previous best in Q2 FY24.

Cash Collections ₹2,411 crore
+43% YoY

Strong cash generation, on track to achieve ₹10,000 crore annual guidance.

Net Operating Cash Flow ₹798 crore
+45% YoY

Robust operating cash flow, supporting business development and debt management.

Godrej Aristocrat Booking Value ₹2,667 crore
+30% vs underwriting

Most successful launch ever, with pricing 30% above initial expectations.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q3 FY24 vs Q2 FY24
2 new guidance2 dropped3 new risk3 risk resolved
NEW
Medium-term pre-sales growth of ~20% annually

Management expects sustainable growth of around 20% per annum over the medium term, though near-term may be higher.

NEW
Gearing ratio target of 0.5x to 1x

Company aims to maintain net debt-to-equity between 0.5:1 and 1:1, but may temporarily exceed for opportunities.

UPDATED
Annual bookings guidance of ₹14,000 crore expected to be exceeded

Management confident of surpassing the full-year bookings target of ₹14,000 crore, given the strong momentum and pipeline.

UPDATED
Cash collections guidance of ₹10,000 crore on track

Company remains on track to achieve ₹10,000 crore in cash collections for FY24, with strong collections in Q3.

DROPPED
Business development of INR 15,000 crore estimated booking value in FY24

Year-to-date business development stands at INR 7,175 crore, in line with the full-year guidance of INR 15,000 crore.

DROPPED
Launch of marquee projects in H2 FY24

Key launches include Ashok Vihar (Delhi), Carmichael Road (Mumbai), and Kandivali (Mumbai), targeted for Q3/Q4.

NEW RISK
Cyclical downturn in real estate

Management acknowledged the cyclical nature of real estate, with potential for a downturn in 4-5 years, which could impact demand and pricing.

NEW RISK
High leverage and debt levels

Net gearing at ~0.7x, near the upper end of target range; further land acquisitions could increase debt, though cash flows are improving.

NEW RISK
Execution risk at scale

Rapid scaling of operations (50%+ sales growth) may strain project execution capabilities, though management cites decentralized model as mitigation.

RISK GONE
Godrej Summit buyback costs may exceed provisions

Management has provided INR 155 crore for repairs and buybacks, but actual costs could be higher if more customers opt for buyback.

RISK GONE
Potential impact of promoter family settlement on Vikhroli DM agreement

News reports about promoter family settlement raised concerns; management downplayed impact but uncertainty remains.

RISK GONE
Slower-than-expected ramp-up in operating cash flows

Despite strong bookings, operating cash flow improvement may lag if project execution faces delays.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Business development of INR 15,000 crore estimated booking value in FY24

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Year-to-date business development stands at INR 7,175 crore, in line with the full-year guidance of INR 15,000 crore.

Regulatory approval delays for key launches

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24

Ashok Vihar and other projects face approval uncertainties; any slippage could impact booking guidance achievement.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance Annual bookings guidance of ₹14,000 crore expected to be exceeded

Management confident of surpassing the full-year bookings target of ₹14,000 crore, given the strong momentum and pipeline.

Top risk Delays in key project launches

Ashok Vihar, Worli, and Bandra projects face regulatory and approval delays, pushing launches to FY25 or later.

View Risks →