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Gland Pharma FY24 Annual Earnings Summary

4 quarters covered · ₹5,664 Cr revenue · ₹772 Cr PAT · 23.5% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹5,664 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹772 Cr
Average margin: 23.5%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY24₹1,209 Cr₹194 Cr25.0%neutral
Q2 FY24₹1,373 Cr₹194 Cr23.0%neutral
Q3 FY24₹1,545 Cr₹192 Cr23.0%neutral
Q4 FY24₹1,537 Cr₹192 Cr23.0%bullish

Management promises made during the year

U.S. sequential growth expected

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Cenexi margin improvement in 1-2 quarters

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Enoxaparin run rate to normalize from Q2

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY24
missed
Base business EBITDA margin target of 30-32%

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Cenexi revenue run rate of EUR 50-55 million per quarter

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed
Steady sequential revenue growth for base business

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q3 FY24
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q3 FY24 · high

Cenexi faces operational issues including lower productivity, old lines, and regulatory hurdles for product line shifts, which may delay margin recovery.

Q4 FY24 · high

Cenexi's operational issues and capacity constraints may delay profitability, with management acknowledging a few quarters delay.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Integration of Cenexi may face operational challenges, delaying synergy realization and margin improvement.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Aggressive pricing by Chinese players in injectables could pressure margins, though management sees recent stabilization.

Q1 FY24 · medium

Enoxaparin sales recovery is critical for U.S. growth; any further delays could impact revenue.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Cenexi's annual summer shutdown (4 weeks in France, 3 in Belgium) will continue to cause revenue loss and negative EBITDA in Q2 each year.

Q2 FY24 · medium

ROW revenue declined 9% QoQ due to lower Enoxaparin volumes and pricing pressure from competition, with management noting very low margins.

Q2 FY24 · medium

Management declined to provide a timeline for Cenexi reaching 13-15% EBITDA margins, citing early stage of integration.

Q3 FY24 · medium

Analyst question highlighted that operational issues could delay the EUR 30-40 million incremental revenue from new programs beyond FY2026.

Q4 FY24 · medium

While pricing has stabilized, any resurgence of price erosion could impact base business margins.

Q4 FY24 · medium

Biologics CDMO and China market progress have been slower than anticipated, with no near-term material contribution expected.

Q1 FY24 · low

Annual four-week summer shutdown at Cenexi may temporarily affect revenue and margins in Q2.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY24 · U.S. sequential growth expected

Management expects steady sequential growth in U.S. revenue, with no decline anticipated.

G

Q1 FY24 · Cenexi margin improvement in 1-2 quarters

Cenexi EBITDA margins are expected to improve in the next 1-2 quarters through operational efficiencies.

G

Q1 FY24 · Enoxaparin run rate to normalize from Q2

Enoxaparin sales are expected to pick up from next quarter as inventory rationalization ends.

G

Q1 FY24 · 40+ product launches planned for FY24

Total product launches in FY24 will be higher than normal due to relaunches, exceeding 40.

G

Q2 FY24 · Base business EBITDA margin target of 30-32%

Management expects base business EBITDA margins to remain in the 30-32% range, with potential slight decline as lower-margin Enoxaparin supplies resume.

G

Q2 FY24 · Cenexi revenue run rate of EUR 50-55 million per quarter

CFO guided that Cenexi's normalized quarterly revenue should be around EUR 50-55 million on a full quarter basis.

G

Q2 FY24 · EUR 60 million investment in Cenexi over 12-18 months

Planned investment of EUR 60 million in CapEx and working capital to enhance capacity and operational efficiencies at Cenexi.

G

Q2 FY24 · Steady sequential revenue growth for base business

Management expects steady quarter-on-quarter growth in the base business, driven by new launches and volume expansion.

G

Q3 FY24 · Cenexi EBITDA breakeven in 12-15 months

Management expects Cenexi to achieve EBITDA breakeven within 12-15 months, with medium-term EBITDA margin target of 10%.

G

Q3 FY24 · Cenexi incremental revenue of EUR 30-40 million by FY2026

New programs in tech transfer and approval stages are expected to add EUR 30-40 million to Cenexi's annual revenue in the medium term.

G

Q3 FY24 · Base business mid-teens growth target

Ex-Cenexi business targets mid-teens revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by US complex products and CDMO opportunities.

G

Q3 FY24 · Cenexi CapEx of EUR 30 million

Cenexi will invest approximately EUR 30 million in new equipment and capacity expansion over the next year.

G

Q4 FY24 · Base business annual growth of 14-15%

Management expects the base business (ex-Cenexi) to grow at 14-15% annually, driven by new launches and market share gains.

G

Q4 FY24 · Cenexi to reach high-teen EBITDA margins in 1-2 years

Cenexi targets high-teen EBITDA margins within 1-2 years through operational fixes, tech transfers, and capacity expansion.

G

Q4 FY24 · Cenexi quarterly revenue to ramp to EUR 50M in ~3 quarters

Cenexi's quarterly revenue is expected to gradually increase from EUR 40M to EUR 50M in about three quarters.