Gujarat Fluorochemicals Management Guidance Tracker
44 forward-looking guidance items tracked across 11 quarters.
Growth
Management expects business environment to pick up from Q3 onwards and normalize by end of FY24.
Q2 FY24H2 FY24 better than H1 FY24ActiveManagement expects gradual improvement in H2 due to destocking phasing out and legacy player exits.
Q3 FY24FY25 EBITDA at par with FY23TrackedManagement revised guidance: FY25 EBITDA will be at similar levels to FY23 (INR ~1,900 crore), not higher, with a possible quarter variance.
Q3 FY24Fluoropolymer capacity ramp-up over next 4 quartersTrackedNew fluoropolymer capacity (1,800-1,900 TPM) will be utilized over the next four quarters as approvals and customer validations progress.
Q4 FY24FY25 EBITDA to be similar to FY23 levels (~INR 1,800-1,900 crore)TrackedManagement expects EBITDA to recover to FY23 levels, driven by fluoropolymer volume growth and new capacity ramp-up.
Q4 FY24Fluoropolymer segment to see continuous growth in FY25ActiveGreen shoots visible; destocking phasing out. New capacities in FKM, PFA, PVDF, and micropowders to drive volume and value growth.
Q1 FY25LFP plant commissioning in Q3 FY25ActiveThe LFP plant is expected to be commissioned in the third quarter of this financial year.
Q1 FY25New fluoropolymer capacity utilization by Q4 FY25TrackedManagement expects to substantially utilize new fluoropolymer capacities by Q4 FY25.
Q2 FY25Substantial improvement in financials from Q4 FY25 onwardsActiveDriven by fluoropolymer growth, refrigerant price recovery, and EV ramp-up, management expects a significant improvement in overall performance from Q4 FY25.
Q3 FY25Fluoropolymer full capacity utilization by end-FY26TrackedManagement expects to achieve full capacity utilization in the fluoropolymer segment by the end of FY26, driven by new product qualifications and market demand.
Q4 FY25Fluoropolymer growth of ~25% in FY26TrackedManagement expects ~25% year-on-year growth in fluoropolymers revenue, driven by new fluoropolymers and legacy player exits.
Q1 FY26Fluoropolymer segment to grow 25% in FY26ActiveManagement expects 25% revenue growth in Fluoropolymer for FY26, driven by new approvals and legacy player exit.
Q1 FY26R32 capacity to reach 20,000 MT by end of FY26TrackedR32 capacity will be ramped up to 20,000 metric tons by end of FY26 through retrofitting, with first shipment already made.
Q2 FY26R32 capacity of 20,000 MT by March 2026ActiveR32 capacity expansion to 20,000 MT by end of FY26 remains on track; plant restart expected by end of November.
Q3 FY26R32 capacity to reach 20,000 tons by mid-2026ActiveFirst phase of R32 plant commissioned in February 2026; ramp-up to 20,000 tons expected by mid-2026, delayed by a quarter from earlier guidance.
Capex
Planned CapEx for FY24 may not be fully incurred this year; some may spill into next fiscal.
Q3 FY24CapEx for existing business at INR 500 crore in FY25TrackedCapEx for non-EV business in FY25 will be around INR 500 crore, staggered from earlier plans.
Q4 FY24CapEx of INR 800 crore for battery chemicals in FY25ActiveFunding to be raised externally; investment bankers appointed. CapEx plan remains on track.
Q2 FY25Cumulative CapEx of INR 5,000 crore by FY27 and INR 6,000 crore by FY28 for EVTrackedThe company plans to invest INR 5,000 crore by FY27 and INR 6,000 crore by FY28 in the battery materials business, funded through equity and internal accruals.
Q3 FY25R32 capacity of 30,000 tons with first phase of 20,000 tons by Q4 FY26TrackedGFL plans to set up 30,000 tons of R32 capacity in phases, with the first phase of 20,000 tons expected to be operational by Q4 FY26, at a CapEx of around INR 150 crores.
Q3 FY25EV battery materials cumulative CapEx of INR 6,000 crores by FY28TrackedGFL remains committed to its cumulative CapEx plan of INR 6,000 crores by FY28 for the EV battery materials business, targeting ~2x asset turnover and ~25% EBITDA margins at optimal utilization.
Q4 FY25CapEx of INR 1,600 crore for FY26ActivePlanned CapEx of INR 1,600 crore, with INR 1,200 crore for EV battery materials and INR 400 crore for fluoropolymers and refrigerants.
Q2 FY26CapEx of ~INR 1,500 crore for battery materials in FY27TrackedBattery materials CapEx expected to be ~INR 1,500 crore in FY27, part of the INR 6,000 crore 4-5 year plan.
Q3 FY26Oman battery materials facility to commission by mid-2027TrackedGreenfield facility in Oman with $216 million investment expected to be commissioned in 18 months, i.e., mid to end of 2027.
Expansion
LiPF6 and electrolyte plants expected to come online by end of Q2 FY24, with meaningful revenue in FY25.
Q2 FY24Battery chemical sampling to start shortlyActiveIntegrated LiPF6 and electrolyte plants are in advanced commissioning; customer sampling imminent.
Q4 FY25R32 commissioning in H2 FY26TrackedR32 plant expected to commence commercial sales in the second half of FY26, with a target capacity of 20,000 tonnes.
Margins
Management expects EBITDA margins to remain in the 28-33% range for the full year.
Q2 FY2430% EBITDA margin target for FY25TrackedManagement reaffirms 30% EBITDA margin as normal run-rate, expecting to achieve it in FY25.
Q1 FY25EBITDA run-rate target of INR 1,700-1,800 croreTrackedManagement expects to reach the FY23 EBITDA run-rate by Q4 FY25, give or take a quarter.
Q2 FY25EV business: 2x asset turnover and 25% EBITDA margins at optimal utilizationTrackedManagement reiterated guidance for GFCL EV to achieve 2x asset turnover and 25% EBITDA margins once capacities reach optimal utilization levels.
Q3 FY25Power cost savings of ~INR 150 crores annually from FY26TrackedThrough renewable energy PPAs, GFL expects annual power cost savings of approximately INR 150 crores, reducing the weighted average power cost to around INR 4.5 per unit.
Q1 FY26Renewable energy savings of INR 150 crore from FY27TrackedFull benefit of INR 150 crore annual savings from renewable energy project will be realized in FY27.
Q2 FY26Battery materials EBIT break-even in FY27TrackedManagement expects battery materials business to reach EBIT break-even in FY27.
Revenue
Management expects FY25 to be better than FY23, implying recovery to peak levels.
Q3 FY24Battery chemical revenue from H2 FY25TrackedRevenue from battery chemicals (PVDF) expected to start from second half of FY25, with meaningful contribution from FY26.
Q4 FY24Battery chemical commercial sales from H2 FY25TrackedLiPF6 plant commissioned; sampling and customer engagement underway. Revenue expected to start trickling in from second half of FY25.
Q1 FY25Commercial supplies of battery materials from Q4 FY25TrackedLiPF6, electrolyte, and PVDF binder commercial supplies expected to commence from Q4 FY2025.
Q2 FY25Commercial supplies from EV business to commence from Q4 FY25ActiveManagement expects initial commercial supplies of battery materials (salt, electrolyte, etc.) to start from Q4 FY25, following customer qualifications.
Q4 FY25EV battery revenue trickling in from H2 FY26TrackedRevenue from EV battery materials (LiPF6, LFP, binders, electrolytes) expected to start in H2 FY26, with ramp-up in FY27.
Q1 FY26Battery chemicals revenue to ramp up meaningfully from FY27TrackedBattery chemicals revenue will start trickling in H2 FY26, with significant ramp-up expected in FY27 as qualifications complete.
Q2 FY26Fluoropolymer revenue growth of 25% for FY26ActiveManagement reiterated 25% growth guidance for fluoropolymer segment, expecting H2 recovery despite tariff headwinds.
Q3 FY26Battery materials capacities to be fully utilized by FY27 endTrackedCurrent LiPF6, LFP CAM, and binder capacities expected to be fully utilized by end of FY2027, with revenue ramp-up through the year.