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The Federal Bank FY25 Annual Earnings Summary

3 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹3,282 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.

Total annual revenue: ₹0 Cr
Annual PAT: ₹3,282 Cr
Average margin: 0.0%
Promise delivery: 0%

Quarter-by-quarter progression

QuarterRevenuePATMarginSentiment
Q1 FY25₹1,047 Crbullish
Q2 FY25₹1,115 Crneutral
Q4 FY25₹1,120 Crbullish

Management promises made during the year

Credit cost guidance of 30-35 bps for FY25

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
NIM to sustain near Q1 levels

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q2 FY25
missed
Full-year credit cost guidance maintained at 40-45 bps

Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.

Q4 FY25
missed

Risks flagged during the year

Q2 FY25 · high

Deposit growth was only 1% QoQ vs loan growth of 19.45% YoY, leading to a CD ratio above 85%. Management aims to close the gap but faces competitive pressure.

Q4 FY25 · high

Further repo rate cuts could compress NIMs despite management's agile measures; MD acknowledged challenge in maintaining current NIM.

Q1 FY25 · medium

Potential increase in slippages from credit cards and personal loans, though management believes it remains manageable.

Q1 FY25 · medium

RBI embargo on co-branded cards continues; clearance expected by Q2/Q3 but uncertainty remains.

Q2 FY25 · medium

MFI slippages have increased, though management claims they are below industry levels due to conservative underwriting and geographic concentration in southern states.

Q2 FY25 · medium

NIM was impacted by 7bps due to penal charge reclassification. Potential rate cuts could further pressure margins, though management expects underlying NIM improvement.

Q2 FY25 · medium

RBI embargo on co-brand credit card reissuance remains unresolved. Management expects to approach RBI soon for one model, but other models may take longer.

Q4 FY25 · medium

Aggregate slippages have inched up due to MFI portfolio stress; management remains cautious and has not resumed growth in this segment.

Q4 FY25 · medium

Analyst raised concern that year-end CASA growth may not be sticky; MD acknowledged some year-end effect but cited fundamental improvement in acquisition.

Q1 FY25 · low

C/I ratio at ~53% due to investments in technology and branches; target of 50% may take longer.

Q4 FY25 · low

Q4 OpEx was elevated due to branch openings; while management expects normalization, continued investment may keep cost-income ratio elevated.

What changed through the year

G

Q1 FY25 · Credit cost guidance of 30-35 bps for FY25

Management expects credit cost to remain in the range of 30-35 basis points for the full year, consistent with Q1's 27 bps.

G

Q1 FY25 · ROA improvement to 1.30-1.35%

Targeting return on assets to improve from current 1.27% to 1.30-1.35% over the year.

G

Q1 FY25 · NIM to sustain near Q1 levels

Net interest margin expected to remain around Q1 levels for the next couple of quarters, with dynamic review thereafter.

G

Q1 FY25 · Branch addition of ~100 in FY25

Plans to add approximately 100 branches in FY25, with ~40 in H1 and balance in H2.

G

Q2 FY25 · Loan growth guidance maintained at ~18%

Management reiterated loan growth guidance of around 18% for FY25, with focus on deposit mobilization rather than slowing advances.

G

Q2 FY25 · Credit cost guidance unchanged at 29-30bps

Full-year credit cost guidance remains at 29-30 basis points, supported by strong asset quality and conservative underwriting.

G

Q2 FY25 · ROA expected around 1.8% for FY25

ROA guided at ~1.8% for the full year, with potential slight improvement if rate cuts occur later.

G

Q2 FY25 · Infrastructure bond issuance of INR 1,500 crore

Bank plans to raise INR 1,500 crore via infrastructure bonds to fund infrastructure assets, a first for the bank.

G

Q4 FY25 · Loan growth to improve from 12%

Management expects overall loan growth to be better than the 12% reported for FY25, driven by mid-yielding segments and revival in gold loans.

G

Q4 FY25 · Cost-to-income ratio around 53%

CFO guided cost-to-income ratio to remain in the 52.5%-53.5% range over the next few quarters.

G

Q4 FY25 · CASA ratio target of 36% over 3 years

MD reiterated the strategic target to reach 36% CASA ratio over three years, from current ~30%.

G

Q4 FY25 · Credit cost guidance of 35-40 bps

CFO reiterated credit cost guidance of 35-40 bps for FY25, which was achieved at 38 bps.