The Federal Bank FY25 Annual Earnings Summary
3 quarters covered · ₹0 Cr revenue · ₹3,282 Cr PAT · 0.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY25Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY25Risks flagged during the year
Deposit growth was only 1% QoQ vs loan growth of 19.45% YoY, leading to a CD ratio above 85%. Management aims to close the gap but faces competitive pressure.
Q4 FY25 · highFurther repo rate cuts could compress NIMs despite management's agile measures; MD acknowledged challenge in maintaining current NIM.
Q1 FY25 · mediumPotential increase in slippages from credit cards and personal loans, though management believes it remains manageable.
Q1 FY25 · mediumRBI embargo on co-branded cards continues; clearance expected by Q2/Q3 but uncertainty remains.
Q2 FY25 · mediumMFI slippages have increased, though management claims they are below industry levels due to conservative underwriting and geographic concentration in southern states.
Q2 FY25 · mediumNIM was impacted by 7bps due to penal charge reclassification. Potential rate cuts could further pressure margins, though management expects underlying NIM improvement.
Q2 FY25 · mediumRBI embargo on co-brand credit card reissuance remains unresolved. Management expects to approach RBI soon for one model, but other models may take longer.
Q4 FY25 · mediumAggregate slippages have inched up due to MFI portfolio stress; management remains cautious and has not resumed growth in this segment.
Q4 FY25 · mediumAnalyst raised concern that year-end CASA growth may not be sticky; MD acknowledged some year-end effect but cited fundamental improvement in acquisition.
Q1 FY25 · lowC/I ratio at ~53% due to investments in technology and branches; target of 50% may take longer.
Q4 FY25 · lowQ4 OpEx was elevated due to branch openings; while management expects normalization, continued investment may keep cost-income ratio elevated.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY25 · Credit cost guidance of 30-35 bps for FY25
Management expects credit cost to remain in the range of 30-35 basis points for the full year, consistent with Q1's 27 bps.
Q1 FY25 · ROA improvement to 1.30-1.35%
Targeting return on assets to improve from current 1.27% to 1.30-1.35% over the year.
Q1 FY25 · NIM to sustain near Q1 levels
Net interest margin expected to remain around Q1 levels for the next couple of quarters, with dynamic review thereafter.
Q1 FY25 · Branch addition of ~100 in FY25
Plans to add approximately 100 branches in FY25, with ~40 in H1 and balance in H2.
Q2 FY25 · Loan growth guidance maintained at ~18%
Management reiterated loan growth guidance of around 18% for FY25, with focus on deposit mobilization rather than slowing advances.
Q2 FY25 · Credit cost guidance unchanged at 29-30bps
Full-year credit cost guidance remains at 29-30 basis points, supported by strong asset quality and conservative underwriting.
Q2 FY25 · ROA expected around 1.8% for FY25
ROA guided at ~1.8% for the full year, with potential slight improvement if rate cuts occur later.
Q2 FY25 · Infrastructure bond issuance of INR 1,500 crore
Bank plans to raise INR 1,500 crore via infrastructure bonds to fund infrastructure assets, a first for the bank.
Q4 FY25 · Loan growth to improve from 12%
Management expects overall loan growth to be better than the 12% reported for FY25, driven by mid-yielding segments and revival in gold loans.
Q4 FY25 · Cost-to-income ratio around 53%
CFO guided cost-to-income ratio to remain in the 52.5%-53.5% range over the next few quarters.
Q4 FY25 · CASA ratio target of 36% over 3 years
MD reiterated the strategic target to reach 36% CASA ratio over three years, from current ~30%.
Q4 FY25 · Credit cost guidance of 35-40 bps
CFO reiterated credit cost guidance of 35-40 bps for FY25, which was achieved at 38 bps.