Eicher Motors FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹16,536 Cr revenue · ₹4,000 Cr PAT · 13.0% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related evidence, but delivery is not conclusive enough for a clean met verdict.
Q4 FY24Risks flagged during the year
International markets remain under pressure due to macroeconomic headwinds, with VECV exports down 58% YoY and Royal Enfield exports also weak.
Q1 FY24 · mediumNew credible competitors are entering the mid-size motorcycle segment, which could pressure Royal Enfield's dominant market share.
Q1 FY24 · mediumWhile Hunter 350 has been a strong driver, its high mix may weigh on margins and brand positioning if not managed carefully.
Q2 FY24 · mediumBajaj and Hero have launched new premium vehicles, potentially eroding Royal Enfield's dominant market share.
Q2 FY24 · mediumInternational wholesale volumes have been volatile due to cautious inventory management amid macro uncertainty, though retail remains strong.
Q3 FY24 · mediumExport wholesale declined 11% YoY due to macroeconomic headwinds in Europe and Australia; management expects recovery in 2-3 quarters but risks persist.
Q3 FY24 · mediumShipment costs have increased 25-30% and transit times extended by ~30 days for certain routes, potentially affecting export margins and delivery schedules.
Q3 FY24 · mediumNew entrants and aggressive competition in the middleweight segment could pressure Royal Enfield's market share and pricing, though management notes strong inquiry and conversion trends.
Q4 FY24 · mediumWeak macroeconomic conditions in key export markets could slow the recovery of international sales, despite improving retail trends.
Q4 FY24 · mediumAnalyst noted sequential margin decline in VECV despite volume growth; management attributed it to one-offs but discount rationalization remains a work in progress.
Q2 FY24 · lowElectric motorcycles remain uneconomical for the premium segment; the Electric Himalayan is a concept, not a production vehicle, and timing of viable EV launch is unclear.
Q4 FY24 · lowThe anticipated upgrade cycle from the large vehicle park of 6 million units has not materialized significantly, posing a risk to volume growth.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY24 · Price increase of ~1.5% on select models in Q2
Management confirmed a price increase of about 1.5% on certain models in the domestic market during Q2 FY24.
Q1 FY24 · New product launches planned over 3-4 years
Royal Enfield has a pipeline of 13-14 new products, with launches spaced out over the medium term (3-4 years).
Q1 FY24 · Focus on growing mid-size motorcycle market to 1.5M units
Management expects the Indian mid-size (250-750cc) motorcycle market to grow from ~1M to 1.5M units in the next few years.
Q2 FY24 · New Himalayan 452 to be a global volume driver
The all-new Himalayan 452, based on the Sherpa engine, is expected to significantly boost volumes and brand stature globally, with potential to disrupt the adventure touring segment.
Q2 FY24 · Capacity of 1.2 million units with modular expansion
Current installed capacity is ~1.2 million units across both plants, with modular lines allowing further expansion as needed.
Q2 FY24 · Capex spend at 2-3% of revenue
Capital expenditure is expected to remain around 2-3% of revenue, with flexibility to invest more as product portfolio evolves.
Q3 FY24 · New product launches to continue at a steady pace
Management plans to launch new motorcycles on the Sherpa 450 platform and other platforms over time, but will focus on stabilizing existing products in the coming financial year.
Q3 FY24 · Export wholesale growth expected in 2-3 quarters
Management expects export wholesale volumes to turn positive in about 2-3 quarters as macroeconomic conditions improve and new products (Himalayan, Shotgun) reach international markets.
Q3 FY24 · VECV to participate in e-bus tenders only with reasonable profitability
VECV will bid for STU e-bus tenders only if payment security and profitability are assured, having participated in the latest tender after resolution of payment concerns.
Q4 FY24 · Double-digit mid-weight motorcycle market growth expected
Management anticipates the Indian middleweight segment to grow in double digits in FY25, with Royal Enfield positioned to outpace the market.
Q4 FY24 · VECV to focus on discount rationalization
VECV aims to reduce discounts and improve transaction prices rather than increase MRPs, supporting margin improvement.
Q4 FY24 · New 450cc platform motorcycle launch soon
A new motorcycle on the Sherpa 450 platform will be launched soon, expanding the platform beyond the Himalayan.
Q4 FY24 · Electric small commercial vehicle commercial launch in January 2025
VECV's new electric small commercial vehicle (2-3.5 ton) will be commercially launched from January 2025, following pilot deliveries.