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DLF Diversified 15 May 2024

DLF Limited — Q4 FY24

DLF reported a strong Q4 FY24 with consolidated PAT of INR 900 crore and full-year PAT of INR 2,700 crore.

bullish high
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Revenue ₹2,135 Cr
EBITDA
PAT ₹920 Cr
EBITDA Margin 35%
Duration
Read Time 1 min read

✓ Verified against BSE filing

2-Minute Summary

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DLF reported a strong Q4 FY24 with consolidated PAT of INR 900 crore and full-year PAT of INR 2,700 crore. Pre-sales remained robust at ~INR 15,000 crore for the second consecutive year, driven by successful launches like Privana West. Free operating cash flow reached INR 4,300 crore, and the company ended the year with a net positive cash balance of INR 1,500 crore+. Management guided for FY25 pre-sales of INR 17,000 crore, supported by a launch pipeline including Lux 5 (INR 3,500 crore planned sales), Privana phases, and Mumbai entry. The rental business is also poised for growth with exit rentals expected to rise from INR 5,000-5,100 crore to INR 5,900-6,000 crore in FY25. Margins are expected to expand into the mid-40s with Lux 5. A key risk is the execution and market reception of the Mumbai foray, given the company's previous challenges in that market.

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Quarter Snapshot

Pre-sales Guidance FY25 INR 17,000 crore
+13% YoY

Management guided for FY25 pre-sales of INR 17,000 crore, up from ~INR 15,000 crore in FY24.

Free Operating Cash Flow INR 4,300 crore

Free operating cash flow for FY24 was INR 4,300 crore, indicating strong cash generation.

Net Positive Cash Balance INR 1,500 crore+

DLF ended FY24 with a net positive cash balance of over INR 1,500 crore, a significant milestone.

NRI Sales in Privana West 27%

NRI participation in Privana West was 27%, showing strong and growing NRI demand.

What Changed vs Last Quarter

Comparing Q4 FY24 vs Q3 FY24
3 new guidance3 dropped4 new risk4 risk resolved
NEW
FY25 pre-sales target of INR 17,000 crore

Management guided for pre-sales of INR 17,000 crore in FY25, driven by launches including Lux 5, Privana phases, Goa villas, and Mumbai project.

NEW
Margins to expand to mid-40s with Lux 5

Weighted average margins are expected to move from late 30s-40% to mid- to late 40s post Lux 5 launch.

NEW
Collections growth of at least 15% in FY25

Management targets collections growth of at least 15% on an ongoing basis for next year, excluding one-time Chennai land sale.

UPDATED
Exit rental for FY25 expected at INR 5,900-6,000 crore

Rental business exit rental for FY25 is guided at INR 5,900-6,000 crore, up from INR 5,000-5,100 crore in FY24.

DROPPED
FY25 sales guidance of INR 15,000+ crore

Management expects a moderate increase from FY24's likely ~INR 13,000+ crore, with formal guidance in May 2024.

DROPPED
New launches over next 12-15 months

Key launches include Privana 2, DLF 5 luxury project, Chennai luxury, Goa, and first phase of Mumbai project.

DROPPED
SEZ denotification to improve occupancy from Q1 FY25

Applications filed for 1.1 billion sq ft denotification; process expected to complete by March-April 2024.

NEW RISK
Mumbai market execution risk

DLF's entry into Mumbai is a new geography with different dynamics; previous JV in Mumbai was not a pleasant experience, raising concerns about execution.

NEW RISK
Dependence on super luxury segment

A large portion of the launch pipeline is in the luxury segment (Lux 5, Privana), which may have slower sales velocity due to high ticket sizes.

NEW RISK
RERA cash restrictions

INR 4,000 crore of cash is locked in RERA escrow accounts, limiting flexibility for land acquisitions or debt reduction.

NEW RISK
Potential slowdown in Gurgaon market depth

While management is confident, a cyclical downturn could impact absorption of the large supply pipeline in Gurgaon.

RISK GONE
Construction cost inflation and margin pressure

Management assumes 5% annual cost escalation and contingency, but actual costs could rise, squeezing margins.

RISK GONE
Execution delays in large pipeline

With sales velocity up 6x, timely delivery of 32 million sq ft pipeline is critical; management has strengthened teams but risks remain.

RISK GONE
Price sustainability in Gurgaon

Rapid price increases may lead to affordability challenges; management believes demand is genuine but macro risks exist.

RISK GONE
Legal hurdles in Tulsiwadi project

Intensive litigation with lenders and ARC delays monetization of prime Mumbai land; no near-term resolution expected.

🤫 Topics management stopped discussing

Legal hurdles in Tulsiwadi project

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q2 FY24, Q3 FY24

Intensive litigation with lenders and ARC delays monetization of prime Mumbai land; no near-term resolution expected.

DCCDL rental income exit run-rate of INR 5,100-5,200 crore by FY25

Mentioned in Q1 FY24, Q3 FY24

Rental income for DCCDL expected to stabilize at that level, excluding Atrium Place.

Fast read

Guidance and risk preview

Top guidance FY25 pre-sales target of INR 17,000 crore

Management guided for pre-sales of INR 17,000 crore in FY25, driven by launches including Lux 5, Privana phases, Goa villas, and Mumbai project.

Top risk Mumbai market execution risk

DLF's entry into Mumbai is a new geography with different dynamics; previous JV in Mumbai was not a pleasant experience, raising concerns about exe...

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