DLF FY24 Annual Earnings Summary
4 quarters covered · ₹6,427 Cr revenue · ₹2,724 Cr PAT · 32.8% average EBITDA margin.
Quarter-by-quarter progression
Management promises made during the year
Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q2 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q3 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Current-quarter commentary contains related risk or weakness, so the promise appears not to have been delivered yet.
Q4 FY24Risks flagged during the year
Slum rehabilitation projects in Mumbai are complex and prone to delays; approvals for the sale area are yet to be obtained.
Q2 FY24 · highThe Tulsiwadi project is mired in legal issues with shares in suspended animation; management is confident of no financial loss but outcome uncertain.
Q1 FY24 · mediumSEZ vacancy increased due to a large tenant vacating; recovery hinges on floor-wise denotification notification, timing uncertain.
Q1 FY24 · mediumThe Tulsiwadi project is stuck in NCLT due to a shareholder dispute, with no near-term resolution expected.
Q2 FY24 · mediumManagement acknowledged DLF 5 launch could slip to Q1 FY25, though sales guidance remains unaffected.
Q2 FY24 · mediumManagement indicated REIT listing is a few quarters away, dependent on benign interest rate scenario, which is uncertain.
Q2 FY24 · mediumSEZ occupancy at 85% with 14-15% vacancy; floor-wise denotification awaited from Ministry of Commerce, which may not materialize as expected.
Q3 FY24 · mediumManagement assumes 5% annual cost escalation and contingency, but actual costs could rise, squeezing margins.
Q3 FY24 · mediumWith sales velocity up 6x, timely delivery of 32 million sq ft pipeline is critical; management has strengthened teams but risks remain.
Q3 FY24 · mediumIntensive litigation with lenders and ARC delays monetization of prime Mumbai land; no near-term resolution expected.
Q4 FY24 · mediumDLF's entry into Mumbai is a new geography with different dynamics; previous JV in Mumbai was not a pleasant experience, raising concerns about execution.
Q4 FY24 · mediumA large portion of the launch pipeline is in the luxury segment (Lux 5, Privana), which may have slower sales velocity due to high ticket sizes.
What changed through the year
Q1 FY24 · FY24 sales guidance of INR 12,000-13,000 crore
Management maintained its full-year sales booking guidance of INR 12,000-13,000 crore, with major launches planned in H2.
Q1 FY24 · Gross margin to remain above 50%
Management guided that gross margins will stay above 50% for the current year, despite quarterly fluctuations due to product mix.
Q1 FY24 · Rental exit run rate of INR 5,000 crore by March 2024
Based on March 2024 quarter exit, rental run rate is expected to reach INR 5,000 crore, rising to INR 5,600-5,700 crore by March 2025.
Q1 FY24 · Mumbai project first launch within 12 months
The first phase of the Mumbai project (0.9 msf) is expected to launch within 12 months, possibly within this fiscal year.
Q2 FY24 · FY24 sales guidance raised to INR 13,000 crore+
Management upgraded sales guidance from INR 12,000-13,000 crore to INR 13,000 crore+, citing strong demand and pipeline.
Q2 FY24 · Construction spend of ~INR 1,700 crore in FY24
Annual construction spend expected to increase ~40% YoY to INR 1,700 crore, with higher outflow in H2.
Q2 FY24 · New launches in H2 FY24: Privana (Q3), DLF 5 (Q4/Q1 FY25), Andheri (by June 2024)
Approvals on track for key launches; DLF 5 super-luxury project expected in Q4 FY24 or Q1 FY25.
Q2 FY24 · DCCDL to continue two dividends per year
Rental arm DCCDL will maintain its dividend cycle, with interim dividend declared post H1 results.
Q3 FY24 · FY25 sales guidance of INR 15,000+ crore
Management expects a moderate increase from FY24's likely ~INR 13,000+ crore, with formal guidance in May 2024.
Q3 FY24 · New launches over next 12-15 months
Key launches include Privana 2, DLF 5 luxury project, Chennai luxury, Goa, and first phase of Mumbai project.
Q3 FY24 · DCCDL rental income exit run-rate of INR 5,100-5,200 crore by FY25
Rental income for DCCDL expected to stabilize at that level, excluding Atrium Place.
Q3 FY24 · SEZ denotification to improve occupancy from Q1 FY25
Applications filed for 1.1 billion sq ft denotification; process expected to complete by March-April 2024.
Q4 FY24 · FY25 pre-sales target of INR 17,000 crore
Management guided for pre-sales of INR 17,000 crore in FY25, driven by launches including Lux 5, Privana phases, Goa villas, and Mumbai project.
Q4 FY24 · Exit rental for FY25 expected at INR 5,900-6,000 crore
Rental business exit rental for FY25 is guided at INR 5,900-6,000 crore, up from INR 5,000-5,100 crore in FY24.
Q4 FY24 · Margins to expand to mid-40s with Lux 5
Weighted average margins are expected to move from late 30s-40% to mid- to late 40s post Lux 5 launch.
Q4 FY24 · Collections growth of at least 15% in FY25
Management targets collections growth of at least 15% on an ongoing basis for next year, excluding one-time Chennai land sale.